I have seen 4K a lot in this thread. I just don't see it, nor do I see any viability for 4K.
I think TV manufacturers are going to try and push 4K just as they did a few years ago with 3D TV's, and I think they are going to meet similar results.
I think 1080p is more than sufficient for a vast majority of folks. 4K content will still be few and far between IMHO, and won't justify the much higher costs for 4K sets.
That's almost always the sentiment. Around here- prior to Apple embracing 1080p- I read the very same kinds of things about 720p. And boy were there seemingly a thousand battles about 720p being plenty for "the vast majority," along with putting down 1080p as gimmicky, vast majority can't see the difference, internet will crash, "the chart", and on and on.
It's always the same: Apple hasn't obviously endorsed something, so it's stupid. Then, Apple endorses it and it's spectacular. Pair that with "<something> is good enough for ME, so it good enough for everyone else too" and it often feels like those two concepts apply to most of the crowd here.
I'm a quality hound and I was wanting to cling to "1080p is good enough" myself. Then, the other day, I saw 4K on display. Wow! My mind immediately flipped to wanting a 4K camcorder, 4K display, can FCP X handle 4K?, etc. It's easy to put down without seeing it. But go see it and see if you still feel the same.
"We" can spend the next few years posting "1080p is good enough", "the internet would crash if we tried to stream 4K", "until everything in iTunes is available at 4K", "until bandwidth is expanded everywhere", "the chart", etc.- all in opposition to the idea of 4K. But then, Apple will roll it out and it will be a repeat of "720p is good enough." All that "4K is overkill" sentiment will evaporate and 4K will become "must have", "how did we ever get by without it before", "1080p looks blurry", "shut up and take my money", etc. When it comes to video, it's just the same thing over and over again.
4K is coming and it will be great. The internet won't crash. Bandwidth won't have to be expanded everywhere. Those happy with 1080p or 720p or even SD can still enjoy <4K versions of everything. But it's definitely coming. Eventually the TV people wear out the market for 1080p. They need to bring the "new" or die.
After 4K seems like it is everywhere and <= 1080p is looked down upon as outdated & inferior, 8K is right on it's heels. Then, "the vast majority" won't need 8K, internet will crash, etc. Stay tuned: we've all seen this movie several times before.
----------
A la carte & cheap should not be used together to reference content. The unintended side effect of a la carte will be the most popular channels will be very expensive to combat potential lost revenue and to continue funding less popular channels. Some would say get rid of less popular channels. If that happens the popular channels will become even more expensive. Why? Advertising. That's where the big money is.
If Apple can show content providers a way to maintain and grow their profit, not Apples, then and only then will we see a change. Show the content providers a profit and they will come running with their content in tow.
This is exactly right. Too many get the perceptual math wrong. Nobody- Apple included- has any interest in cutting our monthly video bill significantly. Apple just wants to edge into that bill and get their 30%. 30% of $100/month = $30 to Apple. 30% of the $10/month huge discount "we" want is $3 to Apple.
All the players will play ball with Apple if Apple can show ALL of them how they- not Apple- are going to make MORE- not less- money in some kind of new model. And therein lies the problem. Our end of the chain keeps dreaming that we- the source of all of that money- is somehow going to get a big cut in our costs AND Apple can get a big slice of revenue. If so, the other players in the chain have to take a great big hit. Why should they want to do that?
And before someone says, they have to do that or die, I always come back to the key dependency. Who owns the pipe through which any replacement model by Apple entirely depends? Why are they going to roll over and take the hit if Apple's solution entirely depends on that pipe?