Lurch_Mojoff said:
1. Well, treblah said: "...MS has been working on a updated file system to replace FAT/NTFS for almost 10 years...". That is FAT/NTFS -> SomeOtherFS , not FAT -> NTFS
2. WinFS is/(was) Microsoft's plan for next generation file system, which implies it will/(would have) eventually replace/(replaced) NTFS. (I'll give you credit for this one, since the idea from back in 1994 was for WinFS and NTFS to coexist (ditching FAT only)).
2.5 If you cannot format a drive to use WinFS (only), then this is not a FS (FILE SYSTEM, you know).
3. This is rediculous statement. It's like saying - as of yesterday the release date is not today, but sometime in the next couple of months. Initially the first beta was anounced to be released in 2004, period.
1. FAT shouldn't have been mentioned at all in regards to WinFS. FAT only exists for compatibility reasons (both backward compatibilty and cross-platform compatibilty), there was NEVER any plan for replacing any the usage of FAT with WinFS.
2. WinFS is Microsoft's plan for the next generation user data store not file system. NTFS is the "next gen" file system. It's a relatively advanced file system already.
3. He was specifically talking about rumor of a June 30th, 2005 date for Beta 1. That's why he provided that link to Thurrott saying that Microsoft missed it. June 30th was never the official date, as you can see from the WinHec 2005 slide. If he was originally talking about the big Longhorn change from 2004/5 to 2006 then he wouldn't have addressed the point by saying, "blah blah blah.. they missed beta 1... blah". He brought up the WinHec 2003 stuff just to throw a Red Herring into the conversation. Microsoft has not missed the Beta 1 date he initially refered to, period.
It's hard for me to think you aren't talking out of your ass when you give a Steve Ballmer timeline to Longhorn (Holiday 2006).
Yeah, giving the timeline Microsoft recently gave for a Microsoft product is talking out of my ass

He gave an Apple timeline to a Microsoft product. I'm sure Apple knows more about Longhorn development that Microsoft does
Microsoft have publicly stated a lot of things regarding Longhorn, yet they failled to deliver most of them.
Like what? Before you answer read over
this list of PDC 2005 sessions (post beta 1- pre-beta 2). Now, name something that was supposed to be in Longhorn and isn't there. There are only two things you can name, the sidebar (which has been replaced by something else), and the final version of the WinFS API.
There has been
one major shift in Longhorn. It happened last August when they announced WinFX would become bigger than just Longhorn Client and would be delivered in 2006 with WinFS in Beta.
There are more features in Longhorn (that are public) then ever before, period. Ever since PDC 2003 they've been adding major features and moving the timeline forward. WinFS is still part of Longhorn's release, it's just a (public?) beta now because it encompasses both Server and Client technologies as opposed to just being a client technology.
Here you are acting like Longhorn is Cairo or Copeland.
Longhorn was initially supposed to be an interim release with very few features. It was supposed to hold people over for Blackcomb. Hell, Longhorn Server didn't even exist as a project until after WinHec 2003. SP2 didn't even exist back then.
So please explain how Microsoft, "failled to deliver most of them"?
Although it is perfectly reasonable to expect Longhorn to meet the deadline this time, holiday 2006 may very well mean 15 December 2006, effectively sending Longhorn mass adoption to the begining of 2007.
No.
1.
Many times over it has been confirmed that the RTM is next summer.
2. "Holiday 2006" means "
broad availability in holiday 2006". Look at the WinHec timeline.
3. "Holiday 2006" means late October/Early Nov. The day after Thanksgiving is the peak of the holiday season. In fact, in retail it's
the holiday people refer to when they talk about "holiday season".
Mass adoption of Longhorn starts Friday, Nov. 25, 2006.
Jobs has nothing to prove to anyone. He (and the OS X engineers) promissed Tiger in the first half of 2005 and not only delivered, but managed to release 10.4.1 in that timeframe and 10.4.2 two weeks into the second half of 2005.
You're kidding, right? Tiger was by far the buggiest OS release I've seen since 10.1 It was rushed out the door to meet a deadline. Everyone who has been running Tiger (before 10.4.2) has been a paid beta tester. Tiger doesn't have all it's promised features (QE2D, 64-bit Resolution Independence) and it's buggy as hell. They were way late with their H.264 implementation and it's still the worst one on the market. If Microsoft wanted to release a half-baked version of Longhorn as final they could easily do so in 2005 with Beta 1 or Beta 2.
Microsoft, with Longhorn. had the same choice Apple did with Tiger; either release a beta quality feature incomplete OS in 2005 or release it correctly in 2006. At least Microsoft is giving us enthusiasts and early adopters a free public beta instead of charging me for Tiger beta a.k.a. 10.4.0.
Leopard is far from vapourware. Not anouncing any specific features != vapourware.
That's not what I'm saying. Leopard is vaporware because it was specifically mentioned in the context of Longhorn and only in that context. The whole point of him mentioning that it would be out at the same time is to keep the Mac OS in the mind of Mac users as the onslaught of Longhorn information (and public builds) start pouring out this month. It's a smart move because lots of Mac users are already pissed off about the Mactel thing and Longhorn may just cause people to "switch back". Steve won't get another chance to talk about the next Mac OS until at least January and by then the PDC builds and info, and Beta 2 will be in everybody's hands. So he had to at least mention Leopard at the WWDC.
That's vaporware. No different than what Sony did to the Sega Dreamcast and now the Xbox 360. Someone else announces a kick-ass product so you announce that you'll have similar kick-ass product. It stops your user base from defecting.
After a couple of flops, Steve is trying not to overpromise and underdeliver (something Bill never shied to do).
There's a difference. Microsoft is trying to be transparent so they can get feedback and improve. They tell you about the good and the bad because they believe it makes their products better (thanks Scoble!!). Apple is all about secrecy and creating a big marketing buzz. There no transparency at Apple. No one knows what they plan on doing, what their roadmaps are or anything like that unless it's imperative that you need to know (basically for damage control or marketing purposes).
If Apple would be more transparent then we wouldn't have to rely on rumor sites to try to understand what Apple developers are doing. Sure, it would mean that our feedback might change product schedules and there is less "flash" for new feature releases (because they've already been revealed) but it makes for better products. The OSS community and recently Microsoft have already opened up to customers, it's about time Apple did the same.
However, if you've been following OS X development in the recent years you may pretty much guess what's cooking - metadata enhanced HFS+, 64bit across all APIs, better multithreading, resolution independant UI, etc. In June 2006, at the WWDC, after seeing what is fasable by the end of the year, Steve will anounce which of those will make it into the final release.
All of those are absolute guesses. People thought Panther and Tiger would be fully 64-bit also, but they weren't. Apple touted Spotlight and many people though the Finder would get lost of new metadata but it didn't. People have been hoping for a Finder remodel for years and it hasn't come either. The truth is that you have no idea what's coming or when new Apple hardware is coming out etc. You can't even make a real buying decision about future Apple hardware or software purchases until they show up. It's the same problem that people have when they order a Mac and next week a brand new processor or model update comes along. The best they can do is guess at everything. That's a problem.
Judging by the recent track record of Apple and Microsoft, I'd rather believe Jobs than Ballmer/Gates.
Yeah, because Jobs knows so much about Longhorn

, even more than Balmer, Gates, Allchin, or the 1500 Microsoft bloggers on blogs.msdn.com

The last thing Jobs predicted about Microsoft was that Apple was years ahead of them in "search". Microsoft released MSN Desktop Search 5 months before Apple released Tiger. Jobs subsequently did a lot of backtracking during the MWSF that followed.
The fact that you trust Steve Jobs on Longhorn more than you trust all the people at Microsoft on Longhorn (even though they've been giving you the heads up on everything for the last few years) is typical RDF behavior.