The gist of threads like this is, "Will this new product meet my needs? No." After the product is announced the discussion simply turns to, "This new product doesn't meet my needs."
If I had to guess, the vast majority of Air owners are doing little in the way of sustained compute. They won't miss the fan ("quiet as an iPad!"), and From Apple's standpoint, the fan, as the last remaining motor in the machine, the last component with bearings... it's gotta go for the sake of reliability.
The spec sheet will be self-limiting - if it can't meet your needs, then it wasn't designed with your needs in mind. While we all hope Apple's next, great product will be for us, it's not always going to be the case.
It's not really to do with my needs. In fact, for most intents and purposes I would be fine with a Core M-based laptop. (Until a month ago I was using a 1.4GHz Core 2 Duo and that was okay.)
It's just that I can't see Apple taking a step backwards performance-wise for the minimal gains of passive computing:
- Thinner: Okay, they might be able to shave off a couple millimeters from the back. Basically just the lump on the bottom. They sides are already basically the minimum height they can be to still accommodate USB ports. I don't know if many people complain about how thick MBAs are but I won't argue about thinner being better.
- Quieter: I guess. The current MBAs with their 1200 RPM fans are basically impossible for me to hear and I'm a quiet-computing fanatic. So that tells you something that I'm arguing that Apple should keep the fan.
- Reliability: Kind of a moot point IMO, since if the fan in a MBA fails, it's incredibly cheap and easy to swap it for a new one. And I don't know if fan failure is a super common problem anyway. Don't those things commonly have an MTBF rating of around 50k hours, i.e., running 5.7 years straight? Seems like a long time.
Whereas consider the benefits of a fan:
- Can sustain maximum turbo boost indefinitely
- Keeps the case nice and cool
- Good for peace of mind if you're using the computer on a hot day, or outside, or on a pile of blankets, etc. Remember that iPads overheat quickly if you use them in the sun, but not MacBooks.
So considering the pros vs. cons, I think it's almost impossible that Apple will go with a fanless design. Obviously it's not completely impossible.