leftbanke7 said:
It is true, there is uncertainty in Apple's computing future, as there is uncertanity in Microsoft, Dell, AMD, Intel, HP, etc etc.
You really never know what's going to happen. It's technology and it changes quicker than JLo goes through men.
But, outside of Apple being bought out (which is a 10 billion to 1 longshot), Apple will be chugging right along with the rest of them for the forseeable future. So if you want to go buy a Mac, get out there and buy you a Mac.
Ya right. If I was a betting man I'd bet on a set of companies that own 95% of a market vs. a company that at best owns somewhere in the ballpark of 3-5%. I mean really. If this wasnt Apple and we were talking say a series of grocery store chains who would you bet on with the above stats? No its because its the great Apple that everyone believes that they will be around forever. And yes people have been predicting the demise of Apple for god knows how long. They were all wrong but they havent been wrong about one thing. Zero market share growth. Unless Apple changes how they distribute computers there is zero chance of catching market share. Catching new users yes. New market share no. Apple could hardly stay on top of the demand for the G5 PowerMac. Do you think Dell, Sony, Gateway have that kind of problem? So when Apple gets to less then 1% market share do you think anyone outside of fans of Apple will give a care in the world about Apple? Would you commit your fortune 500 company to a company that has less then 1% of the market? And if you say yes you are a flat out liar. As it stands Apple is in a precarious position. That position isnt going to keep me away from Apple, yet, but I know a whole heck of a lot of people where its a concern. I will only get concerned when more of the larger players that develop software for the Mac call it quits. If Adobe totally folds up shop on the Mac then I would question if I should even be considering the Mac. Until that day its still a viable platform.
Folks, lets not sugar coat Apple predicament. You can play all the games you want with numbers, specs, sales, stats, and whatnot but at the end of the day Apple isnt growing in the computer market by any leaps and bounds. When I see even a 2% growth over a 2 year period then I will believe that Apple is on the right track. Until that time I will remain pessimistic about the future of the Apple at least when it comes to computers. Ive done my part by sending people to the Apple store when that ask about computers at work but the occasional stray computer user being sent into the Apple store isnt going to save Apples hide. Home appliances are another matter. I really believe that Apple has a potentially bright future in home electronics so much so that they are going to give Sony a serious run for their money. I would dearly love to see what Apple could do with a smart TV, or a DVR, or a cellphone, or even a cordless home phone. They know how to create some dang fine devices. Even more so then Sony. Am I right? Am I wrong? Dont know. Dont care. Its just an opinion at this point. I want to see Apple do well but as it stands, IMHO, they arent at least enough for me to breath a sigh of relief.
Product releases have come as such a pathetically slow pace that it borders on insane. I know of no company in the PC world that releases a desktop once per year. And the same could be said of Apples laptops. Sure they have given us some speedbumps but its nothing new. Nothing drastically different. This is supposedly THE innovative company. What true innovations have you seen in the PowerBooks as of late? Reading the tech manuals of the 17 and 15 PowerBooks I dont seen anything that innovatively different between that and the PC counterparts other then the form factor and that has changed drastically in the last year due to the Pentium M. In fact the only thing that Ive seen is DVD-R, RW, [insert whatever flavor it supports here] support that Apple still leads in but beyond that? Every time I hack on Apple I feel like a X Files quote,
I WANT TO BELIEVE. I really do. But as it stands I need something to believe in. The proverbial UFO sighting. Give me a glimpse of what Apple is capable of at WWDC and then at that Paris gig this fall. Show me I dont have misplaced faith in this company.
In short: Make me a believer. As it stands. *shrugs* I cant get excited about Apple since there isnt anything out there to get excited about.