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Will tablets replace a significant part of the Consumer Laptop market? Very likely! Will it replace a significant part of the consumer Desktop market? Not as likely? Enterprise space? Quite unlikely...

Will an integrated solution keep dominating? History tends to prove that "integrated" solutions tend to end up being niche products. The exception being when all the competition is just as integrated (ie: game consoles). The iPad will eventually end up having 20-30% of the market, just like the iPhone. Great place for apple to be (20% of the market with just 1 product), as a shareholder I'd love that, but it will end up being 2nd to Android, or maybe 3rd if windows becomes a legit tablet OS (thus facilitating the replacement of PCs)

The main difference between tablets and phones is the carrier subsidies and nature of the customer. An iPad comes subsidy/contract-free. If you want a tablet, you go out and comparison shop.

When you buy a phone, you're first most likely locked into a carrier (or don't want the hassle of switching). On top of that, the carriers will subsidize your phone to $100, $50, or even free with a 2-year contract. Most non-techie people will say, "Ooh, this has a touchscreen, it plays music, and it's cheap" and go for that one. As many hardcore Android fans there are, there are far many more who don't even know what Android is. They simply buy the right phone for them, and it happens to be a cool-looking Samsung, Motorola, etc.

When you look at all devices shipped (phones, tablets, media players), iOS actually has more marketshare than Android. Only when you compare Android phones to iOS phones does Android have an advantage. Though this seems like comparing weighing all of Apple's lineup against Windows netbooks. Not to mention that there are many other metrics to use (customer satisfaction, revenue, etc.).
 
I highly doubt that tablets are going to surpass PCs marketwise. They are great on the go, but when you have to sit down and type, or edit videos and pictures they become unpractical. And most people that buy tablets use it as a PC companion not replacement.

Tablets and specially the iPad have a lot of positives for portability but they lack convenient and sometimes necessary features that only a Laptops or desktops can offer like 15"+ screens, DVD, mouse, keyboard, compatibility with external devices, etc.
 
Too optimistic imo.

And laptops won't stand still. Apple obviously has the MBA and look at where Intel wants laptops to go in 2 years - to cheap MBA-like form factors.

College kids still need computers for college. An iPad might be nice addition but not a cheap one which will limit it in that market.

Yes tablets have a niche. There's all kind of uses where a tablet makes so much more sense than a laptop. The doctor's office. The sales person. Field TEch doing reports and needing connectivity. etc. etc.

I think the will merge. They have smartphones with slide-out keyboards.

We are going to get a tablet with a fold out laptop form factor or vice versa.

That being said I can probably ditch the MBP I just bought my wife and get her an ipad instead for a good $500 less. The only downside being she loses out on flash video and the handling of photos is more of a pain in the arse. WE just need 1 computer and that can be a desktop.
 
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iOS is third in market share behind Windows and Mac OS. Not bad.

I think that tablets will not completely replace laptops. But people will upgrade their laptops or desktops less frequently as the tablets get more daily use. So sales of personal computers will continue to fall. Well Apple appears to be increasing in sales but perhaps less frequent upgrades in personal computers and the umbrella affect of ipad and iphone will steer more people to Apple's computers.

I do see segments of the population for which tablets are a better option than a computer. For instance you may know older relatives who have no interest in getting a computer. But you set them up with a tablet for communication and media and they are happy.
 
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Well I have a 13" Air and since getting the iPad, I've hardly used it at all. So for 2 months, the iPad has gone pretty much everywhere with me at work (great for taking notes during meetings etc). I was truly surprised by how easy it is to type on this thing. Maybe others have problems but I can honestly say that I don't have a problem at all with typing large pieces of work on the iPad. Now when it comes to editing spreadsheets and presentations, it's not as good, but still perfectly useable. One very happy iPad user here!
 
The only reason why we are even moving forward with iPads is because we are implementing mobiEcho from GroupLogic. Without that the iPad is just a big toy.
 
The iPad or any tablet for that matter will never replace my laptop. Typing for an extended time on a touchscreen is just not practical.

True, but imagine an official iPad "laptop" dock that attaches to a future ipad.

Connects via NFC so no BT pairing required, has an extended battery that charges the ipad via induction (no cables) and uses some sort of magnetic latch like the smart cover. Would also be nice to have a touch pad, but that would mean bringing a mouse cursor to iOS.

Will Apple ever make something like that? Probably not, but really it depends on the direction they go with iOS 5 which we will know in a few days.
 
Oh, so many misconceptions, so little time:

a) Android may have "shippped" tons of tablets (and what is the company called "Android" that is doing all this shipping?), but get back to us with sales figures, please. No Samsung double-talk around here.

b) "I could never replace my [whatever] with a tablet" -- How do you know? What will tablets look like a few years from now? What input methods will they have? You don't know? Then how do you know what you will use a few years from now? Have some imagination and realize that the post-PC world is just beginning and what we see by 2020 will make 2011 products look sad and outdated.

c) Of course the tablet market is going to be bigger than the PC market. That's what happens EVERY time we enter a new era: the overall market expands as new consumers come into the fold. More minis were sold than mainframes; more PCs were sold than minis; and now we're going to see more tablets sold than PCs. Count on it.
 
Hypothetically speaking, if iOS and OS X were to get closer and closer, I'd tend to hope that iOS would become more like OS X and not too much of the other. It's already sort of happening with iOS spilling over to OS X but I don't really want the notebooks and desktops running what would be more iOS than the stronger and more elaborate OS X. It's good to integrate things from the other but hopefully both will mostly keep their places in tact.

And to add something, if tablets (iPads) were to adopt the OS X platform as mentioned above, then I could definitely see tablets gaining a bigger market share.
 
IMO you'd be an idiot to think that iPad like devices will replace the general computer but whatever! :cool:

*cue the pathetic down-votes*
 
I think tablets are great, fun, useful devices. I mean, I love my iPad, but to me, it will never replace my computer. It replaces it in some ways, like casual internet browsing, but if I'm going to do some hardcore word processing or video editing, I'm going to want my laptop there.

in a few years the iPad isn't going to be exactly the same as it is today. Also, not everyone does hardcore word processing or video editing. The majority of users are super light users who just do email and surf the net.
 
The iPad or any tablet for that matter will never replace my laptop. Typing for an extended time on a touchscreen is just not practical.

Whether or not tablets replace laptops, it's heartening to know that the Apple brass have such confidence in the platform. They must have amazing things up their sleeve if they can make such bold statements...:D:apple:
 
b) "I could never replace my [whatever] with a tablet" -- How do you know? What will tablets look like a few years from now? What input methods will they have? You don't know? Then how do you know what you will use a few years from now? Have some imagination and realize that the post-PC world is just beginning and what we see by 2020 will make 2011 products look sad and outdated.

I'm standing by 'a tablet will not replace my laptop'. Maybe something will replace my laptop, maybe it will be something that evolves from the tablet. But a plain old tablet by the definition that we know them will not replace my laptop. In 20 years the laptop has evolved for example, but not beyond the definition of what a 'laptop' is. The dictionary definition hasn't changed.

I await the future. Tablets though to be honest aren't really the future. They're now. And they live side-by-side with laptops.
 
I believe the driving factor will be enterprise and government adoption of tablets more than the consumer market.

PCs will end up being shared resources whereas most employees will be issued a tablet. Tablet user interfaces and input methods will continue to improve and remote accessing a PC or virtual machine will be far easier than it is today.

Even on the consumer side, a family of four might eventually have just a couple of computers, but everyone will have a tablet.
 
I for one have always hated laptops. So I think tablets are the perfect gap close I can use my desk top at home and my tablet on the go. I also think asus transformer pc is the way tablets should run hard keyboards. I think that tablet was a game changer. It may not have the sells or the demand the iPad has but it will change how tablets are made from this point on.
 
way too optimistic. Tablets will never surpass PCs, not even after 20 years if tablet will even exist. Tablets are convenient and fun on the go or in bed, but have people actually use their tablets when their pc is right in front of them?

This is the same argument like people thinking that hybrids will surpass normal non-hybrids. Not gonna happen.
 
I didn't mean it like that. I dont use the keyboard dock, just the ipad the Apple case and the iPad USB Camera kit, it is more portable than my laptop and I really dont wanna get my MBP Scuffed up for the sake of showing a few people photos. obviously its also much quicker to switch on, setup and easier to walk around with.

Thats what I use my iPad for photography. I think it really does bring back the fun of photo editing with all the touch input etc it makes it feel more interactive just like the good old days of developing and stuff, don't get me wrong I love Aperture, but for quick on the move edits an iPad is perfect for myself.

With regards to the USB camera kit, for those that have SD flash, the EyeFi now supports peer to peer connection with both the iPhone and iPad.

http://www.eye.fi/blog/new-eye-fi-mobile-x2-and-instant-uploads

This is what I always assumed Apple's intent was with mobile devices, and why iCloud will probably spell the end of having to sync with a computer.
 
The iPad or any tablet for that matter will never replace my laptop. Typing for an extended time on a touchscreen is just not practical.

I agree for me personally (or until they beef them up) tablets will not replace my computer, but my iPad2 does a great job of replacing my computer on the go. If I need to do some serious work though, it's back to my computer.

I'm the same, a tablet cannot replace the tasks I perform on my laptop and hardware keyboards are easier to use. They just plain are.

All I would ever be interested in is a hybrid where the laptop screen can be detached. But never JUST a tablet. It's not happening for me, sorry.

Don't vote me down just because it's fine for you.

I think tablets are great, fun, useful devices. I mean, I love my iPad, but to me, it will never replace my computer. It replaces it in some ways, like casual internet browsing, but if I'm going to do some hardcore word processing or video editing, I'm going to want my laptop there.

I highly doubt that tablets are going to surpass PCs marketwise. They are great on the go, but when you have to sit down and type, or edit videos and pictures they become unpractical. And most people that buy tablets use it as a PC companion not replacement.

Tablets and specially the iPad have a lot of positives for portability but they lack convenient and sometimes necessary features that only a Laptops or desktops can offer like 15"+ screens, DVD, mouse, keyboard, compatibility with external devices, etc.

Who said anything about replacing your laptop/desktop? The story is about the tablet market eclipsing the desktop. Not too long ago people who carried cell phones were looked at as attention whores. Today it isn't all that uncommon to see somebody with two or three cell phones.

Ah well, frown and stomp all you want. at least you will be in good company...

'I think there is a world market for maybe five computers'
Thomas Watson, Chairman of IBM, 1943

'While a calculator on the ENIAC is equipped with 10000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers of the future may have only 1000 vacuum tubes and weigh only 1.5 tons.'
Popular mechanics, 1949

'I have travelled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won't last out the year'
Editor in charge of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957

'But what... is it good for?'
Engineer at the Advanced Computing Systems division of IBM, commenting on the microchip, 1968

'There is no reason why anyone would want a computer in the home'
Ken Olson, Present, Chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corporation, 1977

'640K should be enough for anybody'
Bill Gates, 1981
 
Will tablets replace a significant part of the Consumer Laptop market? Very likely! Will it replace a significant part of the consumer Desktop market? Not as likely? Enterprise space? Quite unlikely...
I really thought Tim Cook was talking about Apple PCs and not the rest of the PC Market. I thought he was saying that Apple would sell more iPads than iMacs.
 
Apple argues that the true measure of a platform's value should be measured by how well it supports the entire ecosystem surrounding it

I lol. iPad does not support any ecosystem, it is such a non standalone device, it is a consuming device, it has to mature along way before it can replace a laptop.

Maybe with iCloud technology the iPad can break it's dependance from the desktop devices, and become a true standalone device, self supporting, using the cloud for storage etc. Then it will be supporting the entire ecosystem. I am hopeful that this is the way it will end up being.
 
And most people that buy tablets use it as a PC companion not replacement.

And most people that buy PCs buy them for the Web, email, Facebook, buying/listening to music, etc.

Some people believe that the general populace has greater computing needs than they actually do.
 
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