If the M2 max comes out and outperforms AMD’s Laptop chip, then I would consider that the competition has caught up to Apple sooner than we thought they would.
If the new M2 max comes out and it lags behind AMD‘s laptop chip, that’s pretty bad for Apple, in my opinion.
Reading between the lines, and listening to some rumors, the M2 chip was supposed to have a massive GPU speedup compared to the M1 chips, including raytracing support etc.
The whole reason for the M2 was a focus on GPU performance boost.
But Apple screwed up that development (too many people leaving the CPU team), and it turned out that this new design runs way too hot. Embarrassingly high in power consumption.
So Apple had to ditch the whole big GPU upgrade and more or less go back to a minimally improved M1 GPU version.
This has 2 repercussions:
- Apple has to sell the M2 as "stop gap" chip - as it ends up with only minor actual improvements.
Since fixes will take months if not years. Apple had no other choice.
I do not believe Apple from the get go intended the M2 to be a "stop gap" chip.
- The M1 architecture is not able to support 4 M1 Max CPUs in an "Extreme" chip configuration for the Mac Pro.
It was clear that Apple had intended the M2 "Extreme" chip to be one with 4x that massive GPU boost, which might have indeed given the Mac Pro a real chance to compete with Nvidia.
But because they screwed up the GPU part, there is little point in even producing an M2 Extreme now for the Mac Pro as many Pros really expect pro GPU performance as well which the M2 GPU x4 will not really offer (and Apple is unlikely to suddenly get cozy with Nvidia again) - which totally screwed up Apple's Mac Pro time line...
If all this is true, Apple is a bit screwed to be honest.
And if Apple won't come out with an M2 Extreme variant for the Mac Pro, I consider this proof that those rumors are true.
And most M2 test so far attest that the changeover from the M1 is rather minimal for most users. Which also seems to potentially confirm the M2 GPU design blunder.
If Apple cannot fix this with the M3, then it'll start to become problematic.
But the M3 Pro/Max is at least 1 if not 1 1/2 years away. Which means the true Apple Silicon M3 Extreme equipped Mac Pro may not see the light of day before the end of 2024 or even 2025...
Bummer.
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