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Techies! When do we foresee SSD costs going down?

R

rollsrock25

macrumors newbie
Original poster
Feb 20, 2011
10
0
Cleveland, OH
Normally, I don't follow trends of dropping prices of electronics. I know I'm sure it's hard, if not impossible to say exactly when bearing the idea of supply and demand. However, it seems like everyone has a pretty good idea of when prices will drop for the latest video gaming system... :rolleyes:

So, when do we think we will see the prices drop for SSD drives? Any ideas or predictions?

Right now as it stands, 1TB of HD =~ 100GB of SSD. (Correct me if I'm wrong).

:apple::apple:
 
The price of flash storage is going down at a pretty steady rate. The longer you wait the cheaper and faster SSDs will be. A year ago a 128 GB SSD was like $300. Now, the same SSD is no more than $200.
 
Something following along the lines of this graph:

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That took me 4 hours.
 
I'd bet that less than a dollar per gigabyte will be very common. Perhaps even $0.75 per gig.
 
wa-HOW?!

aCondor said:
Something following along the lines of this graph:

------------------0--
----------------0----
--------------0------
------------0--------
----------0----------
--------0------------
------0--------------
----0----------------
--0------------------
0--------------------

That took me 4 hours.
Click to expand...

How did you ascertain knowledge of this thread hours before it was created?
 
every new generation of ssd is going to get cheaper, higher capacity, faster (well, as fast as SATA can handle), and probably lower rewrite cycles (unless they figure out how to fix that problem somehow)
 
I was waiting for costs to come down for over a year. While they did indeed drop it wasn't like prices fell off a cliff. Granted, 64-128 GB capacities are pretty cost effective these days but the larger SSD's (512GB) are still a long way off from what most people would consider "cheap". I finally just quit waiting and forked over the $700 to get it over with. On the short list of smart things I've ever done this was probably one of 'em. I figure even if the price of a 512GB drops by half over the next 2 years (which is unlikely IMO), that was just an extra $175/year to get the thing now and reap the benefits immediately. Rationale I can live with.
 
Frankie4Fingers said:
I was waiting for costs to come down for over a year. While they did indeed drop it wasn't like prices fell off a cliff. Granted, 64-128 GB capacities are pretty cost effective these days but the larger SSD's (512GB) are still a long way off from what most people would consider "cheap". I finally just quit waiting and forked over the $700 to get it over with. On the short list of smart things I've ever done this was probably one of 'em. I figure even if the price of a 512GB drops by half over the next 2 years (which is unlikely IMO), that was just an extra $175/year to get the thing now and reap the benefits immediately. Rationale I can live with.
Click to expand...

well put
 
Erasmus said:
Personally, I'd like to see a 256GB SATA 3 SSD at under $300, available in Australia. Then I'd buy one.
Click to expand...
They're about $375 right now. That extra $75 to get one now and start using it is going to break you? I'm all for saving a buck and playing the wait game but not for this.
 
I've purchased ten of the best (as of the date acquired) SSD's over the last 26 months.

The first one was a 64GB Memoright for $2,000. When purchased it was the fastest & largest capacity available.

Recently I purchased a 512 GB Samsung 830 series for $849.
The 64GB size is only $129.

The Samsung 840 series is widely regarded as the best SSD currently available. When comparing the pricing on the 64GB size with that of the Memoright, you can see how much the prices have dropped thus far.

It's my feeling that in another six months or so, the prices will be leveling off somewhat.
 
Frankie4Fingers said:
They're about $375 right now. That extra $75 to get one now and start using it is going to break you? I'm all for saving a buck and playing the wait game but not for this.
Click to expand...

I don't think I could easily get it for that price in Australia. Finding places that sell or ship them is hard enough.

We get ripped off massively down under.
 
Frankie4Fingers said:
I was waiting for costs to come down for over a year. While they did indeed drop it wasn't like prices fell off a cliff.
Click to expand...
And they won't. They will fall as fast as the nand flash gets produced cheaper. About double the capacity every 1.5-2 years.
It isn't expensive because it is new tech it is just expensive because it is expensive to manufacture. One nand chip isn't much smaller than a CPU but CPU sell for the price of an entire SSD or more and yet you need 8-16 nand chips for a whole SSD.
A wafer costs a certain amount of money and there is only so many chips you can get of one wafer. It can only get cheaper by making chips that are smaller and or hold more data.

The 3 or 4 level cells seem to be too slow and have other problems. Afaik there are still no plans to put them in SSDs only SD cards and stuff.
 
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