If Apple decided - for example to stop selling iPhones in the EU, but continue to sell Macs and watches and AppleTVs and all other non-phone hardware - I predict the following would happen:But, a ‘small upstart’ company, focused on the ENTIRE rest of the world doesn’t have any new regulations applied on them just because they become successful. Selling only outside the EU means that, if they come up with something cool and unique that they want to control, it remains in their control. Sure, they’d miss out on any potential EU monies, but, last I checked, there are far more people in the world OUTSIDE the EU than in. For a company like Apple, it’s 75% or more of revenue (depending on how much of “Europe” is “The EU”). That’s a price worth paying for autonomy.
Just think about an Apple/iPhone with the current “don’t be successful” regulations in place, back then. There would be a serious discussion inside Apple regarding how much it would cost to take a system that only uses SMS and iMessage and support, seamlessly and securely, ALL the other messaging technologies from day one. Weighed against how much they would make if they just continued to focus on growing their marketshare outside of the EU. It wouldn’t be insane for them to “skip the EU, for now” and just increase in popularity around the rest of the world.
1). EU would start investigations and threatening fines because Apple refused to sell its phones in the EU.
2). EU would start investigations and threatening fines because a lot of people in the EU would still get iPhones indirectly (black market imports, gray market imports, or self-imported), depriving the EU of tax revenue, and stating that Apple is somehow responsible for not preventing people from getting iPhones purchased outside the EU into the EU.
Guaranteed.