Would the same people here currently defending Apple really feel the same way about this case if it was Samsung/Google/Microsoft colluding with the publishers in exactly the same way?
It's not speculation that apple had legal advice, some of the lawyers involved were called to testify. Apple seems to have a lot of lawyers, maybe they ignore them, who knows. On the other hand, are you speculating that Apple knowingly broke the antitrust law because it thought it "was worth the risk", or do you have some evidence to that effect?
That the publisher's settled says nothing about Apple's legal position. Apple played a different role in the deal. The publishers settlement with DOJ is a business decision, it simply shows that an admission of guilt and a fine was less expensive than the cost of defending themselves. Apple has publicly stated that they don't believe they did anything wrong and choose defend themselves rather than admitting to guilty. Some people may choose to believe that they are lying, but Apple has a history of putting their money where their mouth is when it comes to being a socially responsible company, that earns them the benefit of the doubt with me.
Amazon's obtained their 90% share of the e-book by being the first on the scene with a good e-reader, eBook store, and content delivery system; they earned that 90%. But e-books were not a "free market" where competition sets a fair price and drives innovation. I'm a capitalist at heart; I just happen to think that free markets are better.
The deals that Apple cut with the publishers don't seem unfair to me; publishers set the price for their product, pay Apple a share for the sale, and let Apple sell for as good a price as anybody else. Apple didn't dictate how the publishers made deals with anybody else. And Amazon wound up getting the same deal. It seems far more likely that another business could profitably enter into the e-book market following Apple's deal than before, so the market would be more likely to see competition. What Apple did with their deals was to eliminated Amazon's barrier to competition, a barrier Amazon held in place by selling popular e-Books at a loss.
Your example about Microsoft and X-Box is good, and Apple has frequently done the same thin. They win some, they loose some, it's how business works. But as long as Amazon was selling e-books at a loss, I don't see how Apple or anybody else could enter the market and expect to eventually make a profit on e-books. Do you have some profitable business plan in mind?
Your comment on why "The publishers wanted higher ebooks prices" is speculation. My suggestion that higher e-book prices would be an incentive for publishers to bringing more of their catalog to the e-book market is also speculation, but is the sort of things successful business do, they increase supply when there is a demand.
But may main point was that I think we have a problem in the US with antitrust laws. The laws should be clear, and I don't think they are (although I admit I am not a lawyer). I think there should be a compelling reason for the government to intercede in the free market, and in this case I don't see one. I don't see how DOJ's action promotes free and fair competition in the market.
That's a kick in the groin for Apple's bottom line...
We're all speculating, but let's assume that your speculation is the correct one and the antritust law is unclear. In this case the lawyers should have advised about the risks of "maneuvering" in a grey area and the management should have considered the worst case scenario. If they gave the green light without warning the management that there were risks due to the uncertainty of the law they made a mistake. My speculation is that it's more likey that the lawyers did warn the management that there were legal risks in the operation and the management considered the risk acceptable.It's not speculation that apple had legal advice, some of the lawyers involved were called to testify. Apple seems to have a lot of lawyers, maybe they ignore them, who knows. On the other hand, are you speculating that Apple knowingly broke the antitrust law because it thought it "was worth the risk", or do you have some evidence to that effect?
Actually I think the publishers did not admit any wrongdoing in their settlements.The publishers settlement with DOJ is a business decision, it simply shows that an admission of guilt and a fine was less expensive than the cost of defending themselves.
The deals that Apple cut with the publishers don't seem unfair to me.
Amazon was selling some titles as loss leaders, but it is overall profitable in the ebooks market. Were this not the case I would agree with you, it would be predatory pricing and an antitrust case would be brought against Amazon. The problem is that Amazon being profitable means that there is no predatory pricing and that their business model is perfectly valid. If their business model works and you want to compete you need to find a similar or better business model and do your investments. Basically if Amazon is profitable, Apple can be profitable too. This being hard or expensive doesn't make Amazon's position illegal, Apple or other competitors are not entitled a "fair share of the market" simply because Amazon has a huge share of it, if they want it they have to win it fairly.Your example about Microsoft and X-Box is good, and Apple has frequently done the same thin. They win some, they loose some, it's how business works. But as long as Amazon was selling e-books at a loss, I don't see how Apple or anybody else could enter the market and expect to eventually make a profit on e-books. Do you have some profitable business plan in mind?
Your comment on why "The publishers wanted higher ebooks prices" is speculation. My suggestion that higher e-book prices would be an incentive for publishers to bringing more of their catalog to the e-book market is also speculation, but is the sort of things successful business do, they increase supply when there is a demand.
Even if they are not clear, a good lawyer should warn you about the risks. I agree that the law should be clear since in my opinion every citizen should be able to understand it without need for legal advice, but I cannot believe that Apple's lawyers didn't warn the management that what they were doing was at least in a grey area.But may main point was that I think we have a problem in the US with antitrust laws. The laws should be clear, and I don't think they are (although I admit I am not a lawyer). I think there should be a compelling reason for the government to intercede in the free market, and in this case I don't see one. I don't see how DOJ's action promotes free and fair competition in the market.
Amazon was selling some titles as loss leaders, but it is overall profitable in the ebooks market. Were this not the case I would agree with you, it would be predatory pricing and an antitrust case would be brought against Amazon. The problem is that Amazon being profitable means that there is no predatory pricing and that their business model is perfectly valid. If their business model works and you want to compete you need to find a similar or better business model and do your investments. Basically if Amazon is profitable, Apple can be profitable too. This being hard or expensive doesn't make Amazon's position illegal, Apple or other competitors are not entitled a "fair share of the market" simply because Amazon has a huge share of it, if they want it they have to win it fairly.
In the case of Amazon, I really don't know what they did or didn't do, but for example running the bestseller list at a loss while profiting on all other book sales could be considered predatory, since certain smaller physical booksellers may be forced by publishers to buy bestsellers in bulk so they either have to face an inevitable massive loss or commit commercial suicide by never stocking the books people actually want to buy.
Running at an overall loss is NOT the test of whether a trader is using predatory pricing. In fact if you're engaged in predatory pricing its common sense to raise prices elsewhere to fund your extermination programme. That's why big companies can undertake it, and regularly get accused of it - because their size makes it quite easy to pull off without hitting their bottom line.
In the case of Amazon, I really don't know what they did or didn't do, but for example running the bestseller list at a loss while profiting on all other book sales could be considered predatory, since certain smaller physical booksellers may be forced by publishers to buy bestsellers in bulk so they either have to face an inevitable massive loss or commit commercial suicide by never stocking the books people actually want to buy.
I'm not saying the above happens, but its an example of predatory pricing where you need to look at the specifics of that trade to see how the tactic works, not just apply blanket rules of profit vs loss.
The second prerequisite to holding a competitor liable under the antitrust laws for charging low prices is a demonstration that the competitor had a reasonable prospect, or, under 2 of the Sherman Act, a dangerous probability, of recouping its investment in below-cost prices. See Matsushita, supra, at 589; Cargill, supra, at 119, n. 15. "For the investment to be rational, the [predator] must have a reasonable expectation of recovering, in the form of later monopoly profits, more than the losses suffered." Matsushita, supra, at 588-589. Recoupment is the ultimate object of an unlawful predatory pricing scheme; it is the means by which a predator profits from predation. Without it, predatory pricing produces lower aggregate prices in the market, and consumer welfare is enhanced.
[...]
The plaintiff must demonstrate that there is a likelihood that the predatory scheme alleged would cause a rise in prices above a competitive level that would be sufficient to compensate for the amounts expended on the predation, including the time value of the money invested in it. As we have observed on a prior occasion, "n order to recoup their losses, [predators] must obtain enough market power to set higher than competitive prices, and then must sustain those prices long enough to earn in excess profits [509 U.S. 209, 226] what they earlier gave up in below-cost prices." Matsushita, 475 U.S., at 590 -591.
What has to do physical books with ebooks in this case? Price of bestseller ebooks were lower than physical books even if they were sold with agency model.
My interpretation is that Amazon is not engaged in predatory pricing because predatory pricing needs to meet the "I take a loss now, drive the competition away, and recover the investment later" criteria. The problem is that Amazon is not taking any losses with the ebooks sales, Amazon is making money right now, so there are no "losses to recoup" in the future at all.
If course it's all interpretation, and the law is vague and differs around the world, but if a supermarket chain were to open a store in a small town close to an independent cheese shop, and shortly after start selling cheese at a loss, many people would call that clear and blatant predatory pricing. It wouldn't meet your criteria though because there's no way a loss on just cheese could drive the entire organisation into the red.
Our Supreme Court has cautioned: “Pricing practices are not unfair merely because a competitor may not be able to compete against them. Low prices often benefit consumers and may be the very essence of competition․ Courts must not prohibit ‘vigorous competition’ nor ‘render illegal any decision by a firm to cut prices in order to increase market share.’ ” (Cel-Tech Communications, Inc. v. Los Angeles Cellular Telephone Co. (1999) 20 Cal.4th 163, 189, 83 Cal.Rptr.2d 548, 973 P.2d 527.)
If that implies expensive eBooks, no! I do not want competition. Competition is normally good because it brings the prices down. That is not what happened.
And people like you will say, "if amazon creates a monopoly then the prices will increase". Well, if that happens I'm sure that the competition will enter in the market and offer some affordable eBooks.
Price is largely irrelevant. Apple iBooks delivers a more immersive ebooks experience. That's what consumers want.
The law might be vague but the courts' interpretation is very clear and consistent and makes a predatory pricing claim very difficult to succeed, you just have to search a bit and read the various sentences. Again another example:
In Brooke Group, Ltd. v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp.,4 the Court set out the test for determining the existence of predatory pricing. The predatory pricing analysis is a two-prong test and is as follows:
First, a plaintiff seeking to establish competitive injury resulting from a rival's low prices must prove that the prices complained of are below an appropriate measure of its rival's costs... The second prerequisite ...is a demonstration that the competitor had a reasonable prospect, or under§ 2 of the Sherman Act, a dangerous probability, of recouping its investment in below-cost prices.5
It is not required that the entire business be running at a loss, just that specific prices are below cost. This is the only point I'm trying to make: you cannot say that because Amazon makes a profit it must be innocent of predatory pricing. Because they allegedly do sell at a loss, and because they are becoming dominant in many markets, its right that commentators raise the issue of whether they are engaging in predatory behaviour to build a monopoly, regardless of whether the US court have made it difficult or impossible (via the 2nd prong) to secure a court victory.
Yes its difficult to succeed, because obtaining the proof is difficult.
The Supreme Court has recognized that this two-prong analysis will make proving predatory pricing an extremely difficult endeavor for the trial lawyer. "[P]redatory pricing schemes are rarely tried, and even more rarely successful."9 The Court indicated that the standards for finding predatory pricing liability are high because the mechanism of lowering prices in a predatory setting is the same action that is undertaken to stimulate competition. To make mistaken judicial inferences would be costly as "they [would] chill the very conduct the antitrust laws are designed to protect."
Your own link explains why it's difficult to succeed.
Are you saying that no commerce can sell at a loss some items?
Are you saying that no commerce can sell at a loss some items?
If you're an author and Amazon just decided to sell your book at a discount, you'd be
If you're an author and Amazon just decided to sell your book at a discount, you'd be pissed...
Low, low discount items, loss leaders, are the sign of a Herb Tarlick shifty salesman to me. Late night TV barkers.
Exactly. That's what he said. But just because its difficult to successfully prove, doesn't mean it's not happening.
[P]redatory pricing schemes are rarely tried, and even more rarely successful.
The publisher all settled with the DOJ out of court, Apple decided to fight the charges.
That's a kick in the groin for Apple's bottom line...