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Intel won’t be screwed just yet. If they get their act together in the next 3-4 years they’ll survive given their huge cash reserves. If they’re still in the same state then they’re truly screwed.
I give them no more than two years. If Microsoft starts licensing Arm windows on a generic basis, developers compile/recompile their apps for Arm, and one or more third-party Arm chip vendor(s) emerge(s) with performance similar to Apple m1, there will be no point really for x86 anymore.

Especially in the laptop space where performance per watt is king. If Dell, Lenovo, Asus, and others start ramping Arm designs with better battery life, and as good if not better performance than desktop Intel x86 parts (similar to Apple m1), then the market will have moved away from intel and I don’t know how it will lure it back. AMD just might end up being x86’s saving grace, as it can ramp sub-7nm designs in laptops, that will have good performance per watt. AMD mobile Ryzen 5000 series chips that are coming in 2021 appear to be beasts.

Intel has to move faster to prevent the market from moving away from it and x86.
 
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I love how MacDailyNews wrote "South Korean dishwasher-maker Samsung."

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Intel isn’t going anywhere as long as windows machines keep using it.

Yep but I'd be shocked if we don't see PC Laptop manufacturers transition to efficient ARM based Windows machines over the next decade. If Intel doesn't hugely catch up, even just in terms of power draw, that migration is inevitable.

I'm confident these discussions between manufacturers like Dell, Lenovo and HP are happening with Microsoft already to double down efforts on a more serious version of Window for ARM.
 
It’s like the exec board at intel have given up and can’t be bothered anymore. Are they all nearing retirement by any chance?
 
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Windows might go ARM, AMD might smoke Intel some more.


But in the end Intel has so much inertia that it will keep on going for the rest of this decade.

Chances of them getting back to the top in that timeframe >90%.
 
It’s like the exec board at intel have given up and can’t be bothered anymore. Are they all nearing retirement by any chance?
They are in a no-win scenario. Their advantage had always been their fabs. They use weird internal processes that don’t mesh with the rest of the industry (when I’d interview people from intel to come work at AMD, we never hired them, because we never understood what they were talking about. They used mils instead of microns. It was wild.). And their designers aren’t great. So if they can’t fix their fabs, using a third party fab is a big problem for them. Negates whatever advantage they might have, is hard to do, and is a cultural problem.
 
There's no reason Intel can't do ARM if they still have the talent for it. Only x86 is toast, along with Intel's advantage in it. They also do a lot of other things besides CPUs. So this is certainly scary for them, but I can't pull the trigger on a short position or anything.
 
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Maybe they should just shut it down and give the money back to the shareholders?

In seriousness, in the interests of competition, a successful Intel is good for everyone.
 
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Windows might go ARM, AMD might smoke Intel some more.

But in the end Intel has so much inertia that it will keep on going for the rest of this decade.

Chances of them getting back to the top in that timeframe >90%.
This decade ends in twenty six hours. (I know, the 1-10 sequence is the less popular interpretation of a decade than 0-9.)

:p
 
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Intel's fabs are a critical asset so divesting them would be a mistake, IMO.
The article says nothing about divesting its fabs; instead it says just the opposite: "Furthermore, opening up Intel's own manufacturing capability to make non-Intel processors could allow it to produce the custom silicon chips increasingly wanted by its major clients."

The point of the suggested strategy is for Intel to get away from the unitary design-to-manufacturing model, and to consider design and manufacturing to be entirely separate businesses. This would allow Intel's fabs to be more focused on its strengths. Intel-designed chips could be manufactured by partners, where the design better fits other fabrication facilities, while Intel fabs would be open for third-party designs that matched Intel fab strengths. IMO, this strategy makes perfect sense, as it meets the needs of the current market better.
 
They can buy AMD to begin with.
Really, they probably can't. It's far from the only metric that matters, but at today's prices, AMD is worth (in market cap) a little more than half of Intel. It's not just some small company they can scoop up, they don't have the money.

Intel has a lot of problems right now. Last time they had problems like this, they started innovating at an impressive pace. (They got really aggressive about multicore, low power chips, then Intel macs happened among other things.) Best case scenario for everyone.
 
They are in a no-win scenario. Their advantage had always been their fabs. They use weird internal processes that don’t mesh with the rest of the industry (when I’d interview people from intel to come work at AMD, we never hired them, because we never understood what they were talking about. They used mils instead of microns. It was wild.). And their designers aren’t great. So if they can’t fix their fabs, using a third party fab is a big problem for them. Negates whatever advantage they might have, is hard to do, and is a cultural problem.
This comment says a lot. I've seen software engineers at the top get stuck in old ways despite all that flexibility, and the entire organizational unit is toast if they don't leave.
 
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Three months ago, and for the two years prior, I believed that Apple to had fallen into a bureaucratic abyss and lost their ability to innovate. November proved that wrong, ..., for now.
 
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"Without immediate change at Intel," the letter cautioned, "we fear that America's access to leading-edge semiconductor supply will erode."
is an interesting sentence in this context.

with the cancelation of the Ford Pinto, I fear that my access to leading-edge automobiles will erode.
 
Why is NO ONE here looking at the BIG picture ?

TSMC is located where people ?

The ONLY way to prevent the U.S. from eventually going to war with China is to bring IC manufacturing back to the States !

One way to help that effort would be for the U.S. Govt to subsidize Intel's On-Shore manufacturing efforts !

It's just a matter of time before the U.S. is at war with China, if that doesn't happen.

U.S. companies will need to, at some point, distance themselves from Taiwan.

Also, would love to see TSMC set-up THREE different sites here in the States.

In this case, some redundancy is a good thing, even if it's NOT the most efficient solution.
 
What, They didn't see this till now?

Look at what's happening here with Intel and Boeing - in high tech manufacturing. There were the gems of the US now falling face down.
Boeing is a different kettle of fish. Their problem was one plane. Well, more precisely, it was their management culture that facilitated design decisions that produced that one plane. The solutions for each are very different. Intel might not be able to get back in a game that reqires years, if not a decade or more, of development. Boeing has no competition that doesn’t also have similar, if not worse management bureaucracy. They will be able to fix it. Their problems are longer term with companies like SpaceX, Blue Horizon, Tesla and others catching up and passing them with disruptive innovation that can compete with their core competencies.
 
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