Looks like the scaling argument worked reasonably well. But it's nice to see that, to the extent there was a deviation, the 15" Air came in somewhat under the predictions.
Part of the problem is I didn't have an accurate values for the screen size. With that, I would have predicted the weight of the 15" Air would be 2.7 lbs x (15.3/13.6)^2 = 3.4 lbs. which would have come a bit closer.
What's interesting, though, is that they clearly did try to keep the weight of the 15" Air low. You can see that if you contrast the 13" vs 15" Air with the 14" vs 16" MBP. The 15" Air weighs a bit less than would be predicted based on the weight of the 13" and the ratio of their screen areas; while the opposite is the case with the 16" MBP: It weighs a bit more than would be predicted based on the weight of the 14" and the ratios of their screen areas: 3.5 lbs x (16.2/14.2)^2 = 4.6 lbs, as compared to its actual weight of 4.7 lbs. Different design choices.
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