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Don't we think that at least some phones were already sent from China and are sitting in US warehouses? Last year, a bunch of phones originated in the US until that supply ran out, and then they all started coming directly from China.
My 6s has already departed Pennsylvania and is in route to New Hampshire as of this morning (where I live).
 
My wife's Rose S+ 64GB is shipping from China. ------- 0.7KG (which according to Google weighs 1.543 lbs)
My SG S+ 128GB is shipping from Tennessee. -----1.6lbs
(both AT&T ordered from Apple Store app)

9/25 delivery, but I've already requested UPS to hold at the CC and I will come pick them up.
 
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