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Don't normally like Forbes and their anti-Apple click bait, but this article aptly sums up all the "advice" Apple is getting these days on what they need to do.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/ericjackson/2013/01/28/how-tim-cook-should-really-be-running-apple/

That's a great article. It's amazing that some of the comments thought he was being serious. But the article brings to light what so many intelligent people have been sayng: random children on a forum have no idea how to run a company.
 
The biggest enemy of Apple is not Google but itself. Most of its profits come from iPhone but they refuse to give people different sizing options and so people like me have pre-ordered the Galaxy S4 because it has a 5" screen compared to my puny iPhones 5's 4" screen.

Why can't Apple just do a 4",4.5", and 5" screens? Give people options, small screen phones are so 2007. Also, redesign iOS, its so boring now.

Completely agree. Who has not learned that "you can have any color as long as it's black" does not work? Especially if your competitors are offering choice.

One cannot control the market.
 
Completely agree. Who has not learned that "you can have any color as long as it's black" does not work? Especially if your competitors are offering choice.

One cannot control the market.

How come the iPhone 4 and 4S seem to still be selling well if the public wants larger screens? Surely there are cheaper Android phones (especially off contract) with larger screens. And we keep hearing how iOS is dated and doesn't have the customization and features that Android does. So wouldn't people be flocking in droves away from iPhone to these bigger screen phones with better OS? But who, besides Samsung (and their $12B ad budget) are seeing huge increases in phone sales or an uptick in profits?
 
How come the iPhone 4 and 4S seem to still be selling well if the public wants larger screens? Surely there are cheaper Android phones (especially off contract) with larger screens. And we keep hearing how iOS is dated and doesn't have the customization and features that Android does. So wouldn't people be flocking in droves away from iPhone to these bigger screen phones with better OS? But who, besides Samsung (and their $12B ad budget) are seeing huge increases in phone sales or an uptick in profits?

herd mentality
 
How come the iPhone 4 and 4S seem to still be selling well if the public wants larger screens? Surely there are cheaper Android phones (especially off contract) with larger screens. And we keep hearing how iOS is dated and doesn't have the customization and features that Android does. So wouldn't people be flocking in droves away from iPhone to these bigger screen phones with better OS? But who, besides Samsung (and their $12B ad budget) are seeing huge increases in phone sales or an uptick in profits?

People that are upgrading from old iphones ? People that cant afford the iphone 5 or other devices ?

Cheaper android phones :confused: most on the same range cost about the same and in some cases cost more a little bit more than the iphone.
 
I didn't account for share buybacks. Assuming they use excess cash to buyback shares, Apple is definitely worth over $600 with my assumptions. So a good time to buy would be now if I'm right. I think they have to beat last year's 2Q earnings and announce buyback or dividends to jumpstart the stock. People are crazy thinking the stock is riskier than ever even though the price is a decent bargain!

Should be no trouble beating last years 2Q earnings. Verizon announced they sold 25% more iPhone's in 2Q over last year's 2Q. Sprint is much more on board this year than last year. The tablet market is much larger and the mini is out this year racking up sales. Tons more iOS devices are out there and they are logging onto the App Store and iTunes and buyings stuff. Only thing that will probably be down is the Mac sales.

So I think they beat last year's 2Q.

----------

Couldn't they also hold them for future employee options rather than destroy and later re-issue?

Yes, but there is no cost to re-issuing shares. It is a simple corporate activity. It is easier to hold shares, but we are talking about a few hours of corporate paper pushing and a set of resolutions from the board to issue shares. No big deal.
 
Don't normally like Forbes and their anti-Apple click bait, but this article aptly sums up all the "advice" Apple is getting these days on what they need to do.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/ericjackson/2013/01/28/how-tim-cook-should-really-be-running-apple/

I took a quick look at the article and I find these three statements hilarious.

"Put out 8 different versions of the iPhone simultaneously, including ones with larger screens, like Samsung. But keep the margins above 44% and recall you only get the full profit benefit of a new iPhone in the 2nd half of its production run."

"Spend billions on marketing like Samsung. But let the product sell itself so that it stays premium."

"Don’t pursue costly patent battles. But protect your core IP and don’t let Samsung rip off your innovations."


So basically copy Samsung but don't let Samsung copy you. My guess is that Samsung will start copying Samsung:confused:
 
Should be no trouble beating last years 2Q earnings. Verizon announced they sold 25% more iPhone's in 2Q over last year's 2Q. Sprint is much more on board this year than last year. The tablet market is much larger and the mini is out this year racking up sales. Tons more iOS devices are out there and they are logging onto the App Store and iTunes and buyings stuff. Only thing that will probably be down is the Mac sales.

So I think they beat last year's 2Q.

Estimates are actually around 15% lower than 2012 Q2 earnings, so if they actually do better than last year, then that's a big win, even if gross margins are lower than expected. I agree the iPad is still strong, and the iPhone is strong as well. The market share hasn't changed much since last year. It just took longer for investors to realize there's solid competition. We'll see. I hope my overweight position pays off.
 
The current stock price drop is a re-balancing of the irrational price rise the stock had a year ago. IMO.
 
The current stock price drop is a re-balancing of the irrational price rise the stock had a year ago. IMO.
Agreed. Crazy prices like $700 a share because Apple released a phone that looks the same (iPhone 4S in 2011 - that's 1.5 years after the iPhone 4)? That's what I call irrational. And no one said it was boring (!). And then the iPhone 5 came out last year with slimmer design and bigger screen, then everyone says it's boring and lame and the stock falls back to $400. More like a correction then any change in fundamentals.

That being said, Apple has not have any announcement since October. I wish that they have something big to show us really soon.
 
People that are upgrading from old iphones ? People that cant afford the iphone 5 or other devices ?

Cheaper android phones :confused: most on the same range cost about the same and in some cases cost more a little bit more than the iphone.

I bought a 4S in January simply because it was $99 and not $199 for the lowest price 5. In February, I ended up buying a Nexus 4 for $349 and using it and the new 4S that I bought on T-mobile. My previous iPhone was another 4S that I had used on Verizon and sold it. I also didn't feel the 5 was a worthwhile upgrade so I used my AT&T upgrade in January to buy another 4S because I had sold my previous AT&T 4S about a year ago. My AT&T account was eligible since last May.

I do appreciate that the Nexus 4 has a much bigger screen then the 4S, I do still enjoy using the 4S as much as the Nexus 4.
 
I bought a 4S in January simply because it was $99 and not $199 for the lowest price 5. In February, I ended up buying a Nexus 4 for $349 and using it and the new 4S that I bought on T-mobile. My previous iPhone was another 4S that I had used on Verizon and sold it. I also didn't feel the 5 was a worthwhile upgrade so I used my AT&T upgrade in January to buy another 4S because I had sold my previous AT&T 4S about a year ago. My AT&T account was eligible since last May.

I do appreciate that the Nexus 4 has a much bigger screen then the 4S, I do still enjoy using the 4S as much as the Nexus 4.

Im using the same setup too :) nexus 4 with 4s.
 
Im using the same setup too :) nexus 4 with 4s.

The iPhone 4S still has a few years left of life because it will at least get through iOS 7 and even after, it will be a while before apps no longer support it. This summer when a new iPhone is released, the 4S will become the free iPhone and will replace the 4 as the free phone so I felt completely confident buying the 4S when I did in January.
 
I took a quick look at the article and I find these three statements hilarious.

"Put out 8 different versions of the iPhone simultaneously, including ones with larger screens, like Samsung. But keep the margins above 44% and recall you only get the full profit benefit of a new iPhone in the 2nd half of its production run."

"Spend billions on marketing like Samsung. But let the product sell itself so that it stays premium."

"Don’t pursue costly patent battles. But protect your core IP and don’t let Samsung rip off your innovations."


So basically copy Samsung but don't let Samsung copy you. My guess is that Samsung will start copying Samsung:confused:
The whole point of the column was to show how absurdly contradictory pundits/analysts/journalists can be when covering Apple. Sell a cheap 7" tablet to compete with the Kindle Fire, but make sure you keep high profit margins on the product.
 
The whole point of the column was to show how absurdly contradictory pundits/analysts/journalists can be when covering Apple. Sell a cheap 7" tablet to compete with the Kindle Fire, but make sure you keep high profit margins on the product.

Contradictory and absurd only if the analyst is telling both things.
 
http://us.rd.yahoo.com/finance/exte...ple-cook-whisper-campaign/?source=yahoo_quote

Surprise, surprise right before earnings, hedge fund guy Doug Kass (a favorite of CNBC) tweets that he thinks Cook is "cooked". This is the same guy who, before Apple's shareholder meeting, tweeted that Apple would be announcing a stock split. When the stock jumped after his tweet he sold his shares for a profit and then tweeted that the split rumor was baseless.

I love the end of PED's column:

"The market is crying uncle and something has got to give," says Oracle Investment's Laurence Isaac Balter, who has been banging the "Cook must go" drum for weeks.

"If a stock rally hits on this rumor before earnings it will be a sign for sure."

Now that's rich.

And people still claim Apple stock isn't being manipulated. :rolleyes:
 
http://us.rd.yahoo.com/finance/exte...ple-cook-whisper-campaign/?source=yahoo_quote

Surprise, surprise right before earnings, hedge fund guy Doug Kass (a favorite of CNBC) tweets that he thinks Cook is "cooked". This is the same guy who, before Apple's shareholder meeting, tweeted that Apple would be announcing a stock split. When the stock jumped after his tweet he sold his shares for a profit and then tweeted that the split rumor was baseless.

I love the end of PED's column:



And people still claim Apple stock isn't being manipulated. :rolleyes:

I'm absolutely agree with you. The only way for Apple how to survive until new products announcements in Q2-Q3 2013 is a little bit "cook the books" to present tomorrow better results than were expected.

It will lead to massive closes of the short positions and can push shares prices up.

Most of insiders are getting some portions of company's financial results before it presented to wide public and can try get even more. Just spread bad news about Apple across the world, buy more shares on panic and you can get a lot of money if real numbers are better than expected.

Frankly, I don't believe in AAPL in a long-term perspective, but if Doug Kass wants to convince sell the shares before next event - it is a huge reason to buy. Just remember to sell them two weeks later. :)
 
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