Which probably means that yes, a greater-than-normal number have/will fail. But that's hardly indication that it'll be 100%, and I sincerely doubt that the extended warranties would have even been implemented if it weren't nVidia funding them.How about the fact that all major computer manufacturers have extended their warranties on this part?
If there's going to be an increased failure rate over time. Given that the problem is the solder, then I would expect most cases to happen early on in the chip's life; it's not the kind of problem that's affected by amount of usage over time, but rather the type (if you break the thermal limit on the solder inside the computer--rather a one-off event, though of course repeating it will make the problem worse).When you consider that the majority of the computers with this part are still under a year old, the already large number of failures does not bode well for the final stats.
Which probably means that yes, a greater-than-normal number have/will fail. But that's hardly indication that it'll be 100%, and I sincerely doubt that the extended warranties would have even been implemented if it weren't nVidia funding them.
If there's going to be an increased failure rate over time. Given that the problem is the solder, then I would expect most cases to happen early on in the chip's life; it's not the kind of problem that's affected by amount of usage over time, but rather the type (if you break the thermal limit on the solder inside the computer--rather a one-off event, though of course repeating it will make the problem worse).
So unless a user has a sudden change of usage pattern, I wouldn't expect to see it showing up years down the road. And the short length of the warranty extensions seems to be an indication that nVidia doesn't expect this either.
I'm thinking of selling my blackbook to get an "older" MBP. Is there any way Apple will configure it with a different GPU? And if they don't is the only way to get the defective one out w/o spending money is to wait for it to fail? That's ridiculous!!
I hope you're right, but it's not a thermal limit but the cumulative affect of thermal variations that ultimately causes the failure. Cycles of hot and cold eventually wear down the substrate and cause the chip to lose contact with the die--and therefore fail. So it's an insidious problem, not one that happens as a "one-off event"; it's kind of like bending a piece of metal back and forth until it finally snaps (for lack of a better analogy).
This is what I've gathered. Months ago, Nvidia said that some of its mobile GPUs might be defective but not the ones in Apple products. A few month later Apple says "Uhh... I think some of the ones inside our products are affected too" and offers the warranty extension.
The only "credible" source is an Inquirer article which claims that the desktop GPUs are also bad which NOBODY has ever come forth and said and there is no evidence to back that up. Inquirer also happens to hate Nvidia.
This flaw isn't limited to the 8600m, but also the others in the 8xxx series like the 8400 found in many 13" and 15" notebooks from other manufacturers who have released BIOS updates to make the fans runs higher. They also have warranty extensions of their own.
I've decided there isn't anything to worry about. Apple claims it only affects some gpus. They continue to sell it on closeout models, refurbs, and the new 17" MacBook Pro. If it was a serious flaw, they would not do this.
If the problem doesn't show up within two years, it probably means you're fine. If it does show up, then you can get a replacement. Apple has issued an out-of-warranty replacement on iMac G5 video cards in the past without any time limit. This and the fact that they are using nVidia chipsets/GPUs in all the new Macbooks leads me to believe that it is entirely safe.
Stop worrying, stop being paranoid, it isn't a ticking time bomb. Just remember when you read things on internet forums, people like to lie and bend the truth. Also, it may seem when there is a huge discussion about an issue that everybody is having that issue. But mainly only the people having that issue are going to be complaining about it.
Most of the posts in this thread are by Phrasikleia who has a working MacBook Pro and is just super paranoid that it will crap out. Calm down! Stop worrying about it!
So glad youve decided there isnt anything to worry about. Now we can all relax.I've decided there isn't anything to worry about.
Apple claims it only affects some gpus. They continue to sell it on closeout models, refurbs, and the new 17" MacBook Pro. If it was a serious flaw, they would not do this.
In July 2008, NVIDIA publicly acknowledged a higher than normal failure rate for some of their graphics processors due to a packaging defect. At that same time, NVIDIA assured Apple that Mac computers with these graphics processors were not affected. However, after an Apple-led investigation, Apple has determined that some MacBook Pro computers with the NVIDIA GeForce 8600M GT graphics processor may be affected. If the NVIDIA graphics processor in your MacBook Pro has failed, or fails within two years of the original date of purchase, a repair will be done free of charge, even if your MacBook Pro is out of warranty.
Hope that we find out - mine looks great now. Good luck. I cant believe that they wouldn't have tested them before shipment...I grabbed a 2.4ghz the other day - haven't opened the box yet because I luckly found this information.
Apple's site says:
MacBook Pro 15-inch and 17-inch models with NVIDIA GeForce 8600M GT graphics processors
* MacBook Pro (17-Inch, 2.4GHz)
* MacBook Pro (15-Inch, 2.4/2.2GHz)
* MacBook Pro (Early 2008)
What are the chances the 8600m GT 512mb in the 2.5ghz aren't effected? I know there is 256mb difference, but wouldn't they be the same card essentially? I'll return the 2.4ghz and grab a 2.5ghz if I can be reassured the card is not the same.
Thoughts?
My comment was far from rude, uninformed, or unthoughtful. It is idiotic to bother them with this unless there IS a problem with yours. I would have refused it also. You're cluttering a forum with nonsense when people who actually are experiencing a real problem are seeking relevant solutions. I'm tired of reading crap from people like you who seek replacements and repairs for such asinine things. Like people who return a product for a single dead pixel on a screen with millions. Furthermore, as a stockholder of Apple you bothering a busy Apple store with unrealistic demands based on speculation is directly my business as an owner of Apple.
For the sake of all those seeking relevant information in this thread, this will be my last remark regarding this matter. I ask you also clear the crap for those with a real problem.
Some people have a hope that some of the 8600 Macbook Pros will fall outside the manufacturer date of September 08.
Okay let me ask you, if Apple was rolling out new notebooks just a few days ago, how many of the "old" ones do you think they were possibly making two weeks before that?
Would you like to hear the total? Here it is: Zero.
As someone who is the proud owner (since last Thursday) of a destined to die Macbook Pro, I called Apple and was put on hold so they could tell me my computer was built conveniently in the 41st week.
So that put it into October.
Then I asked so what's different about it then? I was told there was a "patch" for those like mine built in the "41st" week.
Gee, do you really think that makes any sense.
Really, let's admit the reality and move on.
All the 2008 Macbook Pros are in the same boat with faulty 8600 Nvidia graphic cards, end of story.
I grabbed a 2.4ghz the other day - haven't opened the box yet because I luckly found this information.
Apple's site says:
MacBook Pro 15-inch and 17-inch models with NVIDIA GeForce 8600M GT graphics processors
* MacBook Pro (17-Inch, 2.4GHz)
* MacBook Pro (15-Inch, 2.4/2.2GHz)
* MacBook Pro (Early 2008)
What are the chances the 8600m GT 512mb in the 2.5ghz aren't effected? I know there is 256mb difference, but wouldn't they be the same card essentially? I'll return the 2.4ghz and grab a 2.5ghz if I can be reassured the card is not the same.
Thoughts?
I bought my refurb 2.5 15" MBP on October 15th. (last week) What's the chances that they shipped me one of the faulty 8600 chips? Is there a way I can diagnose if I have the proper hardware myself?
Hope that we find out - mine looks great now. Good luck. I cant believe that they wouldn't have tested them before shipment...
No way this could have been a new Oct 14 mbp that went bad and got refurbed. I'd guess it's one of their big inventory with the 8600 chips. But it's just a guess.