Apple has done extremely well, but they've all been in markets which are in their infancy and or haven't really taken the world by storm. I.e
The iPod. No other MP3 player was really competitive at the time.
The iPhone. Smartphones before it were rather laughable, like the Blackberry 7730 and were not considered by consumers or even known well in the mass market.
The iPad. Tablets, again like the iPhone, the market was still rather small and hadn't took off, due to companies not really offering many options.
Unlike these markets, the digital camera market has been very well established for the past 8-10 years now. There are more than enough manufacturers in the camera world and I personally always buy Nikon, its been the best for me with DSLR's and stuff.
To your latter statements. Everyone has different photographic needs. Thats why manufacturers make so many lens options all for different purposes. Making a camera whats dumbed down isn't going to benefit anyone. The whole enjoyment for me was learning manual controls and experimenting with them. People who don't want to learn these skill are quite simply ignorant and I, like many others would never consider them a real photographer. Photography is more than just composition, its all the setup and control process for the perfect image. The whole art of photography is being able to manipulate on camera manual controls. A dumbed down camera would be more like painting by numbers and being a killer of creativity and artistic merit.
I actually agree with you on the end result, but I don't think you understood what I was trying to say in the portion that you quoted from my posting.
First, I have to admit I myself wasn't as clear I as should have been. I was actually referring to the current marketplace for Apple's products and their competitors such as the Android devices.
And my intention was to setup the background of a very large and diverse consumer base. So much so, that it would be highly improbable that 1 single device/product would "own" the entire market.
The question for Apple when they create a product for sale is what is the market for that product?
As you pointed out in hindsight, the mp3 player market was young and underdeveloped and the smartphone market only had 1 real player in it, Blackberry. It was "easy" for Apple to take over those markets with their ability to create both the hardware and the software and redefine the consumer experience in those markets.
With the photography market as you said, this is not the same scenario. It has been around for many many years with a number of key and competitive players. I would also add that it also involves "technology" not related to software or computer electronics - optics.
But let's not forget Apple's success in the retail market. Prior to the Apple store, we could only buy Apple products online or at a select few retail outlets. Apple changed all that dramatically and very successfully with their very non-software and non-computer hardware retail stores. First, Apple identified what their "problem" was - lack of consumer reach for their products in the retail marketplace. Second, they researched how best to sell their products to their target consumer base. In doing so, they redefined what the shopping experience should be for a computer/electronics buyer. A "buy product" of that redefinition is that Apple has discovered or has pushed forward the technology of glass wall and glass stair case designs which is altogether unrelated to it's core "skill" set of hardware and software design.
I say all this to point out that Apple is a far bigger and better company than when it redefined the mp3 market and the smartphone market. Could they "redefine" the photography? They have the resources to take on such an endeavor. But should they? That depends on whether or not they believe they can make money on the specific market they see in the world of photography.
For all the reasons I posted in my original post, I do not see Apple going after the professional market with a competing DSLR like product. A couple of additional reasons are:
1) Apple doesn't make optics. They would have to partner with or buy out an optics manufacturer like Carl Zeiss.
2) The volume sales are not there for an ROI like the iPad or the iPhone.
Just because someone says they saw Apple making a digital camera doesn't mean Apple is planning on entering the photography market more so than it already has through the iPhone.
For example, Canon made and announced a 120 megapixel image sensor that would fit in their EOS-1D camera body series in 2010 which they said they have no productions plans for it.
We have learned in hindsight that Apple itself has made many versions of their products that never saw public distribution like the two port iPad.
A lot more has to happen before any rumors about Apple making a digital camera and entering the photography market could be considered credible. And Apple would have to make something pretty incredible for it to have the same kind of impact that we've all grown to expect with their successes in the smartphone and tablet markets. The Light Field Camera technology is not enough.
I'll be interested when there are rumors of research/products that cover the following:
1) ISO - no digital noise when shooting by a single candle light
2) Shutter speed - can hand hold a camera while shooting by a single candle light
3) Optics - A pair of binoculars will be as good as the Hubble telescope.
4) Aperture - Light field technology can work inside current iPhone dimensions and "knows" when to keep everything in focus and what to keep in focus - everyone sitting at the dinner table, just of the birthday child blowing out the candles at the dinner table surrounded by friends and family.
5) File size - bigger isn't better when it comes to storing all my photos or transferring them. I've got thousands.
6) Color management - it should be "automatic" for my images to look their best and to look the "same" when printed or on my iPhone or on my website.
7) File size corollary - Why can't I print a wall size photo from my iPhone?
8) Physical output cost - Why does it still cost $20+ to print a photo album?
I'm sure I haven't covered everyone's different needs, but I hope you all get the point.