Yellow memory pressure on low-tab usage, Apple Mail, Preview, and Facebook Messenger, none of which are doing anything terribly crazy and on a base model M1 Air makes me think that you are at least incorrect about what I've quoted in bold.
Occasional yellow pressure is hardly a cause for concern. As long as there are no performance issues, if it works, it works, right? There are plenty of users who own an 8GB model on these forums, but I don't remember seeing widespread reports of performance issues when performing everyday tasks. There is an increasing umber of testimonies about 8GB causing problems with more intense workloads (e.g. photo editing), which is why I agree that the base configuration should be increased to, say, 12GB. But this won't instantly make 8GB models unusable.
There's nothing to suggest that they won't do this once macOS is entirely Apple Silicon-only too.
So far, you have shown a macOS example from an era where both RAM capacity and requirement was growing very rapidly. And it was not just Apple, but also the rest of the PC industry. I mean, we went from 256MB being standard to 4GB being standard in just a couple of years, which is a 16x jump in capacity! But that's just not the case today, where
both the demand and technological development have slowed down tremendously. Maybe AI will disrupt this trend again, but that will cause much more than changing required RAM capacity.
So yes, there is nothing to suggest that they won't do it. But equally, there is absolutely nothing to suggest that they will do it.