This event is already going to be full as it is. The Tablet is going to dominate most of the keynote with a brief preview of iPhone OS 4.0 and an iLife ’10 shipping announcement.
I wouldn’t expect anything else. Apple TV is Apple’s only living room device. It’s not going anywhere.
According to several analysts, Apple has sold roughly 6.6 million Apple TVs. For reference, Roku ($99 Netflix box) had sold 300,000 units in March ’09 with an estimated less than 1 million units sold by the end of the ’09 (and that’s very optimistic, most analysts put it far under).
People like to hype up the Boxee Box, Roku, Popcorn Hour, Pop Box and other competitors. However, no one has figured out how to dominate this space yet.
The fact that Apple’s sold 6.6 million Apple TVs is nothing to sneeze at considering the limitations of the device and the fact that Internet-connected set-top boxes are a relatively small (not to mention temporary) market.
I hope a major hardware update comes this year. Maybe PA Semi will have something to offer by September’s annual iTunes event.