A Somewhat Matching Prediction
Here's my prediction for Apple in 2003, beginning with the keynote (no, I don't have a clue which ones of the following will actually debut on Tuesday, but I doubt they all are.) It somewhat matches with MOSR's predictions and is inspired by most every rumor that's circulated in the last few weeks.
Marketing: Apple will announce moderately priced software updates for all media-oriented iApps coming in 2003.
.Mac users will receive all updates free, giving incentive to buy .Mac (no price change)
New computers will automatically ship with latest iApp upgrades for no extra cost.
Software:
This year will see the separation of media iApps (iTunes, iPhoto, iMovie, iDVD) and general purpose iApps (iSync, iChat, iCal, etc.)
Upgrades of existinc iApps with improved integration between them
1) iMovie 3.0 with Video Playlists (smart and regular)
2) iPhoto 2.0 with Picture Playlists (smart and regular)
3) iDVD 3.0
4) iChat w/ improved stability and new video conferencing protocols through Rendezvous network (workplace oriented)
5) iBrowse (Chimera-based web browser)
All general purpose iApps wil stay Free
Fees imposed for updates of all media iApps.
#1-3: $49.99 for the package of three, $20 individually
Hardware (some of this will be available at Apple retail stores immediately upon announcement):
1) New 24"-30" Apple Display, price drops on other models
2) iMac speed bumps and standard price drops
3) Either
The portable multi-function solution:
iPad - tablet Mac, 10" color screen; Inkwell functionality, Bluetooth enabled, Airport ready, syncable w/ iSync (Mac-to-Mac)
OR
The ulta-portable specialized solution:
New iPod - no price drops, no color screen, built in radio and microphone, redesigned casing to include new connection ports for video out.
Whichever of these portable lifestyle devices hits the market this January, I expect TV-top functionality in which pictures and movies will be displayable through any video source (connect using RCA L/R) and be driven largely by new types of playlists.