I really enjoy Backblaze's blog about their hard drive stats. They use consumer hard drives in their datacenter so they can accumulate a lot of stats about failure rate. It's not a perfect comparison to home use, but it's enough that I would pick either a Toshiba or Hitachi 3.5" HDD.
https://www.backblaze.com/blog/hard-drive-reliability-q3-2015/
https://www.backblaze.com/blog/hard-drive-reliability-q3-2015/