It is all about market share, not numbers. Android is skyrocketing past iOS, as seen in the DECLINE of market share for the iPhone. A simple extrapolation of the trend lines forward tells one that there are troubles ahead for Apple. Some refuse to see it because of brand loyalty blinders firmly affixed to their heads, but Android has more momentum than does Apple. For example, more households now plan on purchasing an Android device for their next phone by a significant margin over Apple.
Apple did own the mobile space, insofar as they set the agenda for years. It was iPhone verses everyone else, and Apple cleansed their clocks. The iPhone was THE default platform for App developers, much like Windows is the default platform for almost every application or program made. However, Apple is in the process of losing this position, hence they are losing the mobile space and their agenda-setting power in it. As Android gains in market share, it will become the default platform. Later, the best and most innovative apps will be deployed on Android first and then only later on the iPhone. This will create a spiral effect, where users will begin to leave the platform in droves.
Finally, I guess I cannot challenge your 5 'ever's" I mean, I might be able to refute 2 or 3, but 5 "ever's" in a row just shows your maturity level enough to anyone who reads this to make it pointless.
Wow. I don't think anyone here would argue that Apple has as big a command of the smartphone agenda as they had for a little bit there. But that's not what you said. You said that they had lost the mobile phone market. There is a big difference. As far as extrapolating goes, it wasn't that long ago that one could look at the numbers and argue that Android was a non-starter and Apple would reign supreme... if you did a simple extrapolation.
Point is, these markets are complex places. What's happening now could have very little bearing on what will be happening a year from now. A simple extrapolation is far too simplistic an approach to hang your hat on. I'm not saying that Apple doesn't need to do something to help them maintain some significance in thus market (though I would say that even if their market share continues to slip, it would be a long time, if ever, before they became an "also ran" platform from a development standpoint, for any number of a miriad of reasons), but I don't think that they are in anywhere near as serious of trouble as you keep insinuating.
aren't numbers related to market share?
this is a genuine question i am not being sarcastic or trying to prove you wrong.
Yes and no. If I'm selling 100 widgets a year in a market where 500 widgets a year are sold, then I've got a 20% market share. If, the next year, I double my sales (yay for me!) to 200 widgets, but the market jumps to a total of 2000 widgets (four times as many), then, despite the fact that I'm selling more, my market share will have fallen to 10%. To some extent, this is the situation that Apple finds itself in. It's selling as many iPhones as it can make (so we've been told), but the smartphone market is increasing in size faster than Apple's iPhone production capacity. Thus, they are holding steady or even dropping in market share a little bit.
Now, there are markets within markets, and it might well be interesting to look at the sub-markets to really get a better understanding of this. For example, what is Apple's market share behavior in the $500+ (say, $200+ with contract) smartphone market, vs. their behavior in the <$300 (say, <$100 with contract, where there is only the iPhone 3GS from AT&T, in the US market, anyway)? As Apple has always been more of a premium product maker, and there are a lot of less expensive Android phones battling for the lower end market, where Apple doesn't really try to play, I wouldn't be at all surprised to find that the iPhone was still superior to Andriod phones at this point, especially since the iPhone has now been releases on Verizon.