A probabilistic inference is the same (synonym) as conjecture unless you have some “facts” to back up your conjecture.
1) You said, "your post was speculation written as fact." That's simply not true. I classified what you're calling "conjecture" as a probabilistic inference, and provided the reasons I believed it to be the case. So, again, your claim is incorrect.
2) My follow-up post in response to yours provided even more
facts that are reasons for my conjecture/speculation/inference. We can play the semantics game all day long, but you'll lose, because none of those things are synonymous with the word "fact," which is the word you used. I was quite clear.
3) You're still missing the most important point: that Glockworkorange made a claim without a warrant—i.e., that the SE was discontinued because "most people" want larger phones—and the entire point of my post was to point out
that fact. You seem to think that because I said that, "A does not support B" in addition to "Here are some very plausible reasons that 'Not B' could be the case" that, somehow, I stated or implied "Not B is definitely true." I did no such thing, and a careful reading on your part will illustrate your error.
How 'bout I go ahead and quote my original post? Emphasis added. Facts underlined; bold is used for the two words that quite clearly refute your claim.
This logic is mistaken. Apple services its shareholders.
When producing a product line, things like profitability and cannibalization have to be considered.
To suggest that the SE was killed and not replaced because of lack of demand is an assumption not sufficiently supported by evidence. There is no doubt that a niche of customers desiring smaller devices exists. And niches do matter—otherwise we wouldn’t have multiple product lines to begin with.
It’s more likely that when the group responsible for projections did its financial analysis, they determined that overall profit would be better by simply offering the iPhone 7 at $449. Profitability has a lot of inputs.
TL/DR: Words matter.