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Analog Kid

macrumors G3
Mar 4, 2003
8,868
11,410
On the other hand, maybe it has nothing to do with someone leaving last year and everything to do with future plans. Who knows... really?
It certainly isn’t to design a chip for a Mac shipping in 12 months...

The truer the 2020 ARM Mac rumors are, the more it means this was a replacement hire.
 
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mdriftmeyer

macrumors 68040
Feb 2, 2004
3,810
1,985
Pacific Northwest
Thing is, why wouldn't Apple, at the very least, be considering an ARM transition? Intel has dropped the ball again and again on offering 7nm chips and it's now looking like they won't have anything suitable until at 2021 at the earliest, based on their leaked roadmap.

Apple would be absolutely insane to not at least consider transitioning away from Intel.

Keep in mind that the poor thermal performance of the newer MacBooks is likely at least partially down to Apple developing them for lower TDP Intel chips that never materialised.

Thing is having worked at NeXT and Apple and seen HP-PA RISC, SUN, Moto, x86, PowerPC we always knew the future was x86. We were Quad-FAT binaries at NeXT but at Apple Steve went PowerPC on the assurances from IBM they would keep up with development and performance of x86. They didn't so he moved to x86.

AMD is ahead of Intel now. Apple can just customize their OEM motherboards around Zen2+ and smile all the way to the bank with higher margins and lower overall system prices.
 

RichardDue

macrumors newbie
Jun 2, 2016
24
41
Would this mean I wouldn’t be able to run Windows 10 on a MacBook anymore? If so, then no thanks. I use boot camp to run Windows for some games and other things and it would be disappointing if I won’t be able to do that anymore, so I guess I’ll keep my old MacBook forever.

If Intel goes under . . . what do you think is going to happen to Windows?
 

raywkh14

macrumors newbie
Jun 26, 2019
12
29
Apple's not going to shift their whole chip paradigm because they've got an ARM chip that's marginally faster than Intel's. This is going to be a massive performance break. And Apple will add to that massive performance gap the year after that, and the year after that.

Three generations (years) after the break from Intel, Intel's fastest chips will look like 800MHz 486 chips compared to Apple's.

I hope I'm wrong. Intel has been good to computing. But . . . that's not what I see when I look into my crystal ball.

They are not, I stated that they will have Intel and ARM both build into the MacBook. Thus the 16" MacBook that will be coming out later, the larger MacBook will allow Apple to fit both processors.

It makes sense to have macOS and catalyst apps running on ARM. If the app is not a catalyst app, it will automatically run on the Intel processor. This will make the transition invisible to the end users and will not divide the Mac into 2 platforms.
 

RichardDue

macrumors newbie
Jun 2, 2016
24
41
It makes sense to have macOS and catalyst apps running on ARM. If the app is not a catalyst app, it will automatically run on the Intel processor. This will make the transition invisible to the end users and will not divide the Mac into 2 platforms.

I'd rather have a MacBook Pro with an in-house M-series Apple-made chip that's four to six times faster than Intel's (and without the $1,500 per chip Intel tax).
 

Realityck

macrumors G4
Nov 9, 2015
10,111
15,147
Silicon Valley, CA
If Apple does do an ARM Mac, I wonder what it would be like? Also wonder how it would handle things like PCIe, DisplayPort, Thunderbolt, etc.? Hopefully, Apple would transition to newer versions of them faster.
ARM stands for Advanced RISC Machine. RISC never handles more complex code very efficiently because it can't perform every instruction natively. We been through the CISC vs RISC discussions many times through the years and RISC is very good at applications where you limit what you do, but do it very fast. CISC based computer processing is what the business world utilizes. Going to ARM would be a another disaster. Apple at this point is trying to further optimize and expand its computer based solutions (either CISC or RISC (ARM) not migrate to a less efficient RISC solution that costs business their software investment. Thats not to say that you can't use ARM paired with CISC to enhance computers by removing certain processing from CISC for application specific enhancement.
 

gnasher729

Suspended
Nov 25, 2005
17,980
5,565
Just curious but why do you think an ARM Mac will not happen?
It may be that Apple isn't happy with Intel's progress, but Apple has the same processors as every other manufacturer, so they don't lose out on that basis. They don't win either, but they don't lose, like at end phase of PowerPC. intel is no risk, ARM is a risk.

ARM would have to have some huge advantage compared to Intel processors to come into play here.
 

raywkh14

macrumors newbie
Jun 26, 2019
12
29
I'd rather have a MacBook Pro with an in-house M-series Apple-made chip that's four to six times faster than Intel's (and without the $1,500 per chip Intel tax).

Yes if it is 4 or 6 times faster, that would be amazing. But if you look at Apple's CPU performance increase year after year, it is slowing down. From the trajectory, I doubt you will see 4 or 6 times the improvement against Intel in the next 5 years.

Yet at the same time, these chips are the same speed as the Intel mobile chips. Which means that putting ARM and Intel inside the Mac and have the OS and apps from the Mac App Store run on the ARM CPU would reduce the overall power consumption, and the beginning of the transition from Intel to ARM.

Intel will live on for the next MacBook design. If Intel is removed from the Mac, you will create compatibility problems for the end user. The ARM processor will be the main processor and Intel will be the off processor. This transition will take a while.

And Apple will price the Mac according to what the market can handle.
 

Realityck

macrumors G4
Nov 9, 2015
10,111
15,147
Silicon Valley, CA
Good. Leaving PowerPC was a mistake.
Smartest move Apple did. Whats the point of having business software that is suppose to run the same, yet the developer has to contend with two totally different processors to write code for. Motorola was not able to produce the faster and faster processors that Intel achieved. If Apple hadn't been migrated to Intel from Motorola, Apple likely would have been in a world of hurt and never produced all these lovely iPhones, Retina laptops and other wonderful products.
 

dona83

macrumors 6502
Nov 26, 2004
319
47
Kelowna, BC
Why are you assuming that Apple can’t design a desktop-class ARM chip? Even if you don’t like the idea you can’t argue that they don’t have the resources to pull it off.

Yep, especially when the current gen iPad Pro's A12X outperforms the quad core Intel i7 optional in the 13" MacBook Pro with touch bar. Not being able to run some software is my only issue but developers may adapt.
 
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Realityck

macrumors G4
Nov 9, 2015
10,111
15,147
Silicon Valley, CA
ARM would have to have some huge advantage compared to Intel processors to come into play here.
Its does only when you utilize a limited instruction base interface for mobile computing. But as the notion that iPad ever be a real computer, its so far back in the race that simply faster and faster ARMs will not result in a replacement for full UNIX based Mac's. Doesn't some aspects of the multi-tasking in iPadOS 13 remind you of the terribly old Mac Finder from 1987 68xxx days called Multi-finder? Think about it. These iPhones/iPads are very capable at the limited things they can do, but they are no MacOS. :D
 
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cppguy

macrumors 6502a
Apr 6, 2009
600
907
SF Bay Area, California
It's perfectly fine for Apple to consider an ARM Mac. Do you realize that tech companies constantly consider, even prototype, all sorts of stuff? I'm pretty sure at some point they've had an early prototype of an ARM Mac.

Sure, we don't want to break all applications, but developers can always just recompile their code, unless they rely on low-level features, such as byte order, and undocumented functions. It will be some effort to port existing code, but it's not impossible.

Sure, VMware will be broken beyond repair, and we won't be able to run x86 Windows anymore. But Microsoft is considering ARM as well.

x86 is a broken architecture that cannot be repaired. It has so much legacy that half the transistors are there just to support backwards compatibility. At some point you have to give it up for a better architecture. Maybe not overnight, but gradually. It's impossible for Intel to make an efficient CPU with that heritage.

Start by making MacBook Air ARM as a first step, but keep MacBook Pros and iMacs Intel for the time being. That's the only way Apple can achieve good performance and battery life, great cooling in a portable package. We have to sacrifice the old technology.

This will also force Adobe to rewrite their bloated Lightroom and Premier. They've already started doing it in Lightroom CC, and Photoshop/Premier for iPad. Initially it'll be a lightweight version that can improve over time.

Not everyone who buys a Mac needs VMware or Premier. Only a small portion of people use these. I'm one of the Windows developers who need VMware, but it's not like Apple is going to kill Intel Macs overnight. I don't think that's going to happen. And ARM Macs are not going to be iPadOS, they'll stay macOS for a long time.
 

Internet Enzyme

macrumors 6502a
Feb 21, 2016
999
1,794
Counting down the days till Apple computing irrelevancy. Sure you will have iPad, and a iPhone but for computers this will be a nail in the coffin for people who use computers for things other than facebook and MS word.

"Hey prosumer, have a look at our computer that costs at least TWICE AS MUCH as a similarly spec machine anywhere else. Whats that, you want compatibility? Well, we have all the IO you could want if all you want is USB-C. Oh you were talking about software compatibility? Well, we don't run windows anymore so if you have some mission critical software you will have to buy a dedicated windows machine. What about old Apple apps? Well we just retired 32bit apps, and we have a "rosetta 2.0' that we will support intel software long, long, LONG, into the future. Well 2 years at last. So it's compatible if all your stuff is up to date. But anyway. BUY OUR MAC!"

Yeah, no.

The biggest problem with the ARM transition will be if Bootcamp goes away. But Windows does actually support ARM architecture so who knows but I could never see Apple developing Windows drivers for their custom ARM chips.
 

firewood

macrumors G3
Jul 29, 2003
8,108
1,345
Silicon Valley
2019: the year Apple drops support for 32bit applications
2020: the year Apple drops support for all the software in the world

No. More software in the world currently runs on ARM processors than on x86. More new software is being written for ARM (and GPUs, TPUs, and other DNN-engines) than for x86. x86-only-pro-apps/games barely make up 1% of the worldwide software dev industry.
 
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Kung

macrumors 6502
Feb 3, 2006
453
454
Good move on hiring "Stone Cold" Mike Filippo. I mean seriously, the dude appears to be a dead ringer.
 

lec0rsaire

macrumors 68000
Feb 23, 2017
1,525
1,450
ARM may only be for the regular MacBook at first or for a while. Intel really hasn’t done anything new on the ULV front. The retina MacBook is about the same it was back in 2015. I would bet we’re going to see an ARM MacBook sooner than we think. On the high-end that won’t be happening any time soon if ever. Intel has gotten stuck in a ditch but they won’t stay there forever. Pressure from AMD and the threat of ARM are enough motivation to deliver.

In fact it’s more likely for Apple to switch to AMD than ARM. The reason they haven’t already is probably due to brand perception. Intel has done a great job over the past 30 years at positioning themselves as the premium CPU. AMD is still trying to shake off the “cheaper option” image. On HEDT they’ve managed to do that but HEDT is a small fraction of consumer PC sales. AMD doesn’t have as robust a mobile lineup as Intel. They only have a sole high power Ryzen 7 H, a sole Ryzen 7 U and a couple of Ryzen 5s. They’re simply not better than Intel’s i7 and i9 offerings. The Vega 10 is even weaker than the Iris 655 and Intel’s integrated GPUs are about to get much much better.
 

BGPL

macrumors 6502a
May 4, 2016
935
2,579
California
This has everything to do with A series architecture leader leaving earlier this year, and nothing to do with your fantasy on Macs.

The last guy leaving and the new guy coming have everything to do with the new plan. Didn't consider that did you?
 

rp2011

macrumors 68020
Oct 12, 2010
2,337
2,653
Can I ask those of you that understand the industry better than I, could Apple be doubling down on dual chip designs that offload more of the tasks that an ARM chip has the strengths for, while utilizing the Intel chips for theirs?
 

Bob1985

macrumors regular
Sep 19, 2015
125
124
A few things have changed since the old days of RISC vs. CISC:

  1. Intel is no longer always a transistor node ahead of everybody. In fact, it’s currently behind.
  2. Dennard scaling ended around 2006. Slow and wide wins.
  3. Moore’s Law is stuck in the mud, probably for another decade.

What this means is that processor architecture matters a lot more than it used to.
 

cppguy

macrumors 6502a
Apr 6, 2009
600
907
SF Bay Area, California
The biggest problem with the ARM transition will be if Bootcamp goes away. But Windows does actually support ARM architecture so who knows but I could never see Apple developing Windows drivers for their custom ARM chips.

If you rely on Bootcamp, you're already in big trouble. The MacBook Pro is optimized for macOS only, the Bootcamp drivers seriously overheat the hardware.
 
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