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I think we can agree that both the 46 and 47 models both have an enhanced sleep mode. It just that the 47 model insists that no sleep mode exists despite evidence that it activates randomly in public.

At some point soon, mission-critical positions will have to be filled with candidates from more recent generations.

No amount of software updates can mitigate the fact that the hardware is just too old.
 
That is certainly the politically correct way of stating it. Others might say tariffs are used as an extortion tool to get countries to bend to our President's whim.

Sure. In a perfect world we'd have an actual free market across the world with no tariffs. But I don't know that we should unilaterally disarm either and there doesn't seem to be a unanimous desire to kill off tariffs (including the President, who for some reason seems to love them as a matter of practice). Even the trade agreements we've had with other countries have just been largely reductions in what we charge each other rather than any kind of full elimination.
 
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Will these investment pledges actually be realized, or are these pledges of investments just placeholders until the administration in the WH changes?

Pledges, agreements, and "memorandums of understanding" are not carved in stone, and, especially under the current administration, shouldn't be treated as "future fact".

It's not actual until it is actual.
Considering TSMC broke ground more than a year ago on its third fab in Arizona and bought 900 acres of land in January 2026 for additional fabs, these are a little more than placeholders.
 
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Amazing to see folks are dissatisfied with economic development in America, just because POTUS is encouraging investment (doing his job). Take a breath!
 
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Considering TSMC broke ground more than a year ago on its third fab in Arizona and bought 900 acres of land in January 2026 for additional fabs, these are a little more than placeholders.
The initial inward investment, yes.

But actually spending that investment takes time, as you’ve said above. The bought the land. They have to build the fab, staff the fab and get it functional and producing. And I have no doubt this was costed out and connected to that initial investment. Not from this new plague to invest.

My point is that we’re at a point in time where both people and UEFA USA rooms, whether businesses, state, or other, have accepted that, from the top down, agreements are not adhered to and unilateral u-turns are made on a whim.

The more one parry in an agreement suspects that the other patty won’t necessarily stick to their word, and day may be night tomorrow, the less likely they are to hold the agreement when it becomes slightly less beneficial to respect the value of their own word.

In short, people have always scr***ed other people over, on business and in politics, and the tech industry more than others.

But in the past few years, both the level of the amount of “unreliable actors” and the blatency has significantly escalated.

Trust is at a low. And people and organisation act accordingly in response to that.

Until the tranches of investment do come inward, once it is actually Sieny, then, realisticly. it can’t be assumed that it’s a future fact that it will actually happen.

There are many many things that would take a pledge of future investment off the table.
 
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First bit of good economic news I've heard in 18 months. But consider this -- the more balanced approach of the previous administration was bringing announcements like these all the time. Manufacturing investment and employment was going up increasingly quickly under Biden; we've lost tens of thousands of manufacturing jobs already under Trump. And the power of a country that depends on threats to get its way is not long for this world. The smart thing to do would be technology transfer -- you know, what the Chinese were doing from 1980s on, and effectively what Biden was trying to imitate. Most of what we have now is busting out the joint, maxing the credit card on consumption that doesn't earn money rather than with investment in production that does.
Except it wasn't. No one was trying to bring industry to the US.
 
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Sure. In a perfect world we'd have an actual free market across the world with no tariffs. But I don't know that we should unilaterally disarm either and there doesn't seem to be a unanimous desire to kill off tariffs (including the President, who for some reason seems to love them as a matter of practice). Even the trade agreements we've had with other countries have just been largely reductions in what we charge each other rather than any kind of full elimination.
Not sure I agree with you but I will add that tariffs have existed with other Presidencies, but for some reason, the pendulum has swing all the way to the right and it's being used to punish countries for practically anything that upsets 47. Tiny countries were being punished with high tariffs because they didn't import from the US the same amount they exported. Not sure how tiny countries are expected to import the same as we, a country of 330 MiILLION.
 
"Pew is far from a credible source" because you don't like that the math didn't agree with you. Guess what? America's no longer popular. We have become unreliable, abusive, and imperialistic. Also, if "no one is trying to get into any country in the EU" then why is Elon Musk vocally supporting all the nationalist parties in the various EU countries whose primary complaint is that there are so many people trying to get in? Are all those people in Reform UK, AfD in Germany, and National Rally in France secretly part of a psyop? Are they illusions? Or are you just lying?

I recently came across a survey, also from Pew, saying that for the first time since they started tracking this in 2002, China is now viewed more favorably than the US. Aside from a few countries that still strongly support the US for geopolitical reasons, many of America's longtime allies are starting to move closer to China because the US has become so unpredictable.

I'm not sure if we saw the same report, but as someone in Asia who has always strongly supported freedom and democracy, I spent a large part of my life seeing the US as a country I could trust. Of course, as we get older and gain more life experience, we realize the world doesn't work like a fairy tale. Still, I liked America for a very long time.

Well, I hope the fact that I used the past tense says something, even if I'm just some nobody from Asia.
 
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Except it wasn't. No one was trying to bring industry to the US.
On what planet is a tripling of manufacturing construction in four years backed by hundreds of billions in government venture capital "no one was trying"? The construction of manufacturing plants in the United States hit an all time high for 2024, having been below the long-term average just 2 1/2 years earlier. Conversely, since November 2024 the rate of investment has been falling and since May 2025, the number of new project starts has been steadily falling. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TLMFGCONS
 
Amazing to see folks are dissatisfied with economic development in America, just because POTUS is encouraging investment (doing his job). Take a breath!
Look at the following graph and then tell me if you think he's doing his job.
 
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I recently came across a survey, also from Pew, saying that for the first time since they started tracking this in 2002, China is now viewed more favorably than the US. Aside from a few countries that still strongly support the US for geopolitical reasons, many of America's longtime allies are starting to move closer to China because the US has become so unpredictable.

I'm not sure if we saw the same report, but as someone in Asia who has always strongly supported freedom and democracy, I spent a large part of my life seeing the US as a country I could trust. Of course, as we get older and gain more life experience, we realize the world doesn't work like a fairy tale. Still, I liked America for a very long time.

Well, I hope the fact that I used the past tense says something, even if I'm just some nobody from Asia.

You are not alone! There are many people all around the World who used to admire the US, but now despise America and "the ugly American" as portrayed by your leaders. The US represents 4% of the World's population and Americans should learn humility.
 
Will these investment pledges actually be realized, or are these pledges of investments just placeholders until the administration in the WH changes?

Pledges, agreements, and "memorandums of understanding" are not carved in stone, and, especially under the current administration, shouldn't be treated as "future fact".

It's not actual until it is actual.
The most important of these pledges, namely TSMC, has in fact been honored. Similarly (in a sense, with different details) for Intel. Micron is trying, but being held by NY state.
Other such pledges presumably would happen on a case by case basis.

Not sure I agree with you but I will add that tariffs have existed with other Presidencies, but for some reason, the pendulum has swing all the way to the right and it's being used to punish countries for practically anything that upsets 47. Tiny countries were being punished with high tariffs because they didn't import from the US the same amount they exported. Not sure how tiny countries are expected to import the same as we, a country of 330 MiILLION.
I've no interest in arguing this with you, but if you have even the most minimal intellectual integrity, try to understand what is going on rather than attacking a straw-man of your own invention.
EVERYTHING that is happening is because of China. VZW and Iran were both essentially about slowing China (by limiting their access to cheap oil AND limiting the creation of an alternative non-dollarized zone of trade).

The ultimate game plan around China is essentially the equivalent of Kennan's Containment for the USSR. Of course the details differ because both China and the 21st C differ from the USSR and the 20th C. The most important difference is that the Chinese Cold War is economic rather than military. This means the containment is economic rather than military. This means, again, that containment is achieved not by creating military alliances like NATO, SEATO, CENTO, etc, but by creating economic alliances. Which is how we get to the tariffs.

The tariffs are ultimately the tool used to tie together these economic alliances (and to punish defectors). And part of the reason that even the smallest countries have to be part of the network (decide whether you are on team America or team China) is because of trans-shipment; if there's a single country that acts as a hole in tariff wall, Chinese content *will* be shipped through that. We have 80 years+ of experience with exactly how this works; I mean I personally know people who made fortunes during the '70s precisely by exploiting the uneven patchwork of tariffs at the time (eg the Multi Fibre Arrangement, MFA, from 1974 to 1994) to work around various quotas and tariffs.

I know I can't get you to stop OD'ing on The Guardian and the NYT. But let me just try to get you to understand that there's a whole world of strategy happening here that's actually well informed by history, well informed by economics, and well informed by people with plenty of experience in international affairs.
 
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I recently came across a survey, also from Pew, saying that for the first time since they started tracking this in 2002, China is now viewed more favorably than the US. Aside from a few countries that still strongly support the US for geopolitical reasons, many of America's longtime allies are starting to move closer to China because the US has become so unpredictable.

I'm not sure if we saw the same report, but as someone in Asia who has always strongly supported freedom and democracy, I spent a large part of my life seeing the US as a country I could trust. Of course, as we get older and gain more life experience, we realize the world doesn't work like a fairy tale. Still, I liked America for a very long time.

Well, I hope the fact that I used the past tense says something, even if I'm just some nobody from Asia.
China has lent vast amounts of money to poor countries with no ability and on intent to repay it.
Those countries believe they can play China they way the played the West up till the 90s or so. This seems unlikely.

The current Chinese plan to make good on these loans appears to be to, one way or another, effectively and by varied legal means, take possession of the assets and whatever revenue stream they might generate. This, of course, effectively matches what the West would do up till WW2.

The next step of course, as we saw after WW2, is that these countries assert "sovereignty" and simply seize back the assets. At which point China responds how? My guess is gunboat diplomacy.
Yes yes yes, we all know that's gone out of style. But the world has changed since the end of WW2, and we are reaching the end of the Age of Hitler. Who's going to stop China?
Europe will be even more impotent then than now.
The US (depending on the party in power) will either say "good riddance, those countries deserve what they get, our only concern is that China limit itself to getting its money back, not to increasing force projection" or "bad China, naughty China, we condemn strongly in the angriest possible language".
Russia doesn't care.

(BTW, this Chinese behavior will be a GOOD thing. The fantasies of the Age of Hitler have brought far more misery and stagnation than the alternative, and their ending will unstick history.)

But the point is:
Yes yes yes, idiots view China favorably today. Those same idiots gonna have very different opinions in 10 or 20 years. Just like the European Red-Green coalition is currently discovering that indeed the Green Leopard is happy to eat off their faces the moment it can do so (something Iran learned in 1980), they will likewise soon learn how little the Chinese leopard cares of their various identity/culture obsessions and pet projects.
 
I recently came across a survey, also from Pew, saying that for the first time since they started tracking this in 2002, China is now viewed more favorably than the US. Aside from a few countries that still strongly support the US for geopolitical reasons, many of America's longtime allies are starting to move closer to China because the US has become so unpredictable.

Well, I hope the fact that I used the past tense says something, even if I'm just some nobody from Asia.

 
Will we see these plans come to fruition if/when the current "gatekeepers" in DC lose power?

I'd like to think we will. Investment here is a Good Thing - provided it can produce the goods at or near the price of other labor markets. Chipmaking requires very skilled labor so I would think this isn't the same as, say, sewing sweatshirts in sweatshops in Bangladesh.
 
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