I see a lot of posts of people saying that because orders are just now going out for those who ordered within the first 15-30 minutes, that it will be a very long time before they get to orders several hours after launch. I think a lot of the 4/10 orders will actually catch up quickly. A large concentration of orders were most likely done within the first 30 minutes of launch (the die-hard people). Another larger percentage would be those who woke up at a normal time or just ordered sometime on 4/10 or days after. It's easy to forget sometimes that MOST people don't get up in the middle of the night to order gadgets. I'm guessing that it is small percentage of orders that took place after the first 30 minutes and before normal wake up time on 4/10. That is why you see similar shipping estimates for watches ordered hours apart during that period. I don't see Apple having any trouble meeting any of their delivery estimate promises. I ordered mine at 5:22am ET, originally "June", updated to May 29-June 11. I am very excited to receive my watch too, but it's just a watch, I think I will survive another couple of weeks without it.