So you want Apple, the company of "no sacrifice for cheaper prices", to build an outdated "new" iPhone? Seems a bit out of character, no?
Of course its out of character....while they will likely still make money (even the current iPhones cost less than or right around $200 to make), profit margins would be smaller than they are used to....so the question becomes, do will they sacrifice margins to reach a wider audience??
I think the answer is and should be, "yes". Especially given the way I see the iPhone line shaking out over the next year-year and a half....
-cheap iPhone will go for $299 and $350 for 16 and 32 GB off contract....on-contract, these will be your "free" and $99 iPhones....
-iPhone 4" (the normal iPhone) will continue its current pricing model and likely drop the current name convention in favor of simply "iPhone"
-iPhone + (the bigger iPhone) will be priced at $100 more both on and off contract than the normal iPhone.
The pros here are reaching a wider audience (which both the cheap and bigger iPhones do) while keep overall iPhone margins still very high (higher price on the larger model will help offset the cheaper version).
Aside from the iPad 2 (which is likely gone with the intro of the iPad mini), the iPhone is currently the only Apple line which recycles old models....I've never been a fan of this, though I definitely see why they've done it this way. I think an annual update of each phone will give people both the choice and perceived uptick in refresh cycle they crave, while still maintaining Apple values (great products, high margins).
I for one hope this is the way they decide to do things - essentially we'll see:
-iOS debut in late spring
-iPhone line release in summer (with new iOS) and OSX debut/release
-iPad/iPod release in fall
-Bi-annual updates of their MacBook, iMac, Mac Pro and Mac mini lines (not all updated twice, but two computer "keynotes" a year)
I don't see the iPad coming back to the spring as its more of a "Christmas gift" than the iPhone is....at the same time, it would be tough to get the iPhone out in March/April....unless they did it now with the 5S and decided to "throw" this update in order to get on a different schedule (which I don't see happening).