Rumors around this Apple service have consistently been mini-cable package, not an al-a-carte channel-selection service. ESPN is considered the jewel channel in the ABC/Disney portfolio. While some of us can see it as "too expensive", THEY see it as "biggest, most important money maker"- push it into a package and make more money, allow it to be excluded or reserved for some separate package and make less money. Thus, I expect ESPN to be included whether some of us will want it or not... not because we desire lower monthly costs but because key partners contributing content want to maximize profits.
Thank you, Captain Obvious.
Having worked in the cable industry for over a decade, I had no idea what the business cases were for bundling.
This ignores that lots of "cord-cutters" left their old pay TV providers because of having to pay for channels they didn't watch. And since live sports is one of the biggest dealbreakers for cord-cutting for some people, a larger percentage of cord-cutters are people who do not care about having live sports in their replacement entertainment packages.
If you haven't been paying attention to the response to Dish's Sling service, there are people turning the service down because of the ESPN inclusion (and the portion of the bill folks know is making it up). If Apple wants to attract people to their service, having an option that does not include ESPN would certainly help.
Edit: But who am I kidding? They don't need to attract people to their service. There are folks who will sign up in droves even if the service is crappy, just because it has Apple's name on it. (moo)