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Preoders: how fast will they run out?
- Thread starter tylerdw89
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If the leaked dates from yesteday are true, even the first orders aren't guaranteed for delivery on the 24th.
At least in Europe anyway.
Hopefully they weren't accurate, but all signs point towards very low numbers being available.
At least in Europe anyway.
Hopefully they weren't accurate, but all signs point towards very low numbers being available.
My guesses.... I think that some Sport models will slip within 2 hours, with some configurations available until later in the day, then slip dates. I think some SS configurations (especially the black link one), will not slip until a few days later.
So, undoubtedly you'll get people who can't buy a Sport thinking about getting a SS and paying more money to get one on launch day.
I believe the production issues this time, and I also believe Apple's estimates of sales are too low, especially for the Sport. I think their sale estimates for the SS are too high.
So, undoubtedly you'll get people who can't buy a Sport thinking about getting a SS and paying more money to get one on launch day.
I believe the production issues this time, and I also believe Apple's estimates of sales are too low, especially for the Sport. I think their sale estimates for the SS are too high.
If the leaked dates from yesterday are true, I am going to be furious.
Apple is the largest, richest company in the world, with one of the most loyal customer bases. Is it really too much to ask that they stick to their word? Launch a product when it's ready and when you have the stock to meet demand. Why get people's backs up by claiming availability on the 24th and then immediately pushing it back. If they were not going to be ready by the 24th, they should have announced a later date.
I had planned to just order when I started work at 715am but after reading this thread I'm going to get up at 250am EST and just order it - get it over with and then go back to bed for a few more hours. I work from home this week so it's not such a big deal......
Let's put it this way.....
Apple has VERY carefully managed every aspect of this device from start right up to now.
Doing every single thing it can to promote this as THE new device.
I would say Apple are going to MANAGE stock availability of this VERY carefully to make sure it looks like am amazing success that everyone is desperate to get their hands on.
And they will use whatever stock control/availability tricks they can, or they need to, to make sure it "Looks" this way.
I think you can work out for yourselfs the rest.
Apple has VERY carefully managed every aspect of this device from start right up to now.
Doing every single thing it can to promote this as THE new device.
I would say Apple are going to MANAGE stock availability of this VERY carefully to make sure it looks like am amazing success that everyone is desperate to get their hands on.
And they will use whatever stock control/availability tricks they can, or they need to, to make sure it "Looks" this way.
I think you can work out for yourselfs the rest.
Put your tinfoil hat away.... Apple has never done this, although they've been accused of this every single launch since the iPhone 1.
I'd say minutes from the feeling I'm getting , and I've ordered online every phone since the 3G . I'll give it 10 minutes till some start to slip
I think the first to slip will be the space gray sport. It seems like a ton of people want that model. The others will slip based on how many they actually produce. I hate to say it, but I am sure the US has a much larger supply coming their way.
So, you think that if demand was low, Apple would keep shipping as many as they possibly can units into stores even when the media started reporting, loads in stock sitting unsold.
You genuinly think Apple would keep pumping into the stores the stock they have build up ready in the warehouses?
I don't think even you would do this.
You would wish to balance it, to make it look very successful.
I really do not think they are going to sell as crazy as the forums are making it out to be. I know zero people IRL, outside of myself, who is preordering this product or even cares about it....
I just don't see this. For one, there are so many options vs. a handful with the iPhone.
Secondly, I still think the general public is 'lukewarm' on this at best. I am at a software company and of all the consultants and developers on my team, I don't know any of them who is ordering other than me, and I'm the 'old guy' who isn't even technical anymore.
Being on this forum skews our perception of the real demand for this watch.
That being said, NONE of us know the true supply which is obviously just as important as true demand.
This theory always comes up, but it doesn't hold much water.
Apple are purely interested in selling as many of these as they can.
The signs seem to show that stock is going to be limited, but this stinks more of broken promises, and people not willing to say no behind the scenes.
The point is, we have no idea if this is all part of the Managed Launch.
they must have pumped hundreds of millions of dollars into this.
Do you really think Apple are going to leave any aspect of the launch to chance.
They will have every single "What if" scenario carefully planned out, and what action they will take whatever happens to make this look successful.
I think we can all hear Tim Cook on stage now saying how amazed they were with the unpresendented demand for this new device.
And how it has sold far better than even they have expected.
That speech is probably already written now
As already mentioned this is one of those cynical viewpoints that always crops up when a new product is about to be launched by Apple. It even happens with other companies although in my mind there is no truth in it.
We've waited how many years for Apple to come out with this watch, a few more weeks or even a month or two is no real problem. Especially until recently we've not even known for sure that Apple was even working on a watch.
Besides I've got my Pebble watch to tide me over.
Besides I've got my Pebble watch to tide me over.
It does. Use the Apple Store app, much easier and causes no stress. Well, when I've used it, no issues.
I've seen this happen the iPhone launches. I'm going to guess the demand for the watch is much less. Also during an iPhone launch the servers are talking to carrier servers to get upgrade eligibility. They won't have to do that for this launch.
The app seems to fair better during those launches, so my guess is that is a good choice.
Unfortunately for me, I have gift cards, and that means I have to use the website.