You are quoting a song to make your point on geopolitics? Sorry, you said the politics never change. thats what you said. You would be the only person in the world saying that. Well, except for this protected tribe off the coast of Africa that kills anyone that visits. They think the world isn't changing.
What you are describing here is 'rationalization.' Some things are very black and white. The politics between China and the US are getting more strained, China is getting more aggressive. And one day when you can't upgrade your device or get more ram chips because China invaded Taiwan you will have a hard time supporting things dont change.
You're putting words in my mouth. I didn't say politics never change. You are confusing what I did say. OP wrote (and this is a quote)...
The second is the difficult political situation with the US.
...to which I commented (also a quote of exactly what I replied)...
probably never changes, so if that's actually a cause, this problem is probably forever.
That doesn't say anything about politics never changing. It does have me agreeing with OP that the "difficult political situation" between China & U.S. is probably always "difficult"... as it seems to have always been throughout my lifetime. Sometimes those relations seem better and sometimes worse... but "difficult" can always be a tag applied by
someone. The weakest word in my quote is the use of "never" because that's a very long time... but I put some pinch on the boundless timetable of that with the word probably right in front it.
As to your second paragraph: the solution to that issue as it relates to our concerns as Apple customers is for Apple to diversify production of products like phones so that there is no total dependency on China at all. Then relations or politics could max out to the worst case and interested buyers could still buy phones. I have read many such stories over the last few years about various production moving to countries outside of China, so it appears Apple is on this to at least some degree.
If one day, we can't upgrade our phone, that will not be a bad day for us consumers (we can always keep using the phone we already have) but for Apple Inc. And if they maintain dependencies such that there would be such a complete cutoff scenario like that... that would persist for a long time while they have to build up new supply chains from non-China sources, that would be poor strategic planning on their part for not "what if"ing such a scenario in advance so they can quickly adapt and keep their cash registers ringing.
We just went through a thoroughly unexpected event- Covid- which came with shutting down supply lines around the world. Nobody could easily see that coming anywhere near as obviously as a scenario like this. And yet, Apple stuff kept right on being sold... kept right on being available. They seem to have found backup options to getting the supplies of whatever they needed to keep sales rolling throughout the entire period. I don't recall even ONE story where Apple ran out of about anything of consequence during the entire period for any meaningful amount of time.
Certainly a company agile enough to rapidly adapt against a completely unforeseen scenario like Covid must have some plan should China put a full pinch on making phones there. Unlike Covid, such an event would not be quite as "from nowhere" surprising... and yet Apple had little apparent trouble in the total surprise scenario that was Covid.
As a consumer, I would not sweat this at all. Worst possible case for us is continuing to use the tech we already possess while Apple finds other places to make new replacements. Many of us opt for "one more year" with a device we already have without any such geopolitical catalyst. For shareholders, Apple Inc should have strategic contingencies for all business-interrupting events of consequence they can foresee... of which this certainly seems like one of them. And if this was 10 years ago, or 10 years from now, I'd suggest the same. Make those 10s into 50s and I'd suggest the same too.