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You mean exactly like it says in the article?

In the article, he basically can't believe that many phones are unlocked or in inventory, so says that they must be sitting in people's houses waiting to be returned or something. :rolleyes:

Not quite the same as saying they are all unlocked or in the stores.
 
Just because they're doing well doesn't mean they wouldn't be doing better without unlocked phones.

Sure they'd be doing better, getting their pound of flesh from monthly royalties. But it's a good bet that most of those unlocked phones are sales that would not have happened otherwise. For better or worse, there are many people who don't want (or can't be) on the carriers Apple has contracted with.

For all we know, they sell the phone at a loss and make up for it through AT&T.

I like discussions as much as anyone, but not without logic. If Apple absolutely needed a contract to break even, they would not allow people to leave the store without one.

Apple said last quarter that they thought 18% of phones were unlocked. So I think we have those, the ones in stock, and probably 15% that had to be replaced because of problems.
 
PS. You can buy a Turbo or other SIM on eBay these days for about $30 that unlocks your phone for other carriers, without any software mods.

I suspect a lot of people have done this. Makes perfect sense, as you can continue to get Apple upgrades.

The only good reason to jailbreak these days is to use third party apps right away.
 
Good quote from the comments section of a Fortune article:

"This story is odd. It’s like asking the question: “Gap said they sold 4 million t-shirts but a report shows that only 2.6 million have been seen being worn. Where’s the other 1.4 million shirts?” Who cares? Apple booked the sale. 4 million iPhones are out of their hands. If I’m selling a product, I don’t care if the customer uses it as a doorstop. I just care about them buying it."

http://apple20.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2008/01/25/the-case-of-the-14-million-missing-iphones/
 
Good quote from the comments section of a Fortune article:

"This story is odd. It’s like asking the question: “Gap said they sold 4 million t-shirts but a report shows that only 2.6 million have been seen being worn. Where’s the other 1.4 million shirts?” Who cares? Apple booked the sale. 4 million iPhones are out of their hands. If I’m selling a product, I don’t care if the customer uses it as a doorstop. I just care about them buying it."

http://apple20.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2008/01/25/the-case-of-the-14-million-missing-iphones/

We care because the carriers would not be ordering a lot of iphones in future quarters if they still have a bunch of them in inventory.
 
How are replacements for exchanged phones counted?

Is the original purchase the only one that counts or does the sale/exchange of the replacement phone count as an additional sale?

Many people have had to exchange their phones multiple times due to battery, screen, or other issues. If each exchange counts as a sale, that would account for a possibly large number of phones "sold."
 
How are replacements for exchanged phones counted?

Is the original purchase the only one that counts or does the sale/exchange of the replacement phone count as an additional sale?

Many people have had to exchange their phones multiple times due to battery, screen, or other issues. If each exchange counts as a sale, that would account for a possibly large number of phones "sold."

These units are essentially given away. They are far from being labeled as "sold."
 
There's been a follow-up post to this story on Fortune:

LINK

The gist of it is:

His conclusion: most of the devices he describes as “missing in action” are not sitting in warehouses, as he originally surmised, but were siphoned off into the gray market for unlocked iPhones. His best guess is that in 2007 as many as 1 million iPhones may have been hacked by resellers and activated by carriers that are not paying Apple a kickback on every monthly charge.

And another interesting point:

If Apple were to somehow stop the sale of unlocked iPhones (by forcing customers to activate them at the point of purchase, say) the company might miss its target of selling 10 million iPhones in 2008 — and forgo even more revenue and profit.
 
These (replacement) units are essentially given away. They are far from being labeled as "sold."

Not so sure about that. Got a cite? Any accountants here?

Many times Apple has said in their quarterly calls, that units shipped = units sold, as far as they're concerned.

I think this is why they were so generous in replacing broken screens at first. Anything to get an increment.
 
I would have thought the explanation was far simpler: Everyone gave/got iPhones over the holidays, it's January and no-one has money, a recession is looming, and a new iPhone revision is on the visible, if not immediate, horizon.

That would make sense if the cell phone itself were some new gadget, but all you describe is a matter of someone switching their AT&T or other existing contract over to the Apple plan.

While I'm sure it's true that your scenario is happening with a lot of folks, I find it hard to believe that it makes up even a vocal minority of the iPhones in question.
 
Not so sure about that. Got a cite? Any accountants here?

Many times Apple has said in their quarterly calls, that units shipped = units sold, as far as they're concerned.

I think this is why they were so generous in replacing broken screens at first. Anything to get an increment.

It doesn't work that way because you get exchanges from a Apple store --- which doesn't count "shipping" numbers. Apple stores count actual sales numbers.
 
It doesn't work that way because you get exchanges from a Apple store --- which doesn't count "shipping" numbers. Apple stores count actual sales numbers.

Doesn't matter how Apple stores count. Apple corporate counts shipments to its (and AT&T's) stores as "sales". That much is well known and documented in the first quarterly call after it went on sale. Apple specifically said that their count even included any phones in transit to stores.

If they ship 100 units to a store, and that store sells 80 and replaces 20 others, that's still 100 "sales" in their news releases.
 
Doesn't matter how Apple stores count. Apple corporate counts shipments to its (and AT&T's) stores as "sales". That much is well known and documented in the first quarterly call after it went on sale. Apple specifically said that their count even included any phones in transit to stores.

If they ship 100 units to a store, and that store sells 80 and replaces 20 others, that's still 100 "sales" in their news releases.

I noticed the same detail on that quarterly call. They detailed number shipped not the total number actually sold. I was wondering why everyone was counting "shipped" numbers as sold...whatever makes people feel left out

Reminds me of the music biz where artists used to ship platinum until soundscan came along and added some legitimacy to the numbers.
 
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