Other Our First-Ever AAPL Conspiracy Theory ...

Is this XS / XS Max Conspiracy Theory Probable ???


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    43

Cosmosent

macrumors 65816
Original poster
Apr 20, 2016
1,176
1,258
La Jolla, CA
10:30 AM (La Jolla, CA-time) update for Wednesday, Sept 26th

Our First-Ever AAPL Conspiracy Theory ...

Today we are Predicting that upon First Availability of the iPhone XR (Fri, Oct 26), something new will occur for the first-time ever in the 11-year History of iPhone Introductions.

Specifically, we are Predicting that a High Number of new iPhone XS & XS Max owners will 2nd Guess their Decision NOT to have waited for the XR.

We don't think something like this has ever happened before.

Hard to tell at this point, but there could be a Flood of Returns (of the XS & XS Max) ... more specifically, Exchanges to the XR.

It's fairly clear the XS Max has Outsold the XS by a 4x factor (mostly because of the small $100 USD difference in Starting Prices, but ALSO because the XS is perceived to be too similar to last year's model).

It's ALSO fairly obvious that XS Max owners would have the most financial incentive to Exchange to the XR.

We also firmly believe "the spacing" between the XS / XS Max launch AND the XR launch was EXTREMELY intentional ... just enough distance between them so that MOST will NOT be able to Return OR Exchange their XS or XS Max.

And now today, we're hearing about the possibility of further Delays for the XR.

If you hear Stories on the internet about AAPL dealing with Production Issues / Delays with the XR, that's just them "Blowing Smoke up your Skirt" (figure of speech there, of course) ... AAPL is deadly worried about this possibility (of XS / XS Max Returns AND/OR Exchanges).

Stated differently, the Delay could be Real, the Reason for the Delay is very-likely Manufactured.

We first started reporting on this just yesterday.

We're usually Ahead of the Curve compared to everyone else, & that certainly includes the so-called Pro Stock Analysts who cover AAPL.

Also, we believe AAPL is currently trading ~2x above it's "true" market value ... that's what Leadership in Stock Buybacks will get you.
 

redheeler

macrumors 604
Oct 17, 2014
7,659
7,484
Specifically, we are Predicting that a High Number of new iPhone XS & XS Max owners will 2nd Guess their Decision NOT to have waited for the XR.
Extremely unlikely many current Xs owners will be eyeing the XR at all. The iPhone Xs has an actual 2019-ready screen, dual cameras, 3D Touch, and more durable build quality, all of which are useful features to those who are willing and able to pay the high price of the Xs.
 

mcmanus7

macrumors 6502a
Oct 30, 2008
678
77
What a bunch of BS.

Can't see people trading in their MAX for the XR, I would not even consider it.

The XR is an entry level iPhone and it will not have anything special that would attract Max owners.
I feel like the real target market for the Xr are 6/6S/7 users even 8 users that don't want to upgrade to a X/XS/XS Max.

The only ones that may feel regret are the ones that didn't need the XS specific features (screen, dual camera) and bought it because it was first out.
 

AppleHaterLover

macrumors 68020
Jun 15, 2018
2,036
2,040
I thought twice about reading this post. I regret my decision and I gave up halfway through.

Look, Mr. Freelancer Market Analyst:

-iPhone Xr will launch later because it will.
 

Steve686

macrumors 68040
Nov 13, 2007
3,439
1,371
US>FL>Miami/Dade>Sunny Isles Beach>Condo
Conspiracy? No.

Apple hitting target markets and hedging the two designs apart for maximum retention. Yes.

It’s simple marketing and economics.

On top of that, offering toooooo many decisions together is what really leads to returns and exchanges.

This is why many products become short supply online and in stores before Apple refreshes them.
[doublepost=1537987796][/doublepost]
Can’t return something if it is past the 14 day return period. 9/21 to 10/26 is more than 14 days.
But many won’t have their phones until well after 9/21. Either way, this post is waaaaaaaaaay out there on logic.
 

Jtludwig

macrumors 6502
Mar 24, 2012
382
205
10:30 AM (La Jolla, CA-time) update for Wednesday, Sept 26th

Our First-Ever AAPL Conspiracy Theory ...

Today we are Predicting that upon First Availability of the iPhone XR (Fri, Oct 26), something new will occur for the first-time ever in the 11-year History of iPhone Introductions.

Specifically, we are Predicting that a High Number of new iPhone XS & XS Max owners will 2nd Guess their Decision NOT to have waited for the XR.

We don't think something like this has ever happened before.

Hard to tell at this point, but there could be a Flood of Returns (of the XS & XS Max) ... more specifically, Exchanges to the XR.

It's fairly clear the XS Max has Outsold the XS by a 4x factor (mostly because of the small $100 USD difference in Starting Prices, but ALSO because the XS is perceived to be too similar to last year's model).

It's ALSO fairly obvious that XS Max owners would have the most financial incentive to Exchange to the XR.

We also firmly believe "the spacing" between the XS / XS Max launch AND the XR launch was EXTREMELY intentional ... just enough distance between them so that MOST will NOT be able to Return OR Exchange their XS or XS Max.

And now today, we're hearing about the possibility of further Delays for the XR.

If you hear Stories on the internet about AAPL dealing with Production Issues / Delays with the XR, that's just them "Blowing Smoke up your Skirt" (figure of speech there, of course) ... AAPL is deadly worried about this possibility (of XS / XS Max Returns AND/OR Exchanges).

Stated differently, the Delay could be Real, the Reason for the Delay is very-likely Manufactured.

We first started reporting on this just yesterday.

We're usually Ahead of the Curve compared to everyone else, & that certainly includes the so-called Pro Stock Analysts who cover AAPL.

Also, we believe AAPL is currently trading ~2x above it's "true" market value ... that's what Leadership in Stock Buybacks will get you.
Good job pushing your goofy website.
 
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mkz168

macrumors member
Oct 9, 2014
79
55
Just who the folks are “We” that you’re speaking off? We at Samsung? You’re on the wrong forum.
 
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ectospheno

macrumors regular
Sep 19, 2005
210
226
Also, we believe AAPL is currently trading ~2x above it's "true" market value ... that's what Leadership in Stock Buybacks will get you.
Could you just go back to slamming Tesla and shorting that? I was really enjoying this aspect of Tesla, it kept "stories" like this out of the forums.
 

BugeyeSTI

macrumors 68040
Aug 19, 2017
3,484
2,418
Arizona
I think the amount of people who swap there Xs/Max for the Xr will be about the same as those who swapped from the X to the 8/8+ last year.... No conspiracy just changing their mind.
 

VantaNoir

macrumors member
Feb 12, 2017
72
27
And in February 2019, everyone who bought an Xr/Xs/XS-Max will trade it in for the new Samsung Galaxy S10 because everyone knows that phone will blow out every phone in existence to shreds while Michael Jackson comes out of his grave to pull off a moon walk DDT on yo @$$:p:D
 
Last edited:

apolloa

Suspended
Oct 21, 2008
12,318
7,798
Time, because it rules EVERYTHING!
I think the amount of people who swap there Xs/Max for the Xr will be about the same as those who swapped from the X to the 8/8+ last year.... No conspiracy just changing their mind.
That’s wrong, because those who changed to the 8 from an X will have done so due to not liking the design or something, if you go from an XS to an XR your kinda swapping like for like and it’s a bit pointless, unless you can’t have the OLED because it gives you headaches.
 

kmj2318

macrumors 68000
Aug 22, 2007
1,614
582
Naples, FL
The endowment bias is when people value things more after having owned it than they would if they never owned it. By that principle I think very few people will exchange it.

More likely, a lot of people will choose the Xr over the Xs when comparing both side-by-side, when there is no endowment bias.
 

Lobwedgephil

macrumors 601
Apr 7, 2012
4,996
3,634
What a ridiculous post. How do you think they intentionally spaced out the launch to avoid returns, yet still think there will be massive returns, which you just said isn't possible.
 

xxray

macrumors 65816
Jul 27, 2013
1,158
1,545
Sure, some people may value more cash in their pocket, but I choose the higher-priced Max for a reason. I wanted the best iPhone possible, no compromises. That is worth the extra money to me.
 
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