have you checked the website recently?
http://www.wireless.att.com/cell-ph...?wtSlotClick=1-0013IU-0-1&WT.svl=calltoaction
the price is $199/$299
there is no subsidized/unsubsidized price, they are charging $199/$299 with contracts. there is no other price, therefore there is no "unsubsidized" price in the traditional sense.
everyone needs to stop getting hung up on semantics.
I still think this theory that the prices will strictly be $199/$299 is oversimplifying the situation. AT&T says that people who don't own a 1st generation iPhone and haven't had their previous subsidized phone for the required length of time will not be eligible for the $199/$299 price.
So are those people forbidden an iPhone 3G?
The only solution I see is for AT&T to say that the customer has to pay early termination fees for their previous contract and start a new one. This would allow AT&T to recoup the subsidies and sell the iPhone 3G to everyone at the $199/$299 price point.
Still, I don't see AT&T telling people, "you can't buy an iPhone 3G even if you pay full retail price." As far as I know, there is no phone that can't be bought outright at full retail. But, the retail price would have to be listed at over $199/$299. Furthermore, you have to pay tax on the retail price of subsidized phones which would then mean you're actually paying more than Steve's quoted prices. Is the retail price higher than the maximum price Steve Jobs quoted?
With the information we currently know, there are some people who could not buy an iPhone 3G.
We'll know on or before July 11th.