long story short, i'm using a 2G because my 3G was broken and out of warranty (i got hosed. they claimed water damage because being in a rainstorm shortly after i bought it triggered the sensor. this was many months before it stopped working abruptly.) not particularly looking forward to a $499 price tag... anyone think the prices of the 3G, particularly the 16s, will start falling? i'd love to pick one up, but am pretty shocked at the eBay prices.