No way I am paying $60.00 to $80.00 for a season of TV. Technically I can get the big four TV stations for free over the air and in HD. With some hardware on my end even recorded. I don't care how you look at it.
I pay $20-$40 a season on disc, I have no idea where you get your figures.
Its really a tough call and I can somewhat see WB side of things (Flame Suit on)
When we rent a TV show from ITMS we are getting it without the advertisements that paid to produce the show (so to speak) But we are paying to watch the show.
The question is, does the revenue from rentals without ads offset the revenue lost because we don't watch on TV with ads? What percentage of the tv watching public does it take on either delivery method to generate a return?
Philip Hodgetts claims to have calculated that networks get about 35 cents per viewer per half hour, on average.
http://www.philiphodgetts.com/2007/09/nbc-points-gun-at-own-head-apple-pulls-the-trigger/
Combine that with a rental probably getting 70 percent of the rental price, they come out about even if two people are watching that rental.
You're right that the ISPs will want to make up the difference if people start canceling their premium cable bundles, how well that will succeed is anyone's guess. The current rentals don't appear to offer any cable episodes yet, so I don't see the danger.
AC Nielsen indicates that the average US household watches 6.5 hours of TV per day (that takes into account multiple TV households). That'd be almost $200 per month. During that same time, the average US digital cable bill was $75 per month. So, people are currently paying $0.35 / hour for what they already watch.
What if the show in question were a 30-minute sitcom? Ouch! $2 / hour? I understand that it's video-on-demand and without commercials, but it's not really price-competitive even at $0.99 / show.
I really don't think it's meant to replace cable for heavy users. I would take it as for a light user or for the occasionally missed episode.
Do you have a link that Apple gets 30% of iTunes Music Store sales? I know that's the case with apps, but don't think that's true for other stuff.
The head of Universal Music was complaining that Apple took US$0.30 of a US$0.99 song. It's been a few years, so I can't find the exact quote.
However, this article claims slightly differently:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/03/03/AR2006030301852.html
"Currently, for a 99-cent song, 72 cents goes to the label, and 8 cents to the publisher, leaving Apple's per-song profit margin at 19 cents per song, he said. "
It should be noted that this is gross profit, not net. The cost of bandwidth, server farms, programming and maintenance aren't figured into it.