Not sure there are that many, if any, of the latter in real life. The "set top box running Mac OS (X)" rumour has been around for many, many, years. Apple TV wasn't even Apple's first commercial attempt, Pippin preceded it. The iHome thing was the logical extension of a large amount of speculation after it became widely known Apple was releasing a low-end Mac, a rumour that despite coming from the highest sources at the time, was widely disbelieved by the Mac community who made up all manner of "alternative" explanations that had clearly been products misunderstood by mainstream journalists as a "low end Mac".3. Fakes that are trying to tell us something. Everyone uses the old iHome box in the elevator as the primary example of a total fake, but I often wonder how much the person who faked that knew about theTV. It's strikingly similar.
I don't know, I'm ignoring most of the rumours about tomorrow's event because until it happens, all we have to go on is speculation. Though I'd like to see:
* A version of the iMac with a large "forehead", with Teh Steve arguing it was Apple's response to all the people who said they didn't like the chin.
* The Mac nano, an iPod sized/shaped Mac that replaces the Mac mini.
* A Powerbook G5.
* Mac OS X for generic PCs.
That would make for an awesome Stevenote, albeit a somewhat controversial one...