Unfortunately, I don't think we will see the MPC8641D before Oct, '05. I have charted Apple's cycle of processor upgrades for the iBook and PowerBook since April of 2002 with the following results:
The iBooks have been consistently updated every 5 and 1/2 to 6 months whereas the PowerBooks have been updated in longer and less consistent cycles from 6 to 10 months. If this pattern holds, then the iBooks are due for an update this month or by May at the latest--my guess is probably simultaneously with or shortly after the release of Tiger with a DirectX9 compatible gfx card, though I don't see any feasible solution without almost making the iBook a PB. Further, given the delays in processor upgrades, I would gander that the PBs won't be upgraded for about 9 months. If the iBooks were upgraded 6 months after an April update, then both the iBooks and PBs would be upgraded (with a new form factor?) around October--though I suppose it is possible the PB might be upgraded in Sep, '05, followed by the iBook in Oct, '05, but this is neither here nor there at the moment. BTW, the iBooks and PBs were updated simultaneously in April of 2004 and in October of 2002, as well. However, the real hang-up is whether Apple implements the 7448 chip before the MPC8641(D), unless it has been cancelled, as was possibly suggested in a previous post in another thread by another poster.
I am really hoping Apple does upgrade to the MPC8641 chips with the dual-core going into the PB by fall or I will have to consider purchasing a P-M and installing Linux. I really like OSX--what I have read about it and what little I have used it--and I would really like to become cross-platform, but I REFUSE to buy antiquated hardware. I hope you're listening Apple because it is up to you! Are you a computer company, software AND hardware, or an iPod company?