Become a MacRumors Supporter for $50/year with no ads, ability to filter front page stories, and private forums.

bbeagle

macrumors 68040
Oct 19, 2010
3,541
2,981
Buffalo, NY
So there will be lines for watch? :eek::eek::eek:

Yes, most definitely.

YOU might not want one, but there will be plenty of people who do.

And if you were Apple, with a brand new product, with no clue as to how it would sell, would you make too many or too few? Of course Apple will err on the side of caution. Then there are three possibilities:

1) This will be a blockbuster hit, and it will be hard to buy them.
2) This will sell okay, and people will be able to buy them at the same rate Apple makes them. (Apple guessed perfectly correct)
3) This will not sell, and Apple's initial inventory will last all year.

I bet on #1, but of course Apple has to prepare in case #2 or #3 happen.
 

Piggie

macrumors G3
Feb 23, 2010
9,116
4,013
I predict a different buying pattern than normal.

I'd expect a natural massive demand obviously.
But I feel sales curve will die off much much sharper than normally with other products.

Think there are many more:

1: Don't wear watches.
2: Don't see the need for one.
3: Will wait and see how it turns out.
4: the next one will fix all the probably and be way better

People after the initial wave, and it will be a very long slow burn for some time.
 

Alimar

macrumors 6502a
Sep 17, 2014
510
12
New York State
Yes, most definitely.

YOU might not want one, but there will be plenty of people who do.

And if you were Apple, with a brand new product, with no clue as to how it would sell, would you make too many or too few? Of course Apple will err on the side of caution. Then there are three possibilities:

1) This will be a blockbuster hit, and it will be hard to buy them.
2) This will sell okay, and people will be able to buy them at the same rate Apple makes them. (Apple guessed perfectly correct)
3) This will not sell, and Apple's initial inventory will last all year.

I bet on #1, but of course Apple has to prepare in case #2 or #3 happen.

Out of the 2 sizes, three models and 40+ flavours... I don't see one made of unobtanium.
 

Scott-n-Houston

macrumors 65816
Apr 27, 2008
1,021
333
Houston (duh)
Yes, most definitely.

YOU might not want one, but there will be plenty of people who do.

And if you were Apple, with a brand new product, with no clue as to how it would sell, would you make too many or too few? Of course Apple will err on the side of caution. Then there are three possibilities:

1) This will be a blockbuster hit, and it will be hard to buy them.
2) This will sell okay, and people will be able to buy them at the same rate Apple makes them. (Apple guessed perfectly correct)
3) This will not sell, and Apple's initial inventory will last all year.

I bet on #1, but of course Apple has to prepare in case #2 or #3 happen.

Apple doesn't have shortages because they cannot make enough items or because they didn't anticipate correctly. It's all about the concept of "leaving them (the public) wanting more." They want us to line up, and they want some people to come away empty handed and have to wait or find another avenue to get their product.
 

Rogifan

macrumors Penryn
Original poster
Nov 14, 2011
24,116
31,139
Apple doesn't have shortages because they cannot make enough items or because they didn't anticipate correctly. It's all about the concept of "leaving them (the public) wanting more." They want us to line up, and they want some people to come away empty handed and have to wait or find another avenue to get their product.

BS. It's all about just in time manufacturing and not having a ton of devices sitting in some warehouse. Tim Cook said Apple is selling every phone it can make. Some people are still waiting for their pre-order phones to be delivered. On the one hand it's a good problem to have but on the other hand if someone goes online to order a phone and sees it won't be available for 3-4 weeks they might decide not to order it or to buy something else.
 

Julien

macrumors G4
Jun 30, 2007
11,835
5,431
Atlanta
BS. It's all about just in time manufacturing and not having a ton of devices sitting in some warehouse. Tim Cook said Apple is selling every phone it can make. Some people are still waiting for their pre-order phones to be delivered. On the one hand it's a good problem to have but on the other hand if someone goes online to order a phone and sees it won't be available for 3-4 weeks they might decide not to order it or to buy something else.

All correct and I'll add..

Waiting in line to leave empty handed does't benefit Apple. A curtain percentage will move to another platform and most of the rest are left with a negative experience. Ideally Apple would sell the last device to the last person in line.

Exactly anticipating product mix, procuring and delivering from a supply chain on time to an projected demand is all but impossible. In the case of the iPhone Foxconn factories are producing at full capacity and that is the most that can be done.

Also Apple is offering preorders with home delivery. So you can line up at your front door.
 
Register on MacRumors! This sidebar will go away, and you'll see fewer ads.