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From you? Seriously?

"I'm pretty sure..."

Of course you are! You no doubt believe mask videos are being staged and broadcasted on national news.
Again, "national news". As if they only tell the truth, cross their hearts.

Many of us know firsthand that they don't. I can't tell you how many times I've read that coffee will kill us all, and then 2 weeks later, coffee can cure or prevent this or that illness. Butter is bad for us. Butter is good for us. Exercising does no good unless you do it for 90 minutes. Exercising is good for us even for just 15 minutes.

At the very least, somebody's wrong, and getting away with it. At the worst, somebody's lying and getting away with it.

So my message is for each of us to simply have a healthy skepticism, keep good spirits, love each other, and help each other.

But you still don't have to wear a mask in my house. ;P
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Because people aren’t wearing them enough.

They don’t really protect the wearer, they prevent you from spreading it. A room full of people wearing masks could get infected by one person not wearing a mask - even if that person wasn’t showing symptoms yet and didn’t know they were infected.
Or maybe they don't protect anybody, but we can't really do anything else since we're not smart enough to help make the vaccine, so we have to do SOMETHING. So here we have it, something we can all do, becuase "it's worth it if it saves even one life!"
How many of those deaths involved the flu? When you look on the CDC website and take out the flu with only COVID and pneumonia, the deaths are less than half of what's being claimed as COVID deaths by fake news fear mongering . Then take into account that 43% of deaths in the US are from nursing homes and you get the idea. COVID is not killing nearly as many people as fake news claims and the nearly half of those who have died are all over 80 with underlying health problems and in nursing homes. Hardly the people who frequent Apple stores...
Very good analysis. Thank you.
 
You’re right, the people took it more seriously. The US is a different beast. You don’t just politicize everything for blaming purposes. People in the US largely do what they want. Big country, lots of different cultures, lot of government hate, etc. No easy solution, but comparing our case numbers to other countries or even to our own country in previous months completely misses the point.

It’s actually very hard to tell who is doing better than the other because of differences in reporting accuracy, testing, etc.

Deaths are about the best metric we have and even those are fudged because there is an monetary incentive to call a death a Covid death.

I don’t think we are screwed only because it’s still a respiratory virus with low mortality for healthy people. We have many dangerous viruses we manage and this is another one. The flu kills people every year, with a vaccine and has done far more damage than Covid19.

I don't think we have any way of knowing what the long-term effects of COVID will be. When people dismiss it as no worse than the flu, I hope they are correct. It's simply too new to really determine anything with certainty. We haven't even gone through a flu + COVID season yet. I was reading something yesterday about a guy who caught both the flu and COVID at the same time and his intense medical ordeal. He was a healthy 40 year old with no pre-existing conditions.

Even if you survive, which you most likely will, COVID might cause long-term health issues or compromises. There is plenty of evidence already about lung functioning not returning to "normal" long after "recovery" for many people. I had no idea how brutal it is to be on a ventilator, nor did I understand what kind of long-term issues one can face after being removed from one.

Low mortality is not the same thing as full recovery, nor is it the same thing as minimal medical expenses (after being hospitalized for weeks). I see far more potential dangers - at this point - in taking a throw caution to the wind approach than imposing - and enforcing - restrictions.
 
Very good analysis. Thank you.

Here it is from CDC updated today. Look at the 5th column over that says "deaths involving COVID-19 and pneumonia excluding influenza. Its just over 48k people. Thats the real number of people who have died from COVID. The 122k to the left of it that fake news media is using is deaths from pneumonia with or without COVID, not deaths from COVID.

 
What if we were told to spread it quickly at some future date. Everyone go out and try To get infected. Give people a chance to get their body strong enough to handle it before infection day. Would that end the virus or would that be worst how it is handled now?
 
What if we were told to spread it quickly at some future date. Everyone go out and try To get infected. Give people a chance to get their body strong enough to handle it before infection day. Would that end the virus or would that be worst how it is handled now?

Nobody will do that. There would be huge numbers of sick people all at once, hospital beds fill up quickly, ventilators all spoken for quickly, everyone else who needs a ventilator and doesn’t get one dies. Absolutely horrific numbers of people dying - hundreds of thousands of American lives lost, if not millions. Maybe the survivors would have some sort of herd immunity? We don’t know for certain, since we don’t know how long the antibodies stick around.
 
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With the rise in numbers were any of them part of the looting and protesting last month?
 
Again, "national news". As if they only tell the truth, cross their hearts.

Many of us know firsthand that they don't. I can't tell you how many times I've read that coffee will kill us all, and then 2 weeks later, coffee can cure or prevent this or that illness. Butter is bad for us. Butter is good for us. Exercising does no good unless you do it for 90 minutes. Exercising is good for us even for just 15 minutes.

At the very least, somebody's wrong, and getting away with it. At the worst, somebody's lying and getting away with it.

So my message is for each of us to simply have a healthy skepticism, keep good spirits, love each other, and help each other.

But you still don't have to wear a mask in my house. ;P

You're continuing to obfuscate.

Are you asserting the videos presented on broadcast national news of people going non-linear in stores when challenged for not wearing a mask were faked and manufactured?

If so, show your proof to back up your claim. Otherwise you're just spewing jibber-jabber.
 
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Then your mother should stay inside and isolated from the general public and you should exercise mask-wearing and hand-washing practices if you believe that they are prudent.

She IS staying isolated from people who refuse be decent citizens who look out for each other. that is my point. Those who don't wear masks are prolonging the time she has to stay isolated because they don't accept that they have an equal responsibility. Do they think we aren't burdened by them? Your mask protects me and my mask protects you.
 
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Some things to consider:

1) The percentage of positive results has not gone up. There is more testing thus we are discovering more cases. Dr. Birx echoed this fact. The "cases" has always been much higher than we thought. Some figures estimate that it is 10x. This was true back when the first antibody tests were done in March. Go find some Uncommon Knowledge videos / podcasts with Dr. Bhattacharya.

1a) If you listen to the podcasts above or others (there is an Uncommon Knowledge podcast with a Dr. Atlas and article in The Hill), there is a huge medical cost to the lock down. Basic medical treatment and tests are not being done. Depression and suicides are going up. etc.

2) The death rate continues to go down and the hospitals, when the real facts are finally presented, are not overloaded. The purpose of the shutdown was ONLY to prevent overloading of the health care system.

4) You might want to read this article.

References:

[1] The Hill article
[2] Dr. Atlas Interview
[3] Dr. Bhattacharya #1
[4] Dr. Bhattacharya #2
[5] Dr. Bhattacharya #3
 
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Because people aren’t wearing them enough.

They don’t really protect the wearer, they prevent you from spreading it. A room full of people wearing masks could get infected by one person not wearing a mask - even if that person wasn’t showing symptoms yet and didn’t know they were infected.

This sounds identical to me attempting to convince you of my religious beliefs. There is no evidence for what you are saying. If I'm wrong, please point me to the medical study of courtesy masks that substantiates the scenarios you describe.
 
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You clearly don’t know how to calculate a percentage. Using your numbers 200,000 out of 49,500,000 is 0.4%, not .004% (you have to multiply the fraction by 100 to get a percentage).
This is correct. He’s not putting the decimal in the correct place.
 
Here it is from CDC updated today. Look at the 5th column over that says "deaths involving COVID-19 and pneumonia excluding influenza. Its just over 48k people. Thats the real number of people who have died from COVID. The 122k to the left of it that fake news media is using is deaths from pneumonia with or without COVID, not deaths from COVID.

Yup. This. Exactly 100% nuts. I’m not sure why cdc and Fauci and others aren’t talking about this data. Most of these aren’t really even COVID related.
 
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What if we were told to spread it quickly at some future date. Everyone go out and try To get infected. Give people a chance to get their body strong enough to handle it before infection day. Would that end the virus or would that be worst how it is handled now?
People will mock you on this point, but I would not be surprised if this came about. After all, look at the mask thing. Dr. Fauci told us masks wouldn't matter, then 3 weeks later, he's telling us all to wear masks. This is why I trust nobody in the media. And make no mistake, Fauci is part of the media.
Nobody will do that. There would be huge numbers of sick people all at once, hospital beds fill up quickly, ventilators all spoken for quickly, everyone else who needs a ventilator and doesn’t get one dies. Absolutely horrific numbers of people dying - hundreds of thousands of American lives lost, if not millions. Maybe the survivors would have some sort of herd immunity? We don’t know for certain, since we don’t know how long the antibodies stick around.
I wouldn't be so sure. Some are saying that eventually we'll all be exposed to it no matter what we do, even if we wear masks, and even if we stay underground like cave hoppers.

So if that idea starts gaining traction and people begin to think it's inevitable to happen even in spite of our best efforts, and by the way, it's still going to take 18-24 months to come up with and fully test a vaccine that will have questionable effectiveness anyway, who's to say that somebody in the public sphere won't "come up" with this idea?

They could even give it a slick sounding name, like "Fast-Pathing Herd Immunity". The key to watch for is do they start reporting this on major media? Once you start seeing CNN breathlessly report on it, then it'll be about 3 days for all the major media to be telling us to "live life freely" because it's our responsibility to build herd immunity.
With the rise in numbers were any of them part of the looting and protesting last month?
And rioting. Don't forget the rioters. The ones I saw weren't wearing masks. Rioters must be automatically immune.
You're continuing to obfuscate.

Are you asserting the videos presented on broadcast national news of people going non-linear in stores when challenged for not wearing a mask were faked and manufactured?

If so, show your proof to back up your claim. Otherwise you're just spewing jibber-jabber.
Yes I am. I'm suggesting to you that your vaunted "national news" is not serving the country well. Not serving YOU well. No, I don't have to show proof. "He who is convinced against his will, is of the same opinion still."

Besides, I think you're intelligent and I trust you to do intelligent and responsible research. But you must be brave enough to ask a lot of questions. You must be brave enough to approach it with an honest hunger for the truth, and you must be willing to go outside of the usual 3-character networks and newspapers that everybody is already familiar with. That's my "zen" way of saying that to find the truth, you must be willing to deviate from the beaten path (expose yourself to other news sources not "national" in nature).

And I can give you some anecdotal evidence to help you get started. MacRumors is an alternate source of information for each of us. We don't rely on CNN or the New York Times for Apple and other computing information. We come HERE. And we always have a lively conversation (like this one) about the day's news.

So take THAT sentiment with you to your research and consider using some unconventional sources. You may be surprised what you learn.

No, because you said “and” and the looters and protestors were not the same people.
Rioters, don't forget the rioters; some of them may be getting paid to riot!
She IS staying isolated from people who refuse be decent citizens who look out for each other. that is my point. Those who don't wear masks are prolonging the time she has to stay isolated because they don't accept that they have an equal responsibility. Do they think we aren't burdened by them? Your mask protects me and my mask protects you.
As I said in a prior post, I love your gran and don't want to see her die. But in no country in the world, and at no time in the world, has the human race been successful by holding "all individual lives" as "infinitely precious".

They are, of course, but society can never establish or enforce such a policy or attitude, and still be successful. If we tried to do that, we would be disallowing cars, gasoline, electricity in the home, playing in the sunshine, cooking in the home, sewing with needles, cutting with scissors, chopping wood with an axe, going to a job, buying groceries, eating groceries, using the bathroom, flushing a toilet, owning and running waste processing plants, having schools (let alone actually sending children to them!), and much much more.

Everything comes with a danger, even blowing your nose! We don't stop selling stoves because people could be burned. We don't stop flying because a plane could crash. We don't stop driving because you could roll it over or hit somebody. We don't stop getting out of bed because we could die. Any of those things could happen, but we STILL get out of bed and we still engage in economic activity. We must, or society will whither and die. And then nobody would be any good to your gran then.

We love your 91 year old gran! But using her to somehow make society guilty for doing what society must? That's not right. Yes, every life is infinitely precious. But real life is not Utopia and society can never operate this way or, and I submit to you that we would risk complete extinction.
 
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Unfortunately, Lancet and JAMA both have botched their reputations with the bogus HCQ studies indicating that they are human and can become politically minded as well.

Also, the way I read the "Interpretation" section, it is rather mild and not very sure at all.

The virus primarily spreads via droplets from breathing/talking/coughing. Wearing a mask is obviously going to reduce the number of such droplets you spread. It’s so simple. Come on.
 
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Yup. This. Exactly 100% nuts. I’m not sure why cdc and Fauci and others aren’t taking about this data. Most of these aren’t really even COVID related.

There's no untarnished empirical data for any of it. Erroneous or intentionally false moralities. Conflation of cause of death. Conflation of positive infection and positive antibody testing. No reporting on recovery rate, just the grand totals. No testing on mitigation modalities (loose-fitting courtesy masks and 6 magical feet of separation).


Connection refused for some reason. And it's not coming up on wayback machine, despite showing multiple snapshot days starting on 2 June. So, I used a proxy to get to Lancet and found an article called, "Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection for prevention of COVID-19" from 1 June.

It says:
The 1–2 m distance rule in most hospital guidelines is based on out-of-date findings from the 1940s, with studies from 2020 showing that large droplets can travel as far as 8 m.

We are told to maintain 2m, not 8m.

Chu and colleagues reported that masks and respirators reduced the risk of infection by 85% (aOR 0·15, 95% CI 0·07–0·34), with greater effectiveness in health-care settings (RR 0·30, 95% CI 0·22–0·41) than in the community (0·56, 0·40–0·79; pinteraction=0·049). They attribute this difference to the predominant use of N95 respirators in health-care settings; in a sub-analysis, respirators were 96% effective (aOR 0·04, 95% CI 0·004–0·30) compared with other masks, which were 67% effective (aOR 0·33, 95% CI 0·17–0·61; pinteraction=0·090). The other important finding for health workers by Chu and colleagues was that eye protection resulted in a 78% reduction in infection (aOR 0·22, 95% CI 0·12–0·39); infection via the ocular route might occur by aerosol transmission or self-inoculation.

Emphasis all mine here, but the point is masks are far from definitively protective, especially considering the unsanitary habits of the wearers, and we are not told at all that we should wear eye protection. We don't wear eye protection, despite that being a very effective mode of infection.
 
Yes I am. I'm suggesting to you that your vaunted "national news" is not serving the country well. Not serving YOU well. No, I don't have to show proof. "He who is convinced against his will, is of the same opinion still."

Besides, I think you're intelligent and I trust you to do intelligent and responsible research. But you must be brave enough to ask a lot of questions. You must be brave enough to approach it with an honest hunger for the truth, and you must be willing to go outside of the usual 3-character networks and newspapers that everybody is already familiar with. That's my "zen" way of saying that to find the truth, you must be willing to deviate from the beaten path (expose yourself to other news sources not "national" in nature).

And I can give you some anecdotal evidence to help you get started. MacRumors is an alternate source of information for each of us. We don't rely on CNN or the New York Times for Apple and other computing information. We come HERE. And we always have a lively conversation (like this one) about the day's news.

So take THAT sentiment with you to your research and consider using some unconventional sources. You may be surprised what you learn.

Got it. No proof to back up your assertion that the videos I watched on network news of people going non-linear over mask usage in stores are fake.

Just more jibber-jabber.
 
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I don't think we have any way of knowing what the long-term effects of COVID will be. When people dismiss it as no worse than the flu, I hope they are correct. It's simply too new to really determine anything with certainty. We haven't even gone through a flu + COVID season yet. I was reading something yesterday about a guy who caught both the flu and COVID at the same time and his intense medical ordeal. He was a healthy 40 year old with no pre-existing conditions.

Even if you survive, which you most likely will, COVID might cause long-term health issues or compromises. There is plenty of evidence already about lung functioning not returning to "normal" long after "recovery" for many people. I had no idea how brutal it is to be on a ventilator, nor did I understand what kind of long-term issues one can face after being removed from one.

Low mortality is not the same thing as full recovery, nor is it the same thing as minimal medical expenses (after being hospitalized for weeks). I see far more potential dangers - at this point - in taking a throw caution to the wind approach than imposing - and enforcing - restrictions.
Kind of a lot of speculations and doom in your post. Fortunately, this isn’t some exotic virus like Ebola and most people seem to not have anything close to “severe” symptoms, even if they do get it.

There are long term impacts to many things, but no one seems to care.

The US in particular would benefit FAR more from less sugar and more exercise. Those are far more dangerous to our public health than a respiratory virus with a low mortality. The amount of kids with diabetes, people with heart disease, and lung cancer from life choices absolutely dwarf this pandemic. The impacts just have no immediate effect, so no one cares.

I know people say whatsboutism and strawman, but the way we get amped up about certain things and accept others that are far worse never ceases to amaze.

Its very difficult for people to comprehend long term impacts (since you brought it up with this virus), but everything I mentioned is about investing in the long term.

If I could snap my fingers, obesity, smoking, diabetes, excessive sugar intake, etc would be way higher on my list to eradicate than freaking Covid 19.
 
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Yet deaths associated with it have been declining ever since the peak in April. There is still very little evidence that suggests that asymptomatic people are able to transmit the virus. The virus has a death rate of just 0.05%.

With the broadcasting of all of these COVID related numbers on all sorts of websites and TV channels, of course it looks terrifying, however I think the general public would feel a lot more at ease if they also saw all other sorts of numbers besides the COVID numbers. Simply due to the fact that COVID is the only disease which has had its numbers published and broadcasted in such a widespread and continual manner.
Stop spreading this nonsense. The basic math tells you that 0.05% death rate and 128K dead in USA means that 256M people in USA got infected by Covid-19 i.e. almost everyone. For your own sake, never use the news source where you learned this nonsense again.
 
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They closed the Glendale and Pasadena stores despite no spike in cases or deaths, just a relatively steady rate for weeks. Other areas of LA county have had different trends, but my guess is that Apple is afraid that closing some stores in an area will mean everyone flocks to the open ones.
The same isn’t going to be true for a small business, where people won’t drive 50 miles to go to an open furniture store they never heard of because their neighborhood furniture store is closed.
 
but deaths and hospitalizations have plummeted

That’s not true for all areas:

Arizona highest number of daily covid deaths just reported.


Texas hospitals are filling up.
 
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Stop spreading this nonsense. The basic math tells you that 0.05% death rate and 128K dead in USA means that 256M people in USA got infected by Covid-19 i.e. almost everyone. For your own sake, never use the news source where you learned this nonsense again.
True. But the only reason it is claimed that flu kills 0.1% of infected is that they estimate a huge number of people who never get tested. Yet when they do test hospitalized suspected flu cases, the positive rate is small, and the death rate is similar to Covid (1:6 die).

what we do know is the over 25% of all deaths in the USA during the New York tristate armageddon period were attributed to Covid+flu+Pneumonia. This is far worse than the 2018 flu season which was way past epidemic baseline. But at this point in time, covid+flu+pneumonia deaths as a percentage of overall deaths in the USA is barely above the 2018 tail end of the flu season.
The concern is of course what happens in the fall.
 
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