There’s a certain inherent contradiction in the judgement when you think about it.
First, Apple was found to not be a monopoly, and have a right to IAP and not offer other payment options inside the App Store. Yet on the other hand, Apple is supposed to allow links that possibly lead to external payment options which allow developers to eschew Apple’s IAP options. On the surface, there seems to be nothing wrong with a company like Netflix providing a link to their website, given that most people are already signing up via their website these days. But i don’t think the intent is to allow an app like Fortnite to avoid paying Apple 30%.
I don’t know what the right answer is. Should Apple try to draw a distinction between games and non-gaming apps (like e-books)? This would solve the number one gripe users have with the App Store, and freemium games make up the bulk of App Store revenue anyways. I imagine it shouldn’t be too difficult for Apple to defend this by attempting to draw parallels with gaming consoles. I suspect many of the common reasons cited for why something like the Switch App Store gets to keep its 30% cut wouldn’t pass muster in courts either.
Continuing to insist to its right to every last cent of IAP is risky (and will only serve to further antagonise its developer base), but again, the judge did originally rule in 2021 that Apple is entitled to it. Pushing back on the one part of the ruling that Apple did lose is incredibly risky, but high risk, high reward, I guess, and further cement Apple’s control over their App Store?
I don’t think the right move now is to capitulate, however, In for a penny, in for a pound, I suppose. What’s done is done, so let’s see where the dice land.