Techies! When do we foresee SSD costs going down?

Discussion in 'MacBook Pro' started by rollsrock25, Dec 18, 2011.

  1. rollsrock25 macrumors newbie

    Feb 20, 2011
    Cleveland, OH
    Normally, I don't follow trends of dropping prices of electronics. I know I'm sure it's hard, if not impossible to say exactly when bearing the idea of supply and demand. However, it seems like everyone has a pretty good idea of when prices will drop for the latest video gaming system... :rolleyes:

    So, when do we think we will see the prices drop for SSD drives? Any ideas or predictions?

    Right now as it stands, 1TB of HD =~ 100GB of SSD. (Correct me if I'm wrong).

  2. GGJstudios macrumors Westmere


    May 16, 2008
  3. psykick5 macrumors 6502

    Sep 4, 2011
    Tomorrow. And the day after that. And the day after. And so on.
  4. Apple OC macrumors 68040

    Apple OC

    Oct 14, 2010
  5. Nielsenius macrumors 6502a

    Apr 16, 2011
    The price of flash storage is going down at a pretty steady rate. The longer you wait the cheaper and faster SSDs will be. A year ago a 128 GB SSD was like $300. Now, the same SSD is no more than $200.
  6. aCondor macrumors 6502

    Oct 20, 2010
    United States
    Something following along the lines of this graph:


    That took me 4 hours.
  7. sfoalex macrumors 6502

    Aug 11, 2001
    I'd bet that less than a dollar per gigabyte will be very common. Perhaps even $0.75 per gig.
  8. visim91 macrumors 6502

    Nov 13, 2011

    How did you ascertain knowledge of this thread hours before it was created?
  9. aCondor macrumors 6502

    Oct 20, 2010
    United States
    I took the Red Pill.
  10. s.horsfield macrumors regular

    Apr 3, 2011
    New Zealand
    Wirelessly posted (Mozilla/5.0 (iPod; CPU iPhone OS 5_0_1 like Mac OS X) AppleWebKit/534.46 (KHTML, like Gecko) Version/5.1 Mobile/9A405 Safari/7534.48.3)

    You win at life
  11. Freyqq macrumors 601

    Dec 13, 2004
    every new generation of ssd is going to get cheaper, higher capacity, faster (well, as fast as SATA can handle), and probably lower rewrite cycles (unless they figure out how to fix that problem somehow)
  12. Frankie4Fingers macrumors newbie

    Dec 18, 2011
    I was waiting for costs to come down for over a year. While they did indeed drop it wasn't like prices fell off a cliff. Granted, 64-128 GB capacities are pretty cost effective these days but the larger SSD's (512GB) are still a long way off from what most people would consider "cheap". I finally just quit waiting and forked over the $700 to get it over with. On the short list of smart things I've ever done this was probably one of 'em. I figure even if the price of a 512GB drops by half over the next 2 years (which is unlikely IMO), that was just an extra $175/year to get the thing now and reap the benefits immediately. Rationale I can live with.
  13. heisenberg123 macrumors 603


    Oct 31, 2010
    Hamilton, Ontario
    well put
  14. Erasmus macrumors 68030


    Jun 22, 2006
    Hiding from Omnius in Australia
  15. Frankie4Fingers macrumors newbie

    Dec 18, 2011
    They're about $375 right now. That extra $75 to get one now and start using it is going to break you? I'm all for saving a buck and playing the wait game but not for this.
  16. mobilehaathi macrumors G3


    Aug 19, 2008
    The Anthropocene
    Prices have been dropping since SSDs came out...
  17. vitzr macrumors 68030


    Jul 28, 2011
    I've purchased ten of the best (as of the date acquired) SSD's over the last 26 months.

    The first one was a 64GB Memoright for $2,000. When purchased it was the fastest & largest capacity available.

    Recently I purchased a 512 GB Samsung 830 series for $849.
    The 64GB size is only $129.

    The Samsung 840 series is widely regarded as the best SSD currently available. When comparing the pricing on the 64GB size with that of the Memoright, you can see how much the prices have dropped thus far.

    It's my feeling that in another six months or so, the prices will be leveling off somewhat.
  18. Erasmus macrumors 68030


    Jun 22, 2006
    Hiding from Omnius in Australia
    I don't think I could easily get it for that price in Australia. Finding places that sell or ship them is hard enough.

    We get ripped off massively down under.
  19. dusk007, Dec 20, 2011
    Last edited: Dec 20, 2011

    dusk007 macrumors 68040


    Dec 5, 2009
    And they won't. They will fall as fast as the nand flash gets produced cheaper. About double the capacity every 1.5-2 years.
    It isn't expensive because it is new tech it is just expensive because it is expensive to manufacture. One nand chip isn't much smaller than a CPU but CPU sell for the price of an entire SSD or more and yet you need 8-16 nand chips for a whole SSD.
    A wafer costs a certain amount of money and there is only so many chips you can get of one wafer. It can only get cheaper by making chips that are smaller and or hold more data.

    The 3 or 4 level cells seem to be too slow and have other problems. Afaik there are still no plans to put them in SSDs only SD cards and stuff.

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