Sidebar Sidebar
Become a MacRumors Supporter for $50/year with no ads, ability to filter front page stories, and private forums.

No New iPhone until late June/July

When do you think the new iPhone will be released?

  • To coincide with WWDC June 8th (Awesome! I wanted like yesterday)

    Votes: 13 39.4%

  • To Coincide with the return of Steve jobs, Late June (he has risen!)

    Votes: 3 9.1%

  • Keeping with tradition July

    Votes: 15 45.5%

  • Later

    Votes: 2 6.1%
  • Total voters
    33
  • Poll closed .
T

TechWhore

macrumors regular
Original poster
Aug 12, 2006
103
0
I was just thinking about all the rumors circulating about an iPhone release in June to coincide with WWDC... I did some simple math based on recent news (http://9to5mac.com/digitimes-iphone-shipping-parts) and realized this isn't possible.

As of today there are 60 days until WWDC (June 8)... So 60 days x 100,000 units (Foxconn had reported they had manufactured the 3G at this rate at its peak). This would bring it to 6mil units (If they started manufacturing today *unlikely*). This seems like plenty, however they will most like split the shipments.

So....
Probably closer to 50,000 manufactured (100,000 peak)...
Probably start Manufacturing in a week or two, so lets say at least 40 days of manufacturing before they ship...
Split Shipments...

2 Million initial run = equal shortage

The end of June or July would supply the adequate time needed.
 
TechWhore said:
I was just thinking about all the rumors circulating about an iPhone release in June to coincide with WWDC... I did some simple math based on recent news (http://9to5mac.com/digitimes-iphone-shipping-parts) and realized this isn't possible.

As of today there are 60 days until WWDC (June 8)... So 60 days x 100,000 units (Foxconn had reported they had manufactured the 3G at this rate at its peak). This would bring it to 6mil units (If they started manufacturing today *unlikely*). This seems like plenty, however they will most like split the shipments.

So....
Probably closer to 50,000 manufactured (100,000 peak)...
Probably start Manufacturing in a week or two, so lets say at least 40 days of manufacturing before they ship...
Split Shipments...

2 Million initial run = equal shortage

The end of June or July would supply the adequate time needed.
Click to expand...

Who's to say it hasn't already started being manufactured?
 
TechWhore said:
So....
Probably closer to 50,000 manufactured (100,000 peak)...
Probably start Manufacturing in a week or two, so lets say at least 40 days of manufacturing before they ship...
Split Shipments...

2 Million initial run = equal shortage

The end of June or July would supply the adequate time needed.
Click to expand...

Do you think the new iPhone will see the same demand as the 3G version saw at it's release? I will be surprised if it sees even half the demand in this economy. Plus, the customers have way too many choices now compared to when 3G came out. Lot of hot phones from HTC, Nokia, Samsung, LG, Acer, Toshiba, and Sony Ericsson are expected to start pouring into the market this summer. Also, if Apple has the current 3G version stock left, they will be heavily discounted to compete with the newer model. AT&T might even start giving the refurbished one's for Free with 2-year contract.
 
Ivan P said:
Who's to say it hasn't already started being manufactured?
Click to expand...

Again I am basing this on the rumor today that broke on Engadget, Gizmodo, 9to5Mac, and apple insider that Taiwanese companies are no starting to ship parts/components for the phone.... meaning they haven't even begone their assembly process yet.
 
kits said:
Do you think the new iPhone will see the same demand as the 3G version saw at it's release? I will be surprised if it sees even half the demand in this economy. Plus, the customers have way too many choices now compared to when 3G came out. Lot of hot phones from HTC, Nokia, Samsung, LG, Acer, Toshiba, and Sony Ericsson are expected to start pouring into the market this summer. Also, if Apple has the current 3G version stock left, they will be heavily discounted to compete with the newer model. AT&T might even start giving the refurbished one's for Free with 2-year contract.
Click to expand...



That is a possibility I did not consider, of them maintaining the current 3G at a lower price and having the new version be a proversion...

I think there will still be a demand, but 2 million still seems short. as the 3G sold over 1 million in its first weekend.
 
SiuPak said:
Steve Jobs said that he will come back in late June.
Click to expand...

Which I still believe he will come back only to leave shortly there after. Having him make such an announcement during the launch of a new product (iphone) and OS (snow leopard) would take the burn off their stock price.
 
What a waste of a thread...

Stop making these stupid threads. We all know a new iPhone will come out every year.
 
apple has way too many engineers and it doesn't mean that they would need all of them to do on one single project. So this doesn't show that every single one of them have to participate in this project.
I'm guessing by now they should have a prototype running to see any problems or glitches going on, and solving it. OR maybe they have already done that and just confirming on manufacturing.
apple has this 1 year loop thing and we can see from the rest of the apple products are released every year.
so why people think iphone won't be released this year?:)
i would say iphone will be out traditionally.
like last year, when they are celebrating iphone 1st gen 1-year-birthday, and SUDDENLY leaving that poor product aside and introducing iphone 3g
we just have to wait :(
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Register on MacRumors! This sidebar will go away, and you'll see fewer ads.
Top Bottom
Back