The A14 floor makes sense when you think about the M1 is basically just a scaled up A14, same cores, same Neural Engine generation, same architecture. So Apple is having every supported device this year, iPhone, iPad(if iPad also has A14 floor), and Mac, all run on the same silicon family for the first time. That’s the whole point of a Snow Leopard year. Less about new features, more about finally being able to write code for one platform instead of juggling several different ones.
True, but this is unlikely given that the iPad 9 was only introduced in September 2021 and only has the A13.
Apple has given every base iPad within recent years at least five full updates, even if it means it technically gets more support than the same processor generation found in the iPad Pro.
But also speaking of the iPad Pro, would Apple really cut off the entire A12 era at once? Given that the iPad Pro from March 2020 had the A12Z? I certainly don’t think so. That would mean that the 2020 iPad Air gets longer support than the 2020 iPad Pro, and buy a pretty wide margin given that the A14/M1 is likely to be the floor for quite a long time.
I don’t believe this rumor at all given the source, but obviously I don’t know what Apple‘s plans are.
My guess, however, is that all of the 27 operating systems will run on the exact same list of devices that the 26 operating systems run on, with the very possible exception of the A12 iPad Air3 and Mini 5 and the iPad 8.
I don’t think Apple will cut off the 2018 iPad Pro, given that the 2020 iPad Pro uses identical hardware, other than one GPU core. I think those two devices will likely get cut from Support at the same time, probably next year.
The previously mentioned base iPad 9 with A13 will likely get cut from Support next year.
The iPhone 11 series is admittedly tricky, but Apple has kind of created a pattern of iPhones, mostly being only dropped every other year.
iOS 8 and 9 had the same support list, as did iOS 11 and 12, 13 through 15 and 17 and 18.
It makes sense to me that 26 and 27 would have the same support list, iPhone 11 and newer, before next year, where absolutely everything, iPhones, iPads and Macs alike, are A14/M1 Firestorm and Icestorm cores and up.
This would mean:
iOS and iPadOS 26: 2018 iPad Pro and up, 2019 iPad Air 3 and up, 2019 iPad Mini 5 and up, 2019 iPhone 11 and up, 2020 iPhone SE2 and up, 2020 iPad 8 and up.
iOS and iPadOS 27: 2018/2020 iPad Pro and up, 2019 iPhone 11 and up, 2020 iPhone SE2 and up, 2020 iPad Air 4 and up, 2021 iPad 9 and up, 2021 iPad Mini 6 and up.
iOS and iPadOS 28: 2020 iPhone 12 and up, 2020 iPad Air and up, 2021 iPad Pro and up, 2021 iPad Mini 5 and up, 2022 iPhone SE3 and up, 2022 iPad 10 and up.
Not only does this allow apples drop list to be significantly more balanced year over year, but it also gives the iPhone 11 7 full upgrades and eight years of support, not only the longest supported iPhones of all time, but also one year longer than what Google and Samsung have been promising the last couple years