I'm going to go against the flow here and say that I think the Zune is going to be a success.
This is despite the odd points system (79 points per song = 99c per song), the fact that you have to buy points in $5 increments (meaning you're giving MS an interest free loan and you'll have to buy $385 worth of songs to not have points left over), the fact that MS are screwing their existing PlayForSure customers by not supporting it, fact that it's 2x thicker than the iPod with video.
After all, since when did mediocrity prevent success? Look at how bad Windows was up to SP2, look at how bad MySpace is currently.
No, I think there's been enough buzz generated for MS to sell plenty of them. They might not outsell iPods any time soon, if ever, but there'll be plenty of teenagers out there who'll get their parents to buy them one, and plenty of Apple antifanbois who'll buy anything but Apple.
This is despite the odd points system (79 points per song = 99c per song), the fact that you have to buy points in $5 increments (meaning you're giving MS an interest free loan and you'll have to buy $385 worth of songs to not have points left over), the fact that MS are screwing their existing PlayForSure customers by not supporting it, fact that it's 2x thicker than the iPod with video.
After all, since when did mediocrity prevent success? Look at how bad Windows was up to SP2, look at how bad MySpace is currently.
No, I think there's been enough buzz generated for MS to sell plenty of them. They might not outsell iPods any time soon, if ever, but there'll be plenty of teenagers out there who'll get their parents to buy them one, and plenty of Apple antifanbois who'll buy anything but Apple.