iPad Sales

Discussion in 'iPad' started by kickandglide, Feb 2, 2010.

  1. kickandglide macrumors newbie

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    #1
    I believe the iPhone sold 1.1 million units in its first full quarter (correct me if I'm wrong). How many iPads do you think will sell in its first full quarter?
     
  2. 0blivion macrumors member

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  3. t0mat0 macrumors 603

    t0mat0

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    #4
    We may hear a stretch goal or similar at the release. But some analysts estimate 4-5 million. Do we know their capacity?
    PIck a million - 4-10
     
  4. vini-vidi-vici macrumors 6502

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    #5
    I think it'll sell better than the iPhone, here's why:

    - People have phone contracts and can't or don't want to switch right away... they'd rather wait a couple months and see.

    - $70/month for a phone is a lot more than a one-time expense for a much bigger screen on the iPad.

    - People are already familiar with the "concept" of the way the iPad works (touch screen, apps store, accelerometer, etc). They'll "get it" much more quickly.

    - There will be a ton of cool apps "ready to go" at launch.

    - The iPad is a more social device, and will be an easier sell "friend to friend". someone passes you their iPad to look at their photos, and you're sitting there thinking $499 for this? hmm... and it has all these cool apps too. (Then you go to the store and get the slightly more expensive model at the last minute).
     
  5. 3N16MA macrumors 65816

    3N16MA

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    #6
    I will be buying 1.5 million units the first week so Apple has nothing to worry about.
     
  6. bozzykid macrumors 68020

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    #7
    The cheapest iPad is still $400 more expensive than the cheapest iPhone though. For many people that will be a big barrier to entry.
     
  7. vini-vidi-vici macrumors 6502

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    #8
    But it's not... I've never understood people's logic with this kind of thing. When you buy an iPhone, you're signing up to pay at least $840 a year, PLUS whatever the thing costs up-front for the device... For a phone? and really, you're signing up for a 2 year contract. That's why I've never bought one. I have a cheap phone, and an iPod Touch... and I know a lot of people who have this combo.

    Are people really so basic in their thinking that they don't "do the math" and realize what they're really spending?

    In fairness, I guess if you need a phone anyway, you're going to pay something, so the real cost of the iPhone is $70 minus whatever else you'd pay... but still - that's a lot of money for a phone... even a very cool phone.
     
  8. applesupergeek macrumors 6502a

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    #9
    hahaha, cool post.
     
  9. kdesign7 macrumors 6502a

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    #10
    Honestly,

    I believe in the FIRST quarter, Apple could sell around 1.5million.

    But by the time the iPad is released, the new iPhone may be released as well, which will canabilize sales.

    I think shortly after the release of the iPhone, the iPad will skyrocket, to nearly 3-4million units in the second quarter.

    But those are just my opinions. :D
     
  10. 3N16MA macrumors 65816

    3N16MA

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    #11
    Thanks for the sarcasm.
     
  11. bossxii macrumors 68000

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    #12
    Wrong, in fact at the time of release the iPhone was $399 or $499? + 2 year contract... or $699/$799 without. (I think those were the numbers anyhow) Your not reading what he's asking... 1st quarter (2007 1g model) iPhones sales vs 1st quarter iPad sales.

    If you want to compare now, even at $100 for an iPhone and 70/mo for a contract your 2 year cost is well over double the cost of the iPad. My guess is this very fact will make it rather attractive.

    Plus as stated you won't be tied into a monthly fee to use the iPad.

    I think it will see similar number in the first quarter after it's release 1 to 1.5 million.
     
  12. kjanice2009 macrumors member

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    #13
    It is unpredictable! And i think apple ipad is just test for the market's reaction, soon the 2 generation will come out.
     
  13. kny3twalker macrumors 65816

    kny3twalker

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  14. sushi Moderator emeritus

    sushi

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    #15
    I think that the iPad will sell very well. Probably surprise a few folks.

    My guess is that the $499 will be the most popular version. It will be great for around the home and office for browsing and catching up on current events, completing e-mails, and maybe some light word processing with iWork.

    The iPad will be so darn convenient. :)
     
  15. kdesign7 macrumors 6502a

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    #16
    Agreed!
     
  16. greygray macrumors 68000

    greygray

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    #17
    A million for a start. We'll wait till sales pick up before we can decide.
     
  17. Chupa Chupa macrumors G5

    Chupa Chupa

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    #19
    Consensus among analyst is around 4-5m for the first year. Apple predicts 2x that amount. Historically Apple is conservative with its estimates so food for thought. I know of two that are sold right now, and that is just one family -- and the possibility of more sales from same family are good.

    Ultimately, the iPad depends on compelling apps. From what I've seen so far that won't be an issue. Once solid s/w is in place I think the iPad is going to be one of those products people see and feel in store and can't resist to buy -- maybe not immediately, but for a special occasion -- graduation, birthday, holiday gift.
     
  18. lordhamster macrumors 6502

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    #20
    Yes, but its only about $200 to $250 more expensive than cheap computers. Not to mention no monthly fees. In fact, if you figure in the fees, this badboy is waaaay cheaper than any iPhone.
     
  19. maflynn Moderator

    maflynn

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    #21
    This device is being directed at a different market that is admittedly smaller in size. So much so I doubt very much if the sales figures come close what the iPhone sold.

    People were clamoring for a smart phone that was easy to use, had great functionality. There's less of a market for a device that sits between an iPhone and a laptop.
     
  20. Chupa Chupa macrumors G5

    Chupa Chupa

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    #22
    Who admitted the target market is smaller? Please share your scientifically collected marketing data.
     
  21. samcraig macrumors P6

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    #23
    You're talking phone to pad comparisons. Just because they both can handle 3G?

    That's not necc the comparison to make

    Why not compare # of ipod touches to ipad wifi. Both have no contracts and wifi. The price spread is pretty large at entry levels.

    I have no idea what the sales would or could be - and everything is speculation.

    But those that keep saying 499 is cheap are thinking narrow-mindedly. Not meant to insult. But the iPad is a LUXURY item. And while you might think 499 isn't that big of a deal - tell that to the rest of the US/World - especially since the economy hasn't made its recovery yet. Unemployment is still very high. People are losing their homes. 499, if you already have a computer and/or an iPhone or touch is not easy to justify. Easier if you don't have either of those - but still - it's not "CHEAP".

    Is the iPad good value for 499 - sure. But it's still not cheap or affordable to many.
     
  22. bozzykid macrumors 68020

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    #24
    You may not agree with the logic, but it has been shown time and time again, that people will always choose the lower upfront cost even if it will cost more in the end. Just look at devices like TiVos. They tried to sell them at a premium with lifetime offers. It didn't take long to realize people aren't going to pay a lot upfront.
     
  23. bozzykid macrumors 68020

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    #25
    I'm talking about the current market. I think the demand for iPhones will still be greater because of the price. Most people are going to see this is a big iPod Touch, so why not get an iPhone. I think the iPhone OS is a blessing and a curse. People with iPhone's probably will not be compelled to buy it because they already have the same functionality. And people without iPhone's will see more value in a iPhone since it includes an actual phone. The question will be, what is the target audience. If Apple can find the target audience for this device, then it may take off.
     

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