When will the iPhone era die out?

Discussion in 'iPhone' started by Anthony T, Jun 6, 2014.

  1. Anthony T macrumors 6502a

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    Jul 10, 2008
    #1
    It seems like there's different "eras" of cellular/mobile phones every few years or so...back in the day when everyone had beepers/pagers, then the "flip-phone" era, the Nextel era when everyone wanted those walkie-talkie phones, the BlackBerry era, and now it seems like the iPhone is the main phone that the majority of people seem to have.

    How much longer do you expect Apple/the iPhone to dominate? How much longer until a new type of phone becomes the hot commodity?
     
  2. DBZmusicboy01 macrumors 6502a

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    Sep 30, 2011
    #2
    Until Apple doesn't exist anymore...They will never stop making iPhones. There would be iOS 100 but we wouldn't be alive for that time.
     
  3. IpadSC400 macrumors 6502a

    IpadSC400

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    #3
    THe iPhone will die...never. Now, production may change a bit...Viva la iPhone'!
     
  4. cnotes2019 Suspended

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    Aug 17, 2013
  5. SHirsch999 macrumors 6502a

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    Apr 19, 2011
    #5
    The phone era in general (not just iPhones) will only die off when a better form of tech is created for communication. That's why beepers, land lines, and flip phones are going the way of the dinosaur. More than likely smartphones will gradually morph into something else, not die off. Kinda like evolution.
     
  6. SMIDG3T Suspended

    SMIDG3T

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    England
    #6
    Apple are in this for the long haul, there aren't going anywhere.

    Get used to them!
     
  7. sunking101 macrumors 604

    sunking101

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    Sep 19, 2013
    #7
    92 years from now?
     
  8. iolinux333 macrumors 68000

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    Feb 9, 2014
    #8
    Three possibilities:

    1. If Apple continues to be 4 years behind the feature set of other phones, iPhone is gone within 4 years.

    2. Apple stops with the BS and copies all the good stuff out of Android, Blackberry and WP just like WP and Android and Blackberry copied all the good stuff out of IPhone, Windows Mobile and Symbian, then everyone is around forever.

    3. Open Source Phone happens: then everyone gets everything they want and we all just get on with life, no one cares about Apple, Microsoft, or anyone and they're vaguely remembered for about 10 years. New Generations know as much about those old dead companies as they do about Eastern Standard Oil.
     
  9. Jimmy James macrumors 68040

    Jimmy James

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    Oct 26, 2008
    #9
    OP, I think you're referring to smartphones in general. I think they will be here for a long time, at least until some unforeseeable technology replaces them. Modern smartphones are the first real mobile convergence device.
     
  10. aneftp macrumors 601

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2007
    #10
    Cell phone tech changes so fast.

    Just remember the "it" phone from 2004-2007 was the Motorola Razr and it's variations.

    I think the iPhone "era" was between 2008-2011, at least in the USA. Because 2007 was just an introduction at full price.

    Starting in 2008 the iPhone really changed the landscape of cellular/smartphone function. iPhone really had no true competitor until Samsung started introducing the Galaxy S model in summer 2010.

    So beginning with the Galaxy S2 in 2011, the iPhone wasn't just the "it" phone anymore. Now there are more competitors with just as compelling phones.

    Apple had a great run. It's still a fantastic phone/OS/app store integration.

    Android has fully caught up to iOS and even surpass it in some aspects (of course, iOS also has advantages over Android as well). I'm not going to get into a huge debate about it since it's been discussed numerous times. I also fine Windows phone OS 8.1 to be a very compelling competitor as well.

    I think Windows Phone OS 8.1 is just as "fluid" as iOS. I have used every old and modern phone operating system so have full knowledge as all of them.
     
  11. Appl3FTW macrumors 603

    Appl3FTW

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    Nov 15, 2012
    #11
    When a new technology emerge that doesn't require a cellphone... That's the only way iphone will die haha
     
  12. madsci954 macrumors 68030

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    Oct 14, 2011
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    Ohio
    #12
    I agree the tech moves in eras. But I don't think it's just iPhones. It's more like smartphones as a whole. And I think it's gonna stay until there's a new tech. Crazy example, a wrist communicator that does everything a current smartphone does.
     
  13. Shrink macrumors G3

    Shrink

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    Location:
    New England, USA
    #13
    Next Thursday at 11:42AM.
     
  14. Appl3FTW macrumors 603

    Appl3FTW

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    Nov 15, 2012
    #14
    I thought its the other Tuesday after that at 7:39pm?
     
  15. hakuna-matata macrumors 6502

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    Sep 25, 2011
    #15
    Thanks:)
     
  16. cube macrumors Pentium

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    May 10, 2004
    #16
    The glass era is starting.
     
  17. Appl3FTW macrumors 603

    Appl3FTW

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    Nov 15, 2012
    #17
    I just threw up in my mouth
     
  18. Dolorian macrumors 65816

    Dolorian

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    Apr 25, 2007
    #18
    Nah, Glass will be a niche product. It will be used by some doctors, teachers, military and the like but it won't reach mass appeal.
     
  19. CEmajr macrumors 601

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    Dec 18, 2012
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    Charlotte, NC
    #19
    4 years behind? In 2010 most of the other OS's were barely usable.
     
  20. cube macrumors Pentium

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    May 10, 2004
    #20
    Smartphones will be to glass like flipphones are to smartphones today.

    They will be more practical, specially if you already wear prescriptions.

    After that, it will be time for contacts. Probably even people who can't stand them will be able to buy a robot to take care of putting and removing them.
     
  21. OneMike macrumors 603

    OneMike

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2005
    #21
    I wouldn't necessarily say beepers/pages died. I think the technology more evolved to text/email, which was more affordable. Same with nextel and chirping. At the peak for Nextel, minutes were like what 50 per month or something for $45 or so with unlimited walkie-talkie. That was big. With unlimited talk plan and cheaper minutes plus other services that's not a big deal.

    Long story short, when I think of nextel, treo (windows version), beepers, etc.. I shifted to the device to make use of a feature that wasn't available elsewhere. With the iPhone, at this point, the core features exist on other devices. I feel Apple has the best implementation at this time though. I think the implementation will be as big a factor as innovation for a while.
     
  22. solarguy17 macrumors 6502a

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    Sep 10, 2007
    #22
    4 years behind? Please tell me, who else is using 64bit processors? Who else has a phone capable of running console quality games (Metal)? Who else's phone has the ability to link up with a computer and go back and forth as seamlessly as Continuity will be?

    Remember many of the features that people are saying that Apple copied from Android aren't android features but instead Samsung, HTC, ect. features. Also even amongst the actual android features, not many people get them because of the stupid update schedule (or lack of) that Google uses.
     
  23. Dolorian macrumors 65816

    Dolorian

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    Apr 25, 2007
    #23
    We'll have to wait and see, at this point smart watches (Android Wear) seem to have a better chance of being adopted by the masses. Glass has more hurdles to overcome than a smartwatch as far as regulations and social acceptance goes.
     
  24. cube macrumors Pentium

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    May 10, 2004
    #24
    Smartwatches are gadgets, while glass is the future of screens.
     
  25. scaredpoet macrumors 604

    scaredpoet

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    Apr 6, 2007
    #25
    Theres one major flaw in all these "prediction" type discussions: that there can be only one dominant "winner" in a category, and then everyone else just dies.

    But the reality is different. Apple has been making Macs for 30 years now. It started out big, had some real problems a decade in, and then slowly became a prestige niche. And not once has it been a dominant platform with a majority marketshare.

    Like the Mac, iPhones will ebb and flow. And at some point smartphones might not be the leading way for people to do their computing, social networking or online access... it might be something else. Apple might invent that new thing, or someone else might, and they'll come and perfect it later, just like they did with MP3 players and cell phones.
     

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