How can Apple control what other companies are doing?
Yes... Apple has a smaller share of mobile profits. But the entire market has grown and there are now more players. That's completely out of Apple's hands. Are we gonna punish Apple for that?
It's the same confusion I have about using market share to determine Apple's performance.
Apple didn't do anything wrong to have their market share drop... the other companies just sold more devices. That tends to happen when there are more competitors in a market, right?
For example:
If there was only one grocery store in your town... it would get 100% of the grocery business or 100% of that market.
But when a 2nd grocery store opens up... that share changes a lot.
Now add 3 or 4 grocery stores... and see what happens to each store's percentage of the market.
And yet... all those stores can be successful and profitable.
I don't know why Apple has to have the #1 spot in every metric.
More often than not... Apple is not the #1 company. Yet they are extremely successful and profitable.
and Android now owns 80% of the market and Apple is still making over 50% of the profits with less than 20% of the market.
Personally I don't see how Apple is in trouble. The record profits and growth can't continue forever. Apple is currently as solid a company that exists today and they aren't going anywhere in the near future. They may go back to being more of a niche player, but then again that's what they have been for a good part of their history. Other than being a shareholder with totally unrealistic expectations, I don't necessarily see that as a bad thing. IMO, it was crazy to think that the stock was going to continue to go up $100 per month forever.
As a consumer, I could care less how much profit they make or what their market share is as long as they continue to turn out good products and are able to support them as they currently do. And I have no doubt that they will have new products in the future, it's just not going to be a new market segment created every year, and nor was it in the past.
I enjoy the high quality hardware of my iPhone 5, but I miss the apps from Android.
By what metric should Apple be judged to be a successful company then?
Apparently, it's not number of products sold.
Fine. Profit? Apparently not.
They're in business to make profits. They're not doing super hot at the moment.
The problem isn't your metrics, it's your ability to put those metrics in a reasonable context. Somehow, by your analysis, better than everyone else is "not doing super hot at the moment."
If I was a pie collector, and my goal was to collect as much pie as possible, and last year I had 74 percent of the pie and every other collector had 26 percent of the pie I'm doing pretty damn well.
This year if I have 54 percent of the pie I'm still doing better than everybody else, but comparatively speaking and I'm not doing nearly as well as I was a year ago.
You can tell me that's devoid of context and doesn't mean anything, I'm free to think otherwise.
I thought you meant that you were surprised that Apple and Android basically split, and that you thought Apple would have been more. Not sure how to account for the "in house" OS as I wasn't aware this was a popular option.
Pretty sure it's mainly due to the fact that Japan's biggest carrier NTT Docomo still does not have the iPhone. They have about 50% of the Japanese mobile market. That's a far higher share than, for example, either Verizon or AT&T have in the US.
Comparatively speaking. When your only context is record highs, all comparisons come up short.
I didn't say either of those things. I suppose it's easier to argue when you take everything to the extreme.
It isn't just record highs though. Apple's share of smartphone profits had been in the 70's for several quarters and has been consistently that high.
Consistently? Apple first hit 50% share in smartphone operating profits in mid-2011. Which fits my theory that FY2012 was simply a massive year for Apple, making YOY comparisons to record highs difficult.
No they are not. They are the only company that actually reveals end sales.
The others will not reveal sales, there is a reason, because their sales vs shipped is drastically different.
The proof, was in the Apple vs Samsung trial when Samsung was forced to reveal Galaxy Tab sales and their shipped was in the high 10s of millions and their sales were around 1.5 million...
Sorry but shipped is not and never will be an reliable metric for knowing anything other then how many are going to be returned to sender.
Nope. That's only the share among those 8 vendors.
From the source for that article:
http://www.asymco.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/Screen-Shot-2012-02-03-at-2-3-12.38.01-PM.png
Apple does reach 50% in Q4 2010, but doesn't exceed it significantly until mid 2011 according to this source.
Are you suggesting that those 8 vendors aren't pretty much representative of the smartphone market? What percentage of units sold do you think the "others" had at that point? I'm thinking it's basically nil.
Now keep drawing the line on that chart. By Q2 2011 share of profits was at 60 percent and continued to go higher through 2012. Now they're trailing off.
This is not representative of a single outlier quarter throwing things off as you suggested.
If they were in the mid 50's and then suddenly spiked to 70 and then back again you'd have a better point.
Curious, are you basing this quote on 99.99% free apps on both platforms, or do you purchase apps regularly?
I have yet to see an Android app that was at all tempting vs what's on iOS.
You can still throw your iPhone as high as you can for fun
It is just funny that such an app is how you distinguish the ecosystems
I suggested FY2012 was the outlier. AKA the iPhone 4S. Not a single quarter.
Except that's exactly what happened.![]()
Get your head out of the sand.
While holding at the top is impressive and good for business, it would be naive to ignore the market that is gaining on the leader. Especially when that gaining market has a monumental advantage in the number of devices being sold.
The attitude you display is probably the same as the attitude that Microsoft and Blackberry used to have about Apple.
Jesus dude. By what metric should Apple be judged to be a successful company then?
Apparently, it's not number of products sold.
Fine. Profit? Apparently not.
Quit drinking the koolaide. They're in business to make profits. They're not doing super hot at the moment. Just because you like your iPhone a lot doesn't make that not true.
Oh, we have a different definition of suddenly apparently.
I think an entire year of operation (AKA 25 percent of the time the modern iPhone has been on sale) is a significant period of time to have those type of profits in a market as fluid and heavily competitive as the smartphone market.
The original poster is correct that referring to percentage growth can be misleading. When comparing percentage, taking into the account the denominator is crucial to data analysis.
For example, a company having $100M in sales might experience a 50% growth to $150M, while the company having with a $1,000M might have only a 10% growth to $1,100. The smaller percentage actually has twice the dollar growth.
The headline was selected to be sensational, not informative.
Products sold: Apple is #2 in the number of smartphones sold.
Profit: Apple makes billions and billions of dollars. Has it gone down compared to another quarter? Sure. But that happens from time to time. It happens to ALL companies. But Apple remains a profitable company.
They're not doing super hot at the moment: You know some companies actually post a loss, right? Or who have to take a write-down for millions of units of unsold inventory?
There are only two companies worth a damn right now in the mobile market... Apple and Samsung. But there are DOZENS of companies in that market.
So for Apple to be one of those companies, and making billions of dollars, all while selling plenty of units... I say Apple is doing super hot.
No problem! My ongoing theory is that the iPhone 4S was released to a perfect storm of market conditions. Huge margins, pent up demand from the extra long cycle of the iPhone 4, correction of the antenna issue, doubling the amount of potential customers by adding new carriers, no significant competition for customers to focus on, etc. Not something that's easy to replicate.
The original poster is correct that referring to percentage growth can be misleading. When comparing percentage, taking into the account the denominator is crucial to data analysis.
For example, a company having $100M in sales might experience a 50% growth to $150M, while the company having with a $1,000M might have only a 10% growth to $1,100. The smaller percentage actually has twice the dollar growth.
The headline was selected to be sensational, not informative.
If I was a pie collector, and my goal was to collect as much pie as possible, and last year I had 74 percent of the pie and every other collector had 26 percent of the pie I'm doing pretty damn well.
This year if I have 54 percent of the pie I'm still doing better than everybody else, but comparatively speaking and I'm not doing nearly as well as I was a year ago.