Anyone who has sold iPhones knows that you recoup more of the initial cost selling the base models. The Watch is no exception, and the base models happen to be the Sport.
Assuming Apple does not lower the price of 1st generation by $100, and sell it new for $499 from today's $599 like they did to the iPhone... Should that be the case you can shave $100 off your estimates to $300 to $400.
I agree. Also feeling that if the DLC is as it should be then this will also increase resale value.
I understand what you're all saying about the sport having higher resale proportionately speaking. Howerver, I think a lot of you are making assumptions about who will be buying a used watch. Someone buying used isn't necessarily looking for the cheapest option, maybe just a cheaper option on the stainless version. I could see myself buying an older generation SS over a sport solely for the upgraded materials.
You can argue statistics all day, but the reality is, everytime I've sold my top tier iPhone, I've had 0 problems getting a sale for a reasonable price. I expect the same thing with the watch.
Just highlighted two points from your post.
While someone buying used isn't necessarily looking for the cheaper option, they are highly likely to be. That's why they are looking second hand - it's unlikely to be someone who could easily afford the watch new, so while people will buy SS models second hand, I think the prices will take a larger hit in percentage terms.
Not true at all. The secondary market is all about buying the higher end models at cheaper prices. While there may be those that are waiting for a used watch because they cannot afford the sport model, most are looking for a premium model at a low end price.
Take a look at the iPhone 6 plus 128 GB . I feel like the 16 GB has better resell value . Not just on the iPhone 6 plus but all lower GB in all models . Take a quick look on Craigslist : )
I disagree as well. Higher end doesn't mean better resale value.