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There has been no progress in readying states for distribution, even if sufficient quantities of vaccine were available. At the current pace, it will be 2022 before enough people have been vaccinated in the US to allow a slow return to normal.
There's no need for total widespread vaccinations before returning to some normalcy. Vaccines to First responders/healthcare workers and people 65+ is enough (ideally 60+). Using the last CDC data available, 65+ is 80% of the total Covid-19 deaths. At most, after 55+ (92% of the total deaths) are vaccinated we should be fine.

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I can't imagine there will be many full packed offices for at least another year.

Finance people will then have around 2 years of real world data of very high productivity/dollar spent.

Will they really allow the productivity/dollar to be cut by 20%, 30%, 50%?
Just so staff can go back to having all those face-to-face meetings that should've been emails?

Apple can more than afford to be less productive, they have billions in the bank, but for the rest?

Will smaller companies really have a chance to stay competitive if competitors adopt a remote first policy?

It's not only the office it self that costs money, you usually have to pay people more just so they can afford to live within a reasonable commute of the office. Your talent pool is also limited to people willing/able to live close to the office. You might miss out on way better talent willing to work for half the money, all while living in a decent home where they actually want to be long term. (Unlike the 9 people sharing a 3 bed in SanFran..)

It's probably time to let the factory-concept go to the history books and embrace the future.
 
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