In 2018 with most of my usage, usually no.
Very occasionally if I load up all my Office apps and load up some big files and have Chrome and Mail and some other stuff in the background, 16 GB may help, but I don't do that very often.
Put it this way:
16 GB is mandatory on my iMac, since I sometimes do the above plus Photos on top of that. Thus, my choice to get 24 GB on the iMac makes a lot of sense, even in 2018. However, with the MacBook, I rarely do that, since I usually use my iMac to do the heavy lifting, so 8 GB is sufficient.
That said, that is in 2018 with my current usage. However, I also may be using this laptop more in a different setting if I change jobs. I have started working elsewhere and would consider using this laptop with an LG 27UD88 4K monitor which would allow me the real estate to better make use of multiple apps, thereby eating up more memory. Also, I plan on keeping this laptop a very long time.
Why does keeping the laptop for a long time matter? Cuz I find that even with my normal usage, my memory use doubles maybe every 5 years.
So:
2008: 2 GB
2013: 4 GB
2018: 8 GB
2023: 16 GB
There is some support for this, for example here:
https://techtalk.pcpitstop.com/research-charts-memory/
View attachment 751337
According to that graph, here is the average RAM use in Canada (where I live):
2008: 2 GB
2012: 4 GB
2018: 8 GB
It seems installed memory increases are consistent, but there is perhaps a tendency for the rate of increase to be slowing down a bit. So perhaps my RAM usage won't double by 2023. However, that doesn't matter, since if my memory requirements only increase by say 50% by say 2022, that's still 12 GB, which you can't buy today. So 16 GB it is.
If Apple do indeed release a 13” version of the MacBook to replace the Air I can see them keeping the 16GB option and adding more higher specs, would that not tempt you to get the 13”? Personally I’m waiting to see what happens later this year as I video edit in Final Cut and not sure if the 12” would be enough or if the 13” with Touch Bar would be better.
I also have an iMac (new thin 2012 design) so I do use that a lot for heavy lifting of more serious editing when at home, it will probably need updating at some point but I’ve found that the 16GB in my iMac helps a lot especially since Final Cut can be a memory hog, depending on if you add effects to you’re video edits and so on.