I think this may debut M3, I truly believe Apple are aiming for 18 month cycles, with 9 months focusing on the base M series chips then the following 9 months focusing on the Pro/Max/Ultra iterations.
The problem is the chips are all over the place due to supply chain issues etc…
I think the original plan apple had for the launches of M series chips was:
November 2020 - M1
*This was on time.
June 2021 - M1 Pro, Max
*This was delayed to October 2021, remember the rumours that the MBP’s were coming at WWDC….
October 2021 - M1 Ultra
*This was also delayed and ended up getting revealed in March 2022
March 2022 - M2
*As apple didn’t want to launch M2 at same time as a new generation of Apple silicon this was put on hold until WWDC June 2022.
October 2022 - M2 Pro, Max
*Again delayed due to supply chain issues to January 2023, this weird launch was done to catch the launch cycle back up.
January 2023 - M2 Ultra
*I think the Mac Pro was likely due for a January launch but also delayed and now will likely make an appearance in Spring 2023.
Spring 2023
*This event will also be to catch up the product launch cycle, apple paved the way by the site refreshes in January… so I fully expect the Mac Pro with M2 Ultra to launch here, this will also likely be a headset focused event.
June 2023 - M3
*Question here is what will M3 launch in… I expect the MBA 15” will launch here, with the 13” getting an M3 refresh at the same time (remember the M2 Air was likely due to be launch in March 2022), this is the first time Apple silicon is back on schedule.
Late 2023/early 2024 - we will see more M3 launches.
Spring 2024 - M3 Pro/Max
Just my thoughts but from this you can see how Apple are trying to get back on their original scheduled launch plans… releasing the 15” MBA with M2 just doesn’t make sense with M3 being so close behind it… if this launches with M2 in Spring, what are they going to debut the M3 chip in…??? The base M series chips main product is their best selling MBA… and they definitely won’t launch an M3 13” shortly after a M2 15” it just wouldn’t sit right in the line up.
The only way theyre going to launch M2 in this 15” MacBook Air is if it doesn’t get the Air branding and is just called MacBook.