Oh sure, I could do the work for the OP. But that's something that the OP could do himself.Huh? You could research the time it took for a jailbreak after each major iOS release, then take the... uhh... average of those times?
Don't take that the wrong way as it wasn't directed at you. I understood what it was you were asking (not an average, but a specific amount of time that applied to all jailbreaks released). My comment was directed to the poster that was telling me I could do the research on all the time it took to release a jailbreak for each version and then average it."Oh sure, I could do the work for the OP. But that's something that the OP could do himself"
That statement can easily disregard every single forum on the web, since Yahoo Answers, Tom Hardware, this one, etc.
But got my answer already, thanks to the dude who let me know!!
Thanks man!!, this is what I was looking for.This is precisely the kind of question social scientists look at when they employ predictive markets. Some defense intelligence agencies have experimented with them (though they were reprimanded by congress for "betting" on questions about when people think the next terrorist attack will take place). They don't perform well in all cases, but predictive markets can yield surprisingly accurate results. It usually can't be just a poll though: guesses have to be essentially wagers where something is on the line (ie reward for the right answer and sufficient penalty for a wrong answer).
Of course the answer exists, much like guilt or innocence in a trial. and we will all know the actual answer in the next few months.
Asking about the average (though arguably the median would be better) is a pretty good baseline for predicting a future event like this.
My guess (with only my hefty reputation on the line lol) is for December. Seems in line with previous years.
I'd say there are still lots of devs, the landscape has just changed. I also wouldn't say it's accurate that the wait time between a major iOS release or new device and a jailbreak has vastly increased year over year - it's been all over the place. The 4 saw a jailbreak only 6 weeks or so after release, where as the 4S took months. iOS 7 was jailbroken faster than iOS 6, ect.There isn't an average time. The time has gotten longer in pretty much every generation since the 3G.
Nowadays there aren't as many devs involved in iOS hacking (I guess they're getting bored of it), and Apple has gotten better with security. Considering there hasn't been even a little bit of chatter about the jailbreak, I'd be surprised if we got it before next year
Too funny...I bought my iPhone 5 on Feb. 5th that year--same thing, had been waiting on the jailbreak to get the new phone. I wonder if Apple saw a surge in sales that week?The iPhone 5 was released with IOS 6 on Sept 21 2012. I just checked my receipt and I got my iPhone 5 on Feb 4th 2013, the day after the jailbreak was released.
For 3 months I had been using an iPhone 4 with a shattered screen waiting for the jailbreak so I could upgrade, and it was a fine day indeed!